Category Archives: Fun with Numbers

Fun with Numbers

Quad Records

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Current national scoring records for the 2017-2020 quad (seniors).

UNITED STATES
All-Around Ragan Smith 57.850 August 2017
Vault Jordan Chiles 15.150 August 2017
Bars Riley McCusker 15.050 April 2017
Beam Ragan Smith 15.350 July 2017
Floor Ragan Smith 14.433 October 2017

 

RUSSIA
All-Around Elena Eremina 57.900 August 2017
Vault Angelina Simakova 15.050 November 2017
Bars Anastasia Ilyankova 15.275 August 2017
Beam Maria Kharenkova 15.350 October 2017
Floor Maria Kharenkova
Angelina Melnikova		 14.500 August 2017
April 2018

 

CHINA
All-Around Liu Tingting 56.800 May 2017
Vault Zhang Jin
Liu Jinru		 14.550 May 2018
May 2017
Bars Fan Yilin 15.166 October 2017
Beam Liu Tingting 15.300 May 2017
Floor Wang Yan 13.800 September 2017

 

JAPAN
All-Around Asuka Teramoto 56.800 August 2017
Vault Sae Miyakawa 15.100 June 2017
Bars Hitomi Hatakeda 14.500 June 2017
Beam Kiko Kuwajima 14.500 February 2018
Floor Mai Murakami 14.800 August 2017

 

GREAT BRITAIN
All-Around Ellie Downie 56.198 April 2017
Vault Ellie Downie 14.950 March 2017
Bars Georgia Mae-Fenton
Becky Downie		 14.600 3 occasions
April 2017
Beam Alice Kinsella 14.050 March 2017
Floor Taeja James 14.100 April 2018

 

ITALY
All-Around Martina Maggio 55.450 May 2017
Vault Martina Maggio 14.800 May 2017
Bars Martina Maggio 14.050 May 2017
Beam Elisa Meneghini 13.950 September 2017
Floor Desiree Carofiglio 13.900 May 2017

 

NETHERLANDS
All-Around Eythora Thorsdottir 56.350 February 2017
Vault Tisha Volleman 14.500 September 2017
Bars Sanne Wevers 13.933 November 2017
Beam Eythora Thorsdottir 14.850 February 2017
Floor Eythora Thorsdottir 14.000 February 2017

 

BRAZIL
All-Around Rebeca Andrade 56.000 April 2017
Vault Rebeca Andrade 15.150 September 2017
Bars Rebeca Andrade 14.450 September 2017
Beam Daniele Hypolito 14.600 June 2018
Floor Thais Fidelis 14.200 August 2017

 

FRANCE
All-Around Melanie De Jesus Dos Santos 55.450 May 2017
Vault Coline Devillard 14.633 April 2017
Bars Melanie De Jesus Dos Santos 14.650 November 2017
Beam Marine Boyer 14.900 May 2017
Floor Melanie De Jesus Dos Santos 14.200 May 2018

 

GERMANY
All-Around Tabea Alt 54.866 April 2017
Vault Sarah Voss 14.600 December 2017
Bars Elisabeth Seitz 14.900 November 2017
Beam Pauline Schäfer 14.150 June 2017
Floor Kim Bui 13.566 April 2017

 

BELGIUM
All-Around Nina Derwael 54.250 March 2018
Vault Maellyse Brassart 14.100 February 2018
Bars Nina Derwael 15.350 May 2018
Beam Nina Derwael 13.900 June 2017
Floor Rune Hermans 13.500 March 2018

 

CANADA
All-Around Ellie Black 56.199 May 2018
Vault Shallon Olsen 14.900 March 2018
Bars Ellie Black 14.400 October 2017
May 2018
Beam Ellie Back 14.400 August 2017
Floor Brooklyn Moors 14.600 February 2018

 

ROMANIA
All-Around Larisa Iordache 58.466 September 2017
Vault Larisa Iordache 14.800 September 2017
Bars Larisa Iordache 14.533 September 2017
Beam Larisa Iordache 15.566 September 2017
Floor Larisa Iordache 14.266 September 2017
AUSTRALIA
All-Around Georgia Godwin 56.325 May 2018
Vault Emily Little 14.750 May 2017
Bars Georgia Godwin 14.575 May 2018
Beam Georgia Godwin 14.625 May 2018
Floor Georgia Godwin 14.525 May 2018

Continue reading Quad Records →

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Fun with Numbers

Operation Hall of 10s

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This season, I have been updating and expanding the Hall of 10s (always available at the top of the page) with the goal of including names, dates, and apparatuses for every 10 ever scored in NCAA gymnastics.

