The Weekend Ahead — January 25–27

First things first. In case you haven’t seen it, here is Mackenzie Caquatto’s 10 from last weekend:

As with most 10s for gymnasts that have been knocking on the door of the 10 for a while, it is not categorically the best bars routine she has performed as a Gator. She’s done the exact same thing several times for 9.950s. The position in the lineup is what changed.

Michigan comes into the weekend as #1, but it’s a loose hold on the top spot. The Wolverines will require a 197 away score to improve at all on their current average. That’s a feat that has not been accomplished yet this season, but I do expect at least one team to end that streak this weekend. I’m interested to see if any team can reach that 197 average mark, which is an accomplishment we almost never see in January (2013 is the new 2004). To reach a 197 average, Michigan would need 197.175, UCLA would need 197.425, Oklahoma would need 197.525, and Florida would need 197.550. Difficult, but I wouldn’t say unlikely.

I’ll be around on Friday for the usual busy meet business. Early in the day we’ll see if Florida can improve on the 197.300 from last weekend and if Nebraska can improve on #7 in the country. Later, in a flurry of free streams for those of you who don’t subscribe to anything, Alabama will host Kentucky (where it’s time for Alabama to start scoring with Florida, UCLA, and Oklahoma, this being the third meet and at home), UCLA will visit Arizona State, and Utah will visit Arizona. 

The feature on Saturday is the Metroplex Challenge, and gymnastike will be providing coverage of the event that evening for their subscribers. I think we’re going to see some absolute monster scores at Metroplex, so I’m going with Oklahoma as my pick for high score of the weekend.

Top 25 Schedule
Friday – 1/25/13
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [18] Auburn @ [3] Florida
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [6] Nebraska @ [19] Ohio State
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – West Virginia @ [24] NC State
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – Western Michigan, George Washington @ [23] Kent State
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [11] Denver @ Arkansas
8:30 ET/5:30 PT – [15] Kentucky @ [5] Alabama
9:00 ET/6:00 PT – [4] UCLA @ Arizona State
9:00 ET/6:00 PT – [8] Utah @ [13] Arizona

Saturday – 1/26/13
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [1] Michigan, [20] Central Michigan, Iowa State @ [12] Minnesota
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – North Carolina @ [14] Maryland
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [22] Pittsburgh, Iowa, Rutgers @ Penn State
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – Bowling Green @ [25] Eastern Michigan
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – Metroplex Challenge – [2] Oklahoma, [7] LSU, [9] Georgia, [16] Oregon State, Washington
9:00 ET/6:00 PT – [17] Boise State @ BYU
10:00 ET/7:00 PT – [10] Stanford @ [21] California

2013 vs. 2012

In this week’s edition of the number factory, I started out by comparing how each of the current top 25 teams are scoring after three weeks of competition this year versus last year, and a few interesting things came out of that. First, let’s look at the numbers.

Difference in average score after three weeks – 2013 vs. 2012
1. Eastern Michigan +3.425 (Ranking difference: +23)
2. Pittsburgh +2.912 (+20)
3. Michigan +2.617 (+18)
4. California +2.400 (+17)
5. Kentucky +1.925 (+14)
6. Minnesota +1.913 (+16)
7. Central Michigan +1.758 (+14)
8. LSU +1.541 (+10)
9. Maryland +1.480 (+10)
10. Kent State +1.425 (+9)
11. Denver +1.200 (+7)
12. Arizona +0.729 (+2)
13. Florida +0.659 (+5)
14. Oklahoma +0.392 (+3)
15. Stanford +0.312 (+2)
16. NC State +0.192 (-4)
17. Alabama +0.188 (+1)
18. Auburn +0.133 (-2) 
19. UCLA +0.013 (-3) 
20. Nebraska -0.075 (-2)
21. Georgia -0.383 (-2)
22. Boise State -0.413 (-4)
23. Utah -0.588 (-5)
24. Ohio State -0.641 (-8)
25. Oregon State -0.700 (-6)

First, I was surprised at how many new teams we currently have in the top 25 that almost never spend any time there, with seven new entries that were out of the top 25 last season. That’s a sizable number for a sport that traditionally sees little variation in the top teams. While I do expect the upstarts to fall, being the surprising early entrant in the top 25 was exactly how Kent State began the 2011 season. 

