2019 Preview – Georgia Bulldogs

GEORGIA ROSTER 2019
Senior
Sydney Snead
VT
UB
BB
FX
  • Competed AA every week in 2018
  • Top-2 returning RQS on each event
  • RQS of 9.900 FX, 9.880 VT, 9.875 BB, 9.870 UB
  • Has 10.0 start on VT with Y1.5
Juniors
Rachel Dickson
VT
UB
BB
FX
  • Competed AA every week in 2018
  • #1 returning RQS on BB (9.885)
  • RQS of 9.895 FX, 9.885 UB, 9.860 BB, 9.840 VT
  • Training 10.0 start Omelianchik VT
Sabrina Vega
VT
BB
FX
  • Anchored BB, FX weekly in 2018
  • #1 returning RQS on both (9.910 FX, 9.875 BB)
  • Filled in on VT for 9.775 RQS but shouldn’t have to in 2019
Sophomores
Marissa Oakley
VT
UB
BB
  • Competed weekly VT, UB, BB in 2018
  • RQS of 9.875 UB, 9.845 BB, 9.790 VT
  • Like Vega, should not have to vault in 2019
Emily Schild
VT
UB
BB
FX
  • Returned from injury to compete 7 UBs, 4 BBs, and 1 VT in 2018
  • Hit 6-for-7 on UB, avg of 9.781 on BB
Freshmen
Alexa Al-Hameed
UB
BB
  • Triad
  • 5th BB, 2018 JO Nationals
Sterlyn Austin
FX
  • Fractured shin
  • Georgia Elite
  • 12th FX, 2018 JO Nationals
Rachel Baumann
VT
BB
FX
  • WOGA
  • 2nd AA, 2017 JO Nationals
Sami Davis
VT
FX
  • North Stars
  • 4th AA, 2017 JO Nationals
Rachael Lukacs
VT
UB
BB
FX
  • North Stars
  • 1st VT, FX – 2018 JO Nationals
  • 10.0-start DTY on VT
Mikayla Magee
VT
BB
FX
  • Pearland Elite
  • 10th AA, 2017 JO Nationals
Alyssa Perez-Lugones
FX
  • Georgia Gymnastics
  • 4th VT, UB – 2018 Region 8s
Megan Roberts
VT
UB
FX
  • Will miss beginning of season with ankle sprain
  • East York
  • 8th AA, 2018 Gymnix
Abbey Ward
VT
  • Orlando Metro
  • 6th VT, 2018 Region 8s
  • Has 10.0-start Tsuk 1/1 VT

FINAL SEASON RANKINGS
2018 – 7th
2017
– 12th
2016 – 6th
2015 – 9th
2014 – 5th
2013 – 6th
2012 – 11th
2011 – 9th
2010 – 13th
2009 – 1st

THE STORY
Thus far, the story for Georgia has been the hacksaw taken to the roster following the 2018 season, trimming all but five essential gymnasts and bringing in as many new people as humanly possible. Kupets apparently took that assignment a little too seriously because she had the baby yesterday. Add her to the roster.

What’s also true amidst this reinvention, however, is that Georgia’s 2019 lineups will probably end up being more familiar than you’re expecting. The five who do return from last season are all multi-event contributors who will deliver over half the routines in 2019, potentially as many as two-thirds if the freshmen take some time to get going.

With all the most important routines returning along with expected lineup upgrades, hopes for Georgia’s 2019 performance are high. Georgia wildly exceeded expectations to finish 7th last season, and this year’s team is categorically better than that team, so why not improve on 7th?

At the same time, Georgia spent most ranking weeks last season languishing in the bad half of the teens. That, more than the final ranking of 7th, reflects the team’s prevailing 2018 quality, so while everyone expects big improvement in 2019, that improvement could come in the form of maintaining a ranking of 7th-9th all season long and jockeying for a spot at nationals.

And that would be a huge improvement. That would be a massive  sign of progress for a team that’s trying to return to the top echelon, though if you go only by final results, it may not seem like much of a change.