It currently includes 873 scores of 10.0 dating from Kelly Garrison in 1988 to Elizabeth Price in 2018, but it’s definitely not the complete account of every 10.0 ever scored. I’m missing exact dates for a number of 10s from the mid-90s (because apparently the internet was invented 7 days ago, and before that we didn’t have calendars and told time by the wind).

Plus, most of the Jenny Hansen 10s don’t appear at all in the list because I’m missing years for them (I currently have dates for just six of the twenty-one vault 10s and none of the six floor 10s). No matter. She’s not the most 10-ed NCAA gymnast of all time or anything (oh wait, yes she is). Information is also pretty sparse for those schools that don’t have programs anymore, since they’re weirdly not super concerned about maintaining records because of the whole not-existing thing.

So, I think we can do better if we work together. I know we have a lot of the original fans out there, so take a look at the list and let me know if you have information that isn’t included so that this can become a more complete Hall of 10s.

As we have it now, you may be interested to know (if you’re a trash nerd like me), that the 10-iest day in the history of college gymnastics came on March 12, 2004, when twelve separate 10.000s were awarded (five to Arizona State alone). Disclaimer: 2004 is not a role model.

Plus, a scavenger hunt: Can you find the only athlete in NCAA history who has scored a 10.000 for two different schools?

Fun with Numbers

2018 Returning Routine Rankings

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As the process of preparing for the 2018 season forges ahead (next stop: team-by-team freshman previews), I have ranked the top 32 teams based on how they would score in a meet using only the routines that return from the 2017 season.

It’s a method of evaluating which teams are currently best suited to succeed in 2018 using proven routines already at their disposal, as well as how many useful routines teams will need to get from transfers and freshmen to replace some of the dumpier backup scores from last season. Are they already flush with 9.850s? Or would they have to count some 9.6s if the freshmen don’t come through?

RQSs are used when available. When not available, season average is used. Most teams do return at least five people who competed once on each piece last season to fill out a full event score, but if they lack a fifth score from 2017, scores from the previous season are used. For instance, Oklahoma returns only four people who competed on floor last season, but Alex Marks did compete floor in 2016 for 9.700, so that score is used. Those instances are marked by **.

When there are no scores from previous seasons to be used, event totals are filled out with a “replacement average,” the composite average of all gymnasts who competed that event for that team last season but didn’t make the final lineup. Basically, it’s an approximation of what a typical “replacement level” routine should score for that team on that event. 

1. FLORIDA – 197.959
VAULT
McMurtry – 9.950
Slocum – 9.945
Boren – 9.925
Baker – 9.898
Hundley – 9.850
49.568

Chant – 9.831
Alexander – 9.804
Gowey – 9.800
Cheney – 9.750

 BARS
McMurtry – 9.930
Hundley – 9.925
Baker – 9.880
Boren – 9.860
Gowey – 9.850
49.445

Chant – 9.820
McLaughlin – 9.800
BEAM
McMurtry – 9.925
Boren – 9.900
Gowey – 9.895
Hundley – 9.880
Baker – 9.855
49.455

McLaughlin – 9.845
Cheney – 9.735

 FLOOR
Baker – 9.945
Boren – 9.945
Hundley – 9.885
Slocum – 9.870
McMurtry – 9.846
49.491

McLaughlin – 9.805
Gowey – 9.700
Chant – 9.338

The upcoming season looks like Florida’s best chance to win a title in the post-Rhonda era so far because they return every lineup routine from last season, as well as adding a few famous friends to the mix.