Also interesting to me was that just six of the top 25 currently have lower averages than they did at this point last season. Granted, some of that is because the teams that have fallen significantly from last year (Hello down there, Arkansas!) have dropped out of the top 25 completely, but another reflector of higher overall scores is that we have a few teams with higher averages that have actually dropped in the rankings. To illustrate the overall shift, last year a 194.000 average after three weeks of competition was good for #25. This year, it gets you #31. In fact, the current average score of all the top 25 teams is historically high. 

Average score of top 25 teams after three weeks
2013 – 195.639
2012 – 195.301
2011 – 194.998
2010 – 195.071
2009 – 195.121
2008 – 194.866
2007 – 194.710
2006 – 193.972
2005 – 194.570
2004 – 195.761

Note of slight inconsistency: In a couple of these years I actually took the numbers from the fourth week of competition instead of the third because so few teams competed in the first week (well under half) that it hardly could count as a week of competition. That ended up making the numbers higher than they might otherwise have been since the averages usually increase as the weeks go on. And yet, they were still well lower than the 2013 average.

It appeared last season that judging was starting to move concertedly back toward those 2004 levels where everyone got a 9.975 for a fall, and while the sample size is currently too small for this season to make any kind of sweeping statement, the increase we’re seeing is not insignificant. Happy 2004.

Is increased scoring a bad thing? Not necessarily, but it is notable. The separation is much more important than the total, and it’s something to watch as we go on. 

[10] Stanford @ [9] Georgia Notes

Both Georgia and Stanford are currently languishing at the very bottom of the cool teams table, just above the also-rans. The top teams have now established a pace well into the 197s, so the highs for both of these teams (196.200 for Georgia and 196.025 for Stanford) are beginning to seem shabby by comparison. Stanford will be pleased by having better start than the team did last season, but Georgia will start to feel the pull of being left behind without a bigger score this weekend.

I wouldn’t characterize the situation for either team as anything nearing urgency, especially for a Stanford team that probably won’t peak until 11 minutes before Super Six again, but this will be the fourth meet for Georgia already, which means early-season kinks like beam composition credit and 9.5s and 9.6s on floor need to go away. We’re now starting to move out of “It’s early in the season” territory.

The meet begins at 2:00 ET/11:00 PT

Formatting things a little differently today. The lack of Ivana Hong is hurting me in my heart and brain and is going to hurt Stanford in its score and . . . score.

Christa Tanella was legitimately enjoyable in that interview, talking about keeping Shayla off the equipment because she’s totally going to get injured.

Brandie Jay coming in on bars is the only major change for Georgia from Friday. We don’t know what happened to Hong yet, but it will be rough for Stanford without her with routines coming in like Spinner on bars.

Rotation 1:
Georgia Vault
1. Davis – Yfull – very strong, stuck landing, good direction and excellent form. Strong start. Distance and amplitude are the only missing parts. (9.850) I could have seen 9.875-9.900 for that, actually. It would have received it later in the lineup.
2. Persinger – Yfull – too piked in the air and a major bounce out of it. Won’t score well. (9.750) Davis was more than a tenth better than that.
3. Cheek – Yfull – very nice stick, very similar to Davis with perhaps a bit stronger leg form. (9.925)
4. Rogers – Y1.5, near stick but takes a hop on the salute that she would have had to take anyway, a bit of direction but stronger than Friday’s vault. (9.900) The judge who gave a 9.950 credited it as a stick, but I wouldn’t have.
5. Hires – She didn’t get a great block at all and lost amplitude, held onto the stick, but had to swim for it with a very low chest. (9.825)
6. Jay – Y1.5, better direction than Rogers had but a hop forward on her landing. Probably the best I’ve seen her do, more contained. (9.900)

Stanford Bars
1. S. Morgan -piked jaeger ot overshoot is strong, good line, big step out of double front. Nice. (9.750)
2. Dayton – tkatchev opening lacks amplitude and she comes off, never got her grip, hits her handstands well, sticks a DLO with not a ton of flight. (9.200)
3. A. Morgan – hits piked jaeger, not a ton of complexity in this routine and it all feels a little rushed, but her DLO is nice and high and stuck. (9.850)
4. Vaculik -way close on her stalder shoot and has to muscle up, otherwise very strong routine so far, good elite amplitude, hop salute on the DLO. They are so pleased to have her back. (9.675)
5. Shapiro -handstands are beautiful, high staddle jaeger, clean pak, missing almost nothing in this routine, comes in a little short on her DLO and hops forward. (9.850)
6. Spinner – tkatchev opening, clean line, some leg separations, late on her blind full and a major step on the double back. She has potential on this event, but it’s clear why she hasn’t competed before. Important hit to erase the fall, though. (9.725)

Rotation 1 Scores: Georgia 49.400, Stanford 48.850
Georgia back to its comfort zone on vault with a very strong performance. Davis and Cheek vaulted about as well as they can, and there’s still some landing improvement that can come from Rogers and Jay. Hires and Persinger vaulted far from their best. Don’t be surprised by some home 49.500s as the season progresses.
Stanford certainly missed having Hong but also lost the opportunity to pick up tenths after a mistake from Vaculik and a slightly missed landing from Shapiro. Those potential 9.9s could have saved things and helped go over 49. This rotation is not as weak as the score reflects, though.