VAULT 2019
Lineup locks: Sydney Snead, Rachael Lukacs, Rachel Dickson
Lineup options: Abbey Ward, Megan Roberts, Sabrina Vega, Sami Davis, Marissa Oakley, Mikayla Magee, Rachel Baumann

Vault proved to be Georgia’s weak event in 2018 in both depth and scoring potential, the team ultimately putting up a lineup of two nationally competitive vaults and just hoping to get by with three other scores. Because of those struggles, 2019’s vaulting looks to provide Georgia’s biggest single-event improvement. Rachael DTY Lukacs should become the strongest vaulter in the lineup almost immediately, allowing Sydney Snead and her 1.5 to be among the important vaults, rather than being the entire lineup. Continue reading 2019 Preview – Georgia Bulldogs

2019 Preview – LSU Tigers

LSU ROSTER 2019
Seniors
Julianna
Cannamela
VT
BB
FX
  • Competed 14 VTs in 2018 for 9.870 RQS
  • Has potential Y1.5 on VT
  • Competed 5 FXs (9.845), 2 BBs (9.162)
Sarah Finnegan
VT
UB
BB
FX
  • Competed AA in 13 of 16 meets in 2018
  • Ranked #1 nationally on UB, #4 on BB, #7 on FX
  • RQS of 9.960 UB, 9.940 BB, 9.935 FX, 9.885 VT
Lexie
Priessman
VT
UB
FX
  • Made final 2018 lineups on UB, FX
  • Ranked #7 nationally on UB (9.950)
  • Competed 9 VTs (9.870), 7 FXs (9.863 avg)
Juniors
Kennedi
Edney
VT
UB
BB
FX
  • Competed AA in 13 of 16 meets in 2018
  • Team’s top returning VT score (9.900)
  • RQS of 9.930 FX, 9.915 UB, 9.870 BB
Ruby Harrold
VT
UB
FX
  • Competed regular VT, UB in 2018
  • RQS of 9.845 UB, Avg of 9.733 on VT
  • Hit 4 of 5 FX routines in 2018
McKenna
Kelley
(redshirt)
VT
FX
  • Missed 2018 season with torn Achilles
  • 9.925 RQS on FX in 2017
  • Competed 1 VT in 2017 for 9.825
Ashlyn Kirby UB
BB
FX
  • Competed FX each week for 9.870 RQS
  • Competed 2 UBs in 2018 (9.113 avg)
Sophomores
Reagan Campbell
BB
  • Competed weekly BB for 9.840 RQS in 2018
Bridget Dean
UB
BB
  • Did not compete in 2018
Christina Desiderio
BB
FX
  • Made final 2018 lineups on BB, FX
  • RQS of 9.900 BB, 9.820 FX
Sami Durante
UB
BB
  • Competed UB weekly in 2018 for 9.880
Sarah Edwards
VT
FX
  • Competed Y1.5 VT each week in 2018 for 9.880 RQS
  • Provided early-season FX for 9.865 RQS
Olivia Gunter
  • Did not compete in 2018
Freshmen
Rebecca D’Antonio
  • Cypress Pointe
  • 3rd AA, 2018 Region 8s
  • Possible BB depth
Bailey Ferrer
VT
UB
FX
  • Brandy Johnson’s
  • US elite, 2013-2014
  • VTs 10.0 start Omelianchik
  • Expected to contribute VT and FX with possible UB

FINAL SEASON RANKINGS
2018 – 4th
2017 – 2nd
2016 – 2nd
2015 – 10th
2014 – 3rd
2013 – 5th
2012 – 9th
2011 – 20th
2010 – 9th
2009 – 6th

THE STORY
Every team is always fighting against the concept of regression. The roster-building project is, at the very least, about making sure the level from the previous season is maintained. That’s no small task for the top teams. LSU has been a title contender for 5+ years now and has been the “if not Oklahoma, then…” team for the last three seasons.

But the piranhas have gathered. With UCLA’s upset victory last season and Florida nipping LSU for 3rd at Super Six, the collection of legitimate challengers is broadening. Maintaining that position as the #2 team in the country, let alone improving on it, is far from a given for LSU in 2019. We know that LSU will enter the season as one of the favorites to make the 4-team championship, but what role LSU plays in that top four is still uncertain. Is LSU the #2 team again, or is LSU the one in the danger spot that might get picked off by a surging underdog that we’re currently underestimating?

Decisive in that regard will be how well (and where) LSU can improve its scoring potential from 2018 in the face of losing five 9.9s and five of the best routines on the team. When you combine the introduction of Bailey Ferrer with the return of McKenna Kelley, LSU should be able to get close to that level again (better on some events, weaker on others, but the same kind of total scores), yet that’s sort of the minimum expectation for the roster-building project. That’s refilling the tank from a season that was excellent but ultimately did not produce the result LSU wanted.

To improve on last year’s scores, to get closer to winning a title, LSU will also have to see more from some of these sophomores, potentially making the leap from depth option to competition-ready 9.875. Is that possible?


