The Balance Beam Situation

Because gymnastics is a comedy, not a drama

Worlds Team Rankings – Women

With the world championships just a hop, skip, and a jump away and—some of—the teams actually confirmed, today I’m looking at how the 24 23 (RIP Romania) women’s teams competing at worlds this year rank against each other.

The listed athletes are either confirmed as on their teams or are the best guess right now for countries that have not been selected/confirmed. Each gymnast’s score on each event is their average for the entirety of 2022. So take that for whatever you’d like.

1. UNITED STATES
Shilese Jones14.35714.24412.96913.477
Jordan Chiles14.24713.85313.55013.880
Jade Carey14.69713.60513.35713.522
Leanne Wong14.40013.76713.36713.600
Skye Blakely13.96713.30013.21013.326
43.45441.86440.27441.002166.594
Leanne Wong for all-around I guess? You wouldn’t necessarily use these specific bold people on each event, but this gives a pretty solid impression of US vault strength and beam…questions compared to the international field, with room to improve on a number of these scores (Jones UB, Carey FX) on a hit day. Depending on how the team ends up, we should view the US women as pre-competition team gold favorites, but definitely not 2014-2019 level locks.
2. BRAZIL
Rebeca Andrade14.54214.68714.20013.900
Flavia Saraiva14.05013.53313.71013.592
Julia Soares12.74412.21313.43813.321
Lorrane Oliveira11.76713.40312.52812.734
Carolyne Pedro13.15312.52612.31912.700
41.74541.62341.34840.813165.529
Brazil’s 2nd-place position here should tell us that a team medal is actually, truly, real-life possible for the Brazilian women this year because, even though these scores do reflect a completely hit day, none of them are out of the question and some of them can be improved upon.
3. CHINA
Tang Xijing13.01714.41913.69612.883
Ou Yushan13.00013.73914.09213.067
Zhang Jin13.72512.85413.93313.140
Luo Rui11.53314.63914.08313.133
Wei Xiaoyuan12.91214.75013.33312.683
39.74243.80842.10839.340164.998
If this is the team of five China goes with, they’ll be top of the heap on bars and beam, with easily the best bars team and the highest beam scoring potential at worlds (should staying-on happen). What’s interesting here is that a team medal looks possible, but not definite, with Yurchenko full scores from Tang and Ou. Hit DTYs from Tang and Ou would boost China to a pretty solid silver medal favorite, but also…remember the Olympic team final. Do you risk it?
4. ITALY
Martina Maggio13.78613.72513.73613.668
Alice D’Amato14.00714.15612.71712.848
Giorgia Villa13.27514.21813.13013.225
Manila Esposito13.33013.44813.08213.058
Veronica Mandriota13.68612.62713.09513.138
41.47942.09939.96140.031163.570
The injuries to Asia D’Amato and Angela Andreoli have dropped Italy’s score some, but the heartening sign here for the Italians will be that these scores clearly understate their ability in several departments (i.e. the overall scores for beam hits), so you could see a hit meet doing noticeably better than this.
5. GREAT BRITAIN
Jessica Gadirova14.05513.05813.04613.950
Alice Kinsella13.65313.36712.65013.196
Georgia-Mae Fenton12.81713.73513.14712.525
Ondine Achampong13.97212.86213.25212.700
Jennifer Gadirova13.07513.20012.90713.479
41.68040.30239.44540.625162.052
The British team’s average scores this year check in a little bit behind the countries in the medal positions—but definitely still within the “if we hit and you don’t” margin.
6. JAPAN
Miyata Shoko14.20012.75012.89313.413
Yamada Chiharu13.70813.44012.20012.841
Sakaguchi Ayaka14.06012.23313.02613.186
Watanabe Hazuki13.34113.51113.13312.122
Fukasawa Kokoro13.53313.84611.88812.544
41.96840.79739.05239.440161.257
For a pretty new, unheralded Japanese team, a 6th-place finish would be an extremely solid result. I’d consider a team final showing a victory.
7. FRANCE
Aline Friess13.92913.43512.90313.275
Carolann Heduit13.76313.14113.03312.822
Marine Boyer13.28112.45012.97012.827
Coline Devillard14.24010.95011.96711.575
M De Jesus Dos Santos10.90012.950
41.93239.02638.95338.924158.835
For France, it’s really going to be down to the Melanie Factor. We haven’t seen her on all the events—or with all the hits—so far this year, but she is capable of bringing these scores up many points and getting France into the mix.
8. AUSTRALIA
Georgia Godwin13.71713.08813.46412.843
Kate McDonald12.62212.88012.89012.378
Romi Brown13.27913.48312.02212.430
Emily Whitehead13.12512.26312.51412.890
Breanna Scott13.32212.51711.70412.522
40.31839.45138.86838.255156.892
I didn’t use Georgia-Rose Brown here because she doesn’t have any scores this year, but she’s on the traveling six and could be part of the five. It’s going to be a free-for-all for the last spot or two in team final, but keep Australia in mind. Australia’s team score at the Commonwealth Games would have been a close 4th at Euros.
9. CANADA
Sydney Turner13.07412.91012.65812.462
Denelle Pedrick13.78311.87211.61712.789
Shallon Olsen13.994012.42512.320
Ellie Black12.91313.64712.74711.850
Emma Spence13.28612.73712.49512.481
41.06339.29437.90037.732155.989
Canada has a secret weapon in its quest to make the team final: the potential for real scores from Ellie Black on vault and floor, which we haven’t seen so far this year. A normal AA score from Black would bump Canada into the top 8.
10. SOUTH KOREA
Shin Solyi13.25412.75012.71312.879
Eom Dohyun12.48312.90012.01712.467
Yeo Seojeong14.06112.32512.24213.039
Lee Dayeong12.76312.66711.83312.467
Lee Yunseo12.74413.49612.98812.596
40.07839.14637.94338.514155.681
Recall that South Korea defeated Japan at the Asian Championships earlier this year by nearly 3 points. They’re going to need performances more like that and less like the final trial in early September—when Lee YS had some misses and Yeo SJ withdrew—but South Korea should be considered among the legitimate team forces.
11. NETHERLANDS
Tisha Volleman13.01312.82412.22612.636
Sanna Veerman13.31413.04012.11512.313
Naomi Visser13.11313.70212.49212.753
Eythora Thorsdottir13.45013.16712.18913.123
Eve de Ruiter13.00010.83311.01112.467
39.87739.90936.90738.512155.205
We’ll have to wait on the status of Sanna Veerman after she suffered an injury at the final trail because the team is really looking for a bars score from her. The surprise of the Dutch team is Eve de Ruiter, who jumped onto the squad after good beam and floor results at the final trial, so we could see her contribute to the team on those events even though her overall averages aren’t up there.
12. HUNGARY
Csenge Bacskay13.35010.70711.1500
Zsofia Kovacs14.09813.81012.73312.846
Greta Mayer13.24811.15012.64012.678
Zoja Szekely12.80013.24711.26712.067
Mirtill Makovits12.23312.64311.72111.682
40.69639.70037.09437.591155.081
13. GERMANY
Emma Malewski12.60012.51913.16612.137
Pauline Schäfer13.142013.15012.250
Elisabeth