Rotation 2:
Georgia Bars
1. Cheek – a little struggle on first handstand, sticks the DLO the way we saw in those training videos that made everyone want her in the lineup. Good start. (9.875)
2. Jay -just catches her shaposh, sticks her tuck full dismount, strong debut for competition in this routine. (9.900)
3. Tanella -hits first hs, her biggest mistakes are late pirouettes, overbalances her final handstand and takes a step on the double tuck, far weaker than Friday’s routine. (9.750)
4. Rogers -stalder tkatchev is hit, and bail hs is clean, almost mostly stuck landing again on her tuck full, hop on salute. (9.875)
5. Worley -slightly flopping in catching her bail hs but fine, the handstands all could be better. Shayla-ed the DLO, lands short, but holds onto it with a big step forward. (9.850) Could have gone lower.
6. Davis -wonderful tkatchev as alwalys, hits bail hs, hitting all her handstands, sticks(?) tuck full dismount with a step salute. (9.900)

Stanford Vault
1. A. Morgan – Yhalf with that major hop that she usually has, otherwise fine form (9.725)
2. Rice -Yfull with a hop and a low chest on the landing. OK but just OK. (9.775)
3. Chuang -Another perfectly fine Yfull (9.825)
4. Vaculik -great distance on her Omelianchik, but tucks to land and takes a big step forward. (9.800)
5. Dayton – best vaulter on the team because she always sticks that Yhalf. Well done. (9.925)
6. Hanset – front pike half, lands low and has to take a big hop back. (9.800)

Rotation 2 Scores: Georgia 98.800, Stanford 97.975
Georgia now on pace for a 197.600, but that’s not going to happen. Unick is doing exhibition on bars, jaeger was far away but she fingertipped it, falls on double front. Fix the dismount and this could be a workable backup. I wasn’t completely happy with all of Georgia’s handstands this week. They weren’t missing them completely, but several of them we short in borderline deduction land. The freshmen are really standing out today. Aside from Cheek, the upperclassmen were just OK by their own standard. Davis had a great routine but she can and usually does stick that landing, which would have taken her to the 9.950 she usually gets.
Stanford is currently lacking both amplitude and landing on most of the vaults, two qualities that feed into each other. Aside from Dayton, none of these vaults can expect to go any higher than 9.800 until the tenths on landing are resolved.

Rotation 3:
Georgia Beam
1. Cheek – clean full turn, hits two loso series well, hits moonwalk (I can’t . . .), sticks gainer full dismount. Clean leadoff routine, good improvement. (9.875)
2. Tanella – major break on walkover but stays on, watch for the acro connection now, her splits seem improved? nowhere close on her side somi and comes off the beam, no way to save it. See, I compliment her interview at the beginning and now she has a bad meet. (8.800)
3. Persinger – slight wobble on L turn, good aerial, another huge break but she did well to stay on the beam. It will be a low score, though. She was going well before that. Hits 1.5 dismount. (9.625)
4. Rogers – minor wobbles on dance but should get dance combo, hits bhs 3/4, aerial + bhs is good this time at least to me, a few wobbles but probably the best she’s done, a little floppy crooked leg on her bhs full but she hits and sticks the dismount. Still problems over SV. 9.8 SV. I spoke too soon about her getting it. I thought she would/should have. Problems problems problems. Her previous mistakes have made judges wary about giving her connection, perhaps, judging her more harshly than they would judge others. (9.550)
5. Worley – hitting confidently, her usual great routine and a bit better on the gainer full landing than we have seen. (9.875)
6. Earls – hits two loso series, leaps look good, minor correction on side aerial to side position, step back on the cowboyed double back dismount. Good routine. (9.900).