VAULT 2019
Lineup locks: Kennedi Edney, Sarah Edwards, Ruby Harrold, Sarah Finnegan
Lineup options: Bailey Ferrer, Julianna Cannamela, Lexie Priessman, McKenna Kelley

LSU showed four 10.0 starts in its final vault lineup last season, a feat that should doable again this year. The big question, and it will be a theme across the four events, is whether someone new can replicate that potential 9.950 from Hambrick to avoid a dip. Continue reading 2019 Preview – LSU Tigers

Things Are Happening – December 11, 2018

Ropes and Gray

Never o’clock has actually arrived!

Ever since Box of Scarves appeared in front of Congress and seemed not to know that the name of the engaged law firm was “Ropes & Gray” rather than “Independent, Ropes & Gray,” we have been promised a very independent investigation full of independence that intended to reveal who knew what at the USOC and USAG, the circumstances that allowed abuse to thrive, and everything that wasn’t done correctly.

So you might be surprised to learn the report is only 233 pages and not the length of time itself.

In some ways, the report exceeded expectations in that it was actually willing to name major figures within the USOC and detail how horrible they are, namely Scott Blackmun and Alan Ashley. Those two come across looking…not great…with particular focus on their dual decision to ignore and subsequently delete an email from Steve Penny that named Larry Nassar in 2015, telling no one about it and doing nothing for more than a year.

Because the important thing is pretending you don’t know anything so that you can protect your own job and avoid negative news stories and/or the police. Or, I mean, the children. It’s about the children.

That email receives a ton focus in the report. My first reading of it saw Stevie Boy just being a lying sack of lies (as usual) by pretending he didn’t know anything about Nassar, but I think he’s saying he’s not sure what prompted the announcement of the retirement, not the retirement itself. Which he definitely knew all about.

That’s actually worse for Blackmun and Ashley because it implies previous conversations among the trio about Nassar’s involvement and the decision to allow him to retire silently from USAG and continue to practice in Michigan. You know, because this is a follow-up note. Make sure Blackmun and Ashley are high on your list of the people who knew, early on, and decided to ignore—especially because they had the power to do something real. And instead decided to DELETE.

The report is not without dark comedy, however, my favorite part being Scott Blackmun’s subsequent excuse that he deleted this email because he was afraid of Russian hackers. BECAUSE WHAT IF THE RUSSIANS GET THAT EMAIL?!?!?!?!?! Continue reading Things Are Happening – December 11, 2018

2019 Preseason Coaches Poll

Good news: this year’s preseason coaches poll provides the ideal mix of 80% “duh” and 20% “huh?” that we always hope for.

At the top, we have the duh. The first 5 exactly match their finishing positions from the 2018 season. This is normal, as most coaches just look at the rankings from last season and…do that. They’re not making charts about other team’s depth prospects and who has lost what routines or what freshmen are going to boost the early half of which lineups.

Still, even the top of the rankings is not devoid of interest.

2019 Preseason Coaches Poll
1. UCLA (20 1st-place votes) – 1,961 points
2. Oklahoma (25) – 1,959 points
3. Florida (9) – 1,946 points
4. LSU (2) – 1,891 points
5. Utah – 1,783 points
6. Alabama – 1,672 points
7. Georgia (1) – 1,585 points
8. California – 1,526 points
9. Michigan – 1,517 points
10. Kentucky – 1,481 points
11. Nebraska – 1,361 points
12. Arkansas – 1,341 points
13. Denver – 1,286 points
14. Auburn – 1,281 points
15. Washington – 1,253 points
16. Boise State – 1,183 points
17. Oregon State – 1,005 points
18. Ohio State – 989 points
19. Missouri – 912 points
20. Arizona State – 862 points
21. Stanford – 831 points
22. Illinois – 809 points
23. Minnesota – 798 points
24. BYU – 749 points
25. NC State – 704 points
26. George Washington – 611 points
27. Penn State – 525 points
28. Iowa State – 517 points
29. Iowa – 442 points
30. Central Michigan – 403 points
30. Maryland – 403 points
32. Southern Utah – 364 points
33. Arizona – 314 points
34. New Hampshire – 280 points
35. West Virginia – 259 points
36. Pittsburgh – 247 points

The first-place spot is typically (but certainly not always) reserved for last year’s champion, and that’s what happened here with UCLA at #1. Interestingly, Oklahoma still got more first-place votes than UCLA and verrrry nearly snatched #1, likely reflecting UCLA’s victory last season being an upset—with a plurality of coaches still viewing Oklahoma as the best team carrying over from 2018. Continue reading 2019 Preseason Coaches Poll