2. OKLAHOMA – 197.790
VAULT
Nichols – 9.955
Dowell – 9.935
Jackson – 9.900
DeGouveia – 9.830
Marks – 9.815
49.435		 BARS
Nichols – 9.960
Lehrmann – 9.910
Dowell – 9.905
Catour – 9.900
Craus – 9.850
49.525
BEAM
Nichols – 9.955
Brown – 9.910
Catour – 9.880
Lehrmann – 9.855
Jackson – 9.825
49.425		 FLOOR
Nichols – 9.965
Jackson – 9.960
Dowell – 9.910
Brown – 9.870
Marks – 9.700**
49.405

The departures of the Capps/Wofford/Jones crew mean that the defending champs do not return the same level of depth as Florida to fill out lineups and will need to come up with two new routines on each event to erase some of the entirely un-Oklahoma scores at the bottom of these lists.

3. LSU – 197.676
VAULT
Edney – 9.910
Hambrick – 9.905
Harrold – 9.890
Finnegan – 9.855
Priessman – 9.855
49.415

Kelley – 9.825
Cannamela – 9.820

 BARS
Priessman – 9.925
Edney – 9.900
Hambrick – 9.885
Finnegan – 9.880
Harrold – 9.855
49.445
BEAM
Finnegan – 9.945
Hambrick – 9.900
Macadaeg – 9.900
Edney – 9.875
Li – 9.755
49.375

Priessman – 9.525

 FLOOR
Hambrick – 9.930
Kelley – 9.925
Edney – 9.870
Finnegan – 9.866
Harrold – 9.850
49.441

Priessman – 9.685
Kirby – 9.625

LSU has a hearty-enough returning crop, though the lack of Gnat scores in particular drops them down to third in the returning rankings. That unflinching beam lineup will have to be reformulated a little this season with a couple new sets.

4. UTAH – 197.293
VAULT
Skinner – 9.925
Merrell-Giles – 9.855
Lewis – 9.850
Lee – 9.840
Roberts – 9.785
49.255

Tessen – 9.783
Schwab – 9.775
Muhaw – 9.705
McNatt – 9.688
Reinstadtler – 9.500

 BARS
Skinner – 9.905
Lewis – 9.880
Lee – 9.845
Reinstadtler – 9.840
Merrell-Giles – 9.835
49.305

Schwab – 9.825
Tessen – 9.808
BEAM
Skinner – 9.900
Lee – 9.890
Reinstadtler – 9.850
Merrell-Giles – 9.840
McNatt – 9.838
49.318

Stover – 9.830
Schwab – 9.775

 FLOOR
Skinner – 9.965
Lewis – 9.890
Reinstadtler – 9.875
Roberts – 9.845
Merrell-Giles – 9.840
49.415

Tessen – 9.825
Lee – 9.775
Schwab – 9.763

Utah fares quite well in returning routines, having lost only Baely Rowe’s sets from last season, and should have its pick of current routines and injury-comeback routines to fill out the majority of lineups without needing to expect too, too much from the freshmen. Continue reading 2018 Returning Routine Rankings →

Fun with Numbers

NCAA All-Around Leaders (All-time)

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I blame Maggie Nichols. All of these high all-around scores she’s dancing around in right now mean that we need some historical reference points by which to compare what she’s doing to the highest all-time individual AA performance. So here we are.