Stanford Floor
1. S. Morgan – she may have died on the floor, no just a music problem, hits double pike, major stumble on her 1.5 + layout and is nowhere hear around on her layout and falls, a little short on the double tuck. Rough start. (9.000)
2. Rice – Strong double pike start, she looks so much like Cassie, slight stumble out of layouts second pass but stays in, falls on her turn. Hey, Kim Kelly. Low double tuck. We get word that Ivana is fine. (9.025)
3. Shapiro – slight stumble on her 1.5 + front full, a bit low on her double back, fine tumbling but not the most secure she can do, 1.5 + front tuck. OK but needs more time. (9.800)
4. Hanset – 2.5 + front tuck to mount, hit routine with proficient tumbling. Good recovery routine. (9.875)
5. A. Morgan – Big stumble out of double arabian that will drop her score significantly, but otherwise good tumbling and expression. I think I might like this choreography. Why is she not anchoring?(9.850)
6. Chuang – low landing on the double back mount, layout + layout full is almost completely in control but does almost step out, 1.5 + layout dismount is strong. There’s not a lot of difficulty in this lineup aside from Morgan’s mount, but they recovered to hit. (9.825)

Rotation 3 Scores: Georgia 147.625, 146.350
Whitney Kirby takes a fall on her series in beam exhibition. Georgia had a couple highlights in that rotation. Cheek looked strong and Earls was fine. Shayla showed her usual nice beam work. Otherwise, they cannot continue putting up Rogers until they are positive she’s going to get her 10 SV. Tanella was all over the place and Persinger had a major break, so all told 48.825 could have been worse based on the level of performance.
It was a bizarre fall from Rice on her turn that killed Stanford’s floor rotation after Shona Morgan’s fall. Ashley Morgan is the class of this group as she has been for the last couple of seasons, and there are some solid leadoff-type routines peppered throughout the rest of the lineup, but Hong and Shapiro will need to give them more than the 9.8s the others can provide for this to eventually become a 49.300 rotation.

Rotation 4:
Georgia Floor
1. Earls – double pike mount is strong, this was the only good routine in that very first meet against Oklahoma, and she’s hitting again. (9.900)
2. Tanella -hits double pike, lands out on her second pass before the stag jump, but did the flag go up? Rudi dismount is fine. There were definitely parts of that heel that were OOB on the second pass. Apparently not. OK. (9.850)
3. Hires – slightly low chest on double pike landing. This is much improved so far, again low on the double tuck landing but it’s a hit. (9.875)
4. Persinger – Similary to Hires, she’s hitting her tumbling with confident landings but I’d like to see a higher chest in the landing position, underrotated on her rudi with a hop forward. Areas to improve for her, but she’s starting to inch toward her potential. (9.825)
5. Jay – good double pike, strong landing on front 2/1 + tuck, this is the best she’s been until the double tuck dismount, overrotated and bounced well back, landing also looked a little locked. Otherwise the tumbling is more powerful than Hires or Persinger. (9.850)
6. Worley – good double pike, crazy legs on middle pass with a minor stumble out of it, rudi is fine with a low chest. Hit routine, improvement from Friday. (9.900)

Stanford Beam
1. S. Morgan – wobble on front aerial before a split jump, good loso series, more wobbles here, she looks close but minorly just off on all her acro. (9.675)
2. Vaculik – hits loso, split positions are good, stumble on her side aerial but remains on the beam well, big step back out of double full dismount. Too many stumbles. (9.800)
3. A. Morgan – big wobble on loso series but saves as well, minor step out of punch front and another minor step out of double tuck dismount. (9.800)
4. Spinner – She was the 9.900 star last season. Performing that was right now. Hits double full with maybe a minor step. Should be the best score so far. (9.925)
5. Hanset – check on her loso series, like the beam caught her a little earlier than she was expecting, another check on the aerial and then again on the side somi, should be similar to Vaculik and Morgan in scoring. Hits 1.5 dismount. (9.750)
6. Rice – takes a wobble on her opening acro, but I’m pleased to see her on beam. Slight check on series, sticks gainer full. Fine debut, but not a packed or lengthy routine. (9.775)

Final Scores: Georgia 197.000, Stanford 195.400
We saw some Georgia scoring at this meet, particularly in the last rotation that could realistically have gone several tenths lower and still reflected reality, and I wouldn’t look at this performance and say it was a 197, though it was clearly the strongest performance of the year so far. Vault and bars are farther along than beam or floor, and I was impressed with Jay and Rogers on both those events, moving toward being worhy of those consistent 9.9s that we will expect from them every week. The consistency isn’t there on beam (and the lineup probably still needs some tweaking; it’s the event where Couch is missed), and the tumbling on floor is just OK but will pale in comparison to some of the more powerful teams. Kati Breazal hits a perfectly fine floor exhibition to finish the day.