Rank Name School Score Year
1. Karin Lichey Georgia 40.000 1996
2. Mohini Bhardwaj UCLA 39.975 2001
3. Suzanne Metz Utah 39.950 1995
4. Maggie Nichols Oklahoma 39.925 2017
5. Jamie Dantzscher UCLA 39.900 2002
Kristen Kenoyer Utah 39.900 1993
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.900 2009
8. Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.875 2004
April Burkholder LSU 39.875 2003
Jenny Hansen Kentucky 39.875 1995
Jenny Hansen Kentucky 39.875 1994
Ashley Kelly Arizona State 39.875 2006
Ashley Kelly Arizona State 39.875 2004
Ashley Kelly Arizona State 39.875 2003
Karin Lichey Georgia 39.875 1998
Emily Pritchard Washington 39.875 2004
Melissa Vituj Utah 39.875 2004
18. Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.850 2004
Ashley Kelly Arizona State 39.850 2004
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.850 2009
Karin Lichey Georgia 39.850 1999
Maggie Nichols Oklahoma 39.850 2017
Andree’ Pickens Alabama 39.850 2002
Jeana Rice Alabama 39.850 2004
Kate Richardson UCLA 39.850 2004
26. April Burkholder LSU 39.825 2005
Ashleigh Clare-Kearney LSU 39.825 2008
Rheagan Courville LSU 39.825 2015
Natalie Foley Stanford 39.825 2004
Larissa Fontaine Stanford 39.825 2000
Alaina Johnson Florida 39.825 2014
Karin Lichey Georgia 39.825 1999
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.825 2009
Kristen Maloney UCLA 39.825 2005
Kelly McDonald Washington 39.825 2004
Maggie Nichols Oklahoma 39.825 2017
Emily Pritchard Washington 39.825 2004
Elise Ray Michigan 39.825 2002
Kate Richardson UCLA 39.825 2003
Tasha Schwikert UCLA 39.825 2005
Richelle Simpson Nebraska 39.825 2003
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.825 2014
Lindsay Wing Stanford 39.825 2004
44. Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.800 2004
Kim Arnold Georgia 39.800 1997
Kim Arnold Georgia 39.800 1997
Mohini Bhardwaj UCLA 39.800 2001
Mohini Bhardwaj UCLA 39.800 2001
April Burkholder LSU 39.800 2004
Chelsa Byrd Georgia 39.800 2004
Ashleigh Clare-Kearney LSU 39.800 2008
Jamie Dantzscher UCLA 39.800 2002
Natalie Foley Stanford 39.800 2004
Dee Foster Alabama 39.800 1993
Dee Foster Alabama 39.800 1993
Cory Fritzinger Georgia 39.800 2002
Maggie Germaine Arizona State 39.800 2004
Kristen Guise Florida 39.800 1996
Jenny Hansen Kentucky 39.800 1995
Kytra Hunter Florida 39.800 2013
Ashley Kelly Arizona State 39.800 2004
Kristen Kenoyer Utah 39.800 1993
Theresa Kulikowski Utah 39.800 2002
Theresa Kulikowski Utah 39.800 2002
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.800 2009
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.800 2006
Ashley Postell Utah 39.800 2008
Elise Ray Michigan 39.800 2004
Kate Richardson UCLA 39.800 2004
Agina Simpkins Gerogia 39.800 1993
Richelle Simpson Nebraska 39.800 2003
Richelle Simpson Nebraska 39.800 2003
Richelle Simpson Nebraska 39.800 2003
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.800 2015
Heather Stepp Georgia 39.800 1993
Melissa Vituj Utah 39.800 2004
Onnie Willis UCLA 39.800 2003
Onnie Willis UCLA 39.800 2003
 79. Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.775 2004
Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.775 2004
Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.775 2004
Mohini Bhardwaj UCLA 39.775 2001
Leah Brown Georgia 39.775 1997
Leah Brown Georgia 39.775 1997
April Burkholder LSU 39.775 2004
Chayse Capps Oklahoma 39.775 2016
Ashleigh Clare-Kearney LSU 39.775 2007
Georgia Dabritz Utah 39.775 2015
Jamie Dantzscher UCLA 39.775 2003
Jamie Dantzscher UCLA 39.775 2003
Jamie Dantzscher UCLA 39.775 2003
Annabeth Eberle Utah 39.775 2004
Cory Fritzinger Georgia 39.775 2002
Maggie Germaine Arizona State 39.775 2003
Kristen Guise Florida 39.775 1996
Jenny Hansen Kentucky 39.775 1995
Katie Heenan Georgia 39.775 2008
Kytra Hunter Florida 39.775 2013
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.775 2009
Karin Lichey Georgia 39.775 1999
Kristi Lichey Georgia 39.775 2000
Rani Liljenquist Arizona 39.775 2002
Nina McGee Denver 39.775 2016
Heidi Moneymaker UCLA 39.775 2000
Ashley Postell Utah 39.775 2005
Katie Rowland Penn State 39.775 2003
MyKayla Skinner Utah 39.775 2017
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.775 2016
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.775 2016
Lori Strong Georgia 39.775 1996
Lori Strong Georgia 39.775 1995
Meredith Willard Alabama 39.775 1997
Vanessa Zamarripa UCLA 39.775 2012
 114. Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.750 2004
Jeanette Antolin UCLA 39.750 2004
Caitlin Atkinson Auburn 39.750 2015
Monica Bisordi Arizona 39.750 2004
Monica Bisordi Arizona 39.750 2004
Chelsa Byrd Georgia 39.750 2004
Sarah Cain Michigan 39.750 2000
Sarah Cain Michigan 39.750 2000
Chayse Capps Oklahoma 39.750 2017
Chari Knight Oregon State 39.750 1993
Rheagan Courville LSU 39.750 2014
Rheagan Courville LSU 39.750 2013
Georgia Dabritz Utah 39.750 2015
Jamie Dantzscher UCLA 39.750 2003
Dee Foster Alabama 39.750 1993
Dee Foster Alabama 39.750 1993
Erin Dethloff Iowa State 39.750 2004
Erinn Dooley Florida 39.750 2004
Annabeth Eberle Utah 39.750 2003
Cory Fritzinger Georgia 39.750 2002
Tami Harris Nebraska 39.750 2004
Kytra Hunter Florida 39.750 2015
Kytra Hunter Florida 39.750 2015
Jennifer Wood LSU 39.750 1995
Jenny Hansen Kentucky 39.750 1993
Karin Lichey Georgia 39.750 1998
Ashley Kelly Arizona State 39.750 2004
Ashley Kelly Arizona State 39.750 2003
Kim Kelly Alabama 39.750 1996
Kim Kelly Alabama 39.750 1994
Kristen Kenoyer Utah 39.750 1993
Kristen Kenoyer Utah 39.750 1992
Theresa Kulikowski Utah 39.750 1999
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.750 2008
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.750 2007
Courtney Kupets Georgia 39.750 2006
AJ Lamb Nebraska 39.750 2003
Leah Homma UCLA 39.750 1996
Alexis Maday Iowa 39.750 2004
Kristen Maloney UCLA 39.750 2005
Kristen Maloney UCLA 39.750 2004
Kristen Maloney UCLA 39.750 2004
Maggie Nichols Oklahoma 39.750 2017
Maggie Nichols Oklahoma 39.750 2017
Andree’ Pickens Alabama 39.750 2002
Andree’ Pickens Alabama 39.750 2001
Andree’ Pickens Alabama 39.750 1999
Ashley Postell Utah 39.750 2008
Ashley Postell Utah 39.750 2008
Elise Ray Michigan 39.750 2004
Jeana Rice Alabama 39.750 2004
Jeana Rice Alabama 39.750 2003
Jeana Rice Alabama 39.750 2003
Kate Richardson UCLA 39.750 2004
Kate Richardson UCLA 39.750 2004
Kate Richardson UCLA 39.750 2003
Tasha Schwikert UCLA 39.750 2007
MyKayla Skinner Utah 39.750 2017
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.750 2014
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.750 2014
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.750 2013
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.750 2013
Bridget Sloan Florida 39.750 2013
Lindsay Wing Stanford 39.750 2001
Vanessa Zamarripa UCLA 39.750 2013
Fun with Numbers