Without Hong, Stanford looked generally depleted and uncertain today. It’s clear that landings have not been as much of a priority because the Cardinal incurred multiple tenths per rotation because of big bounces out of landings. Right now, we’re seeing a situation where the freshmen are just OK and not yet ready to bring in those notable scores, so it will be up to the likes of Vaculik and Shapiro to be a bit more secure to make up for the major scores lost from last year’s seniors.

Week 3 Rankings and Notes

The Michigan Wolverines won the week with a 197.350, followed closely by Oklahoma’s 197.325, Florida’s 197.300, and Utah’s 196.950. It was a good week to be a home team. No road team broke 196 this weekend, with the highest visiting score being Maryland’s 195.975.

The Gym Info rankings are not yet out, so treat these rankings as unofficial.

1. Michigan – 196.942
The Wolverines were super happy to proclaim their #1 ranking after the first week of competition even though it didn’t count because there weren’t rankings that week, but now they get to do it for realsies. Michigan has now recorded two big scores in a row at home, so one of the story lines to watch this season will be whether Michigan scoring is still a thing. Crucially, vault appears to have caught up with the other events (49.300), and Natalie Beilstein returned to that lineup, an anchor routine that will be crucial if Michigan is to have a shot at competing with the 49.500 sisters. The Zurales, Sampson, Sugiyama, Beilstein caucus is nationally competitive.

2. Oklahoma – 196.825
The home debut for Oklahoma was a pleasant one for 197.325. It’s a vital score because the Sooners won’t be returning home until early 2018 or something, so it may be harder for them to score high early in the season. The counterargument to that is their ability to go 197.400 all over the place on the road last year. Brie Olson returned to the vault lineup and scored well, which will be necessary every week because there is far less depth on vault (Oklahoma and UCLA should start a club). The Sooners recorded no low scores in this meet (just one 9.775, and it was from Olson on bars, which is unusual) and did the typical 9.875ing opponents to death, which has to be the strategy this year. I don’t see those consistent eleven or twelve 9.9+ routines in their future this season, so they have to make up any potentially lost ground to Florida and Alabama with 9.875s in the first two positions.

3. Florida – 196.817
The big news for Florida is the 10 for Mackenzie Caquatto, which is one of those scores that has seemed like it’s been coming for ages. The Gators recorded a 49.600 on bars while suffering a fall to Bridget Sloan, and with Dickerson in a lineup spot that could go the B. Caquatto later in the season, it’s easy to see this score going notable higher at home. What should scare the other teams is that Florida achieved this score while counting two numbers in the 9.7s and with a noticeably B+ squad that was missing Sloan and Johnson on vault, King on beam, and Hunter on floor. Over the next few meets, watch to see how the consistency and scoring potential develop on beam and floor. Those events are farther behind right now.

4. UCLA – 196.788
Sitting still saw the Bruins fall from #1 to #4 in this week’s rankings, but they are pretty tightly bunched with the rest of the top four. Next week will bring a prime opportunity to record a good road score at Arizona State, and with two weeks to improve, I expect some of these lineup questions to be on the path to resolution with a few of the short-term solutions being subbed out. Since vault is so depleted, I expect the group we saw against Utah to be the lineup for most of the season, and they need to continue to improve at the same rate. A 49.300 is great, but some of those vaults were just okay and a couple other people over-performed. We saw too many issues of varying degrees against Utah (Francis and DeJesus on bars, Courtney on beam, and Bynum and DeJesus on floor), and it won’t always be possible to rely on Zamarripa to save the day with a 9.950 that makes the rotation seem more impressive than it was. With the talent and beautiful gymnastics (sometimes in plain sight, sometimes hidden) on this team, Zamarripa should be the final flourish to turn a 49.300 into a 49.450.

5. Alabama – 196.513
There’s a lot that’s still TBD about Alabama with lineups, so it’s encouraging for the Tide that they are getting these mid-196s with not spectacular performances. Vault is the farthest along and scored spectacularly over the weekend, which surprises no one, but for the top teams right now the home score is less important than the quality of performance. Vault will soon become 49.500y, but the landings still need work. I’m torn about the bars lineup. Sledge can still get her 9.900 at home, but hiding her in the first position again will eventually do more harm than good. At the same time, I kind of like the scoring strategy of putting DeMeo last to make it seem like her routine is better than Priess’s. It worked on Friday. (UCLA did the same thing with Zam/Wong and it also worked for 9.900.) Floor was the big mistake in the last meet, but I’m not concerned about it. Milliner and Gutierrez will be hitting, though Priess will need to come in later in the season along with hopefully Williams if she’s ever ready. 