2017 v. 2016

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It’s one thing to compare teams to each other, as we do in the rankings every week, but how a team measures up to its own standards is also a significant benchmark, particularly for those teams with no realistic postseason or beating-other-schools aspirations.

So, today’s journey into the numbers offers an intra-team comparison of how all the teams are currently scoring versus how they were scoring after the same number of meets in the 2016 season.

For most teams, the comparison is reason for optimism, even for a roller-coaster team like Georgia that, in spite of its “the bus is in the gully” start to the season, has improved on 2016 in each subsequent meet and is now better off than it was at this point last year.

In fact, the heavy majority of teams are scoring better this year than they did in 2016, with 54 teams having improved their averages versus just 28 teams falling off from last season. This is particularly apparent at the bottom of the rankings among the DII and DIII teams where only a handful of teams are weaker this season and many have improved their averages to the tune of multiple points. The national average of averages for all 82 teams sits at 192.500 right now, compared to 192.082 at this time last season, which is not an insignificant bump. Teams are scoring a half point better than they were last year. So, yeah, that trend of increasing scores doesn’t show much sign of abating. Continue reading 2017 v. 2016 →

Fun with Numbers

First Meet History

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The first meets of the season are in the books (for almost all the teams), and since everyone has decided based on only that who the Super Six teams will be, we should probably just fast forward to regionals, right? We have all we need to know.

Last night, Stanford performed a catastrophic floor rotation, a clunky beam rotation, and a surprisingly OK vault rotation to score the traditional first-meet 1.100 in a show of true compassion for Georgia. Stanford’s 193.250 is its lowest first-meet score in over a decade, and yet my general impression was, “Could have been worse.” So there’s that. Stanford would like us to know that starting slowly is all part of a cunning master plan that works almost a third of the time. UNSTOPPABLE.

Considering various teams and their general trends of starting slowly/quickly and whether that’s a good thing or a bad thing or even matters, I plotted the first-meet scores of the eventual champions for each of the last 10 years.

champions

What this tells us is that there’s not a rule. You could be Oklahoma in 2014 and start high, stay high, and end high (team motto?), or you could be Alabama in 2011 and start in the garbage before pulling it back. The good news for teams that struggled in the first meet this year is that apart from that Oklahoma 2014 number, these aren’t overwhelming scores. (But they’re also not 193s, Georgia and Stanford.) Champions don’t have to be champions in the first week and often aren’t.

That’s also reflected in the average first-meet scores for the six ultimate Super Six qualifiers.

super-six

In 2014, the good teams all started well and remained excellent right through to the end, but that’s sort of an outlier. In 2015, Stanford and Auburn were trash in the first meet and came back to make Super Six. In 2011, none of the six final qualifiers scored higher than 195.700 in the opening meet. Scores were lower as a whole in 2011, but not that much lower. So it can be done. Continue reading First Meet History →

Fun with Numbers

Does It Pay to 1.5?

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The start value of the Yurchenko full may have been changed to promote more variety on vault, but the most delicious byproduct of the move has been the creation of a big, fat dilemma. The new strategic twist for coaches to grapple with: does an extra .05 actually make the Yurchenko 1.5 worth it, or is it smarter to stay with the trusty full?

Preseason training videos reveal that this dilemma is even more widespread this year than last year, and over the next month or so, coaches will have to make major decisions about whether their gymnasts should actually compete that wonky 1.5 they’ve been training.

So……should they?

Thankfully, we now have a whole season of evidence to use in making that decision for them, so let’s take a look at whether competing the Yurchenko 1.5 actually ended up being worth it in 2016.

Item 1: The average vault scores from the national championship (semifinals and Super Six), separated by type of vault. The first table includes all vaults, while the second table removes the falls.

2016 Nationals – Average Scores (with falls)
Yurchenko 1.5 9.829
Other vaults 9.821
Yurchenko full 9.803
2016 Nationals – Average Scores (no falls)
Yurchenko 1.5 9.867
Other vaults 9.863
Yurchenko full 9.803

The story these tables tell is a relatively optimistic one for Team 1.5. Even with a few falls at nationals, the 1.5 still ended up being more valuable than the full on average, a good argument for its being worth the risk. When falls are not included, the margin between the vaults balloons to 0.064, greater than the 0.050 difference in start value. Continue reading Does It Pay to 1.5? →