6. Nebraska – 196.500
True to form, Nebraska put up just seven gymnasts on Saturday, and they all hit well enough for a 196.700. There will, however, be a few more options this season when Schleppenbach can come in instead of some of these 9.7s. Jennifer Lauer has been the big surprise of the season with all these 9.9s on bars and beam, and Emily Wong has emerged as the clear class of the team. The Huskers are in a position right now of relying on a couple 9.9s to save rotations from 9.7s, so the supporting scores must be cultivated and improved, and hopefully there will be enough depth to allow playing around with some of these lineups because several of these gymnasts probably shouldn’t be competing certain events later on.
 
7. LSU – 196.158
And they started the season so well. LSU came back to earth against Alabama, suffering mistakes aplenty. As expected, bars and beam were the biggest culprits and don’t appear to be able to recover enough to score with the top teams. On bars, the problem wasn’t so much that they had to count a fall from Courville. They will almost always be able to rely on her. The problem was that Wyrick looked all over the place even before the fall, and Hall and Savona had too many form breaks to expect to go over 9.800. It’s a rotation of two routines, and when one of them is a fall, there is nothing to save it. If Courville had achieved her 9.900, this rotation would have seemed perfectly acceptable, but that would have masked issues. Also of concern is that the floor routines (the bread and butter of this team) each scored about .050 lower than they have been at home. Watch this discrepancy as the season goes because it could destroy this team’s scoring potential outside of Louisiana.

8. Utah – 196.125
The Utes reveled in the joys of being at home and moved up seven places in the rankings as a result. A 196.950 is a strong result for the second meet, but they are still a bit behind the top teams who are getting 197.3s for home performances with no mistakes at this point. Georgia Dabritz is emerging as the star of this team largely because she has an amplitude that puts her routines usually about .050 higher than Lothrop’s. Lothrop fits well in that 5th-up role where 9.875s are expected of her, but shooting for just one or maybe two 9.9 routines per event is not worthy of a championship. Bars will become a concern because it’s basically Dabritz and a lot of 9.800s. They hit this time, which is a victory, but I don’t see anyone else being a 9.9er.  

9. Georgia – 195.892
What do we make of Georgia? The Dogs regressed a little bit on vault this week, but I don’t see that becoming a trend. A few people were just a little off and were performing difficult vaults that will come along. Beam remains a concern because Georgia has already had about two seasons worth of composition issues in three meets. Rogers is talented enough to be in the lineup and has a great routine, but right now she is stunting their scoring. Shayla had an issue on floor over the weekend (we have become used to Shayla having various issues every two or three weeks, so this is not notable), but Cat Hires likely should come out with Rogers or Davis (if able) coming in for her. Christa Tanella is in the best shape of her collegiate career, and I’m considering promoting her from 9.775 to 9.825. We’ll remain watchful. But, the team cannot rely simply on a range of 9.8s from Tanella and a returned Couch. We need to start seeing the consistency and 9.9s from Jay and Rogers. Adding those two gymnasts to the occasional big scores achieved by Davis and Worley when they are sturdy enough to do so is the successful formula.

10. Stanford – 195.725
The Cardinal won’t be competing again until tomorrow against Georgia, but their high 195 level gymnastics is still currently good enough for the top 10. As we saw on bars in their most recent meet, when Hong, Vaculik, and Shapiro are all competing deep in the lineup, it makes for a successful rotation. Keeping everyone healthy and consistent on floor is going to be a major challenge, so I think it’s a worthwhile investment to continue competing Rice and Chuang to get them prepared. I’m eager to see how this team fares in a difficult road environment at Georgia. It’s not exactly the sturdiest of teams. 

11. Denver – 195.717
12. Minnesota – 195.538
13. Arizona – 195.492
14. Maryland – 195.488
15. Kentucky – 195.383
16. Oregon St. – 194.975
17. Boise St. – 194.875
18. Auburn – 194.858
19. Ohio St. – 194.842
20. Central Michigan – 194.733
21. California – 194.708
22. Pittsburgh – 194.600
23. Kent St. – 194.513
24. NC St. – 194.500
25. Eastern Michigan – 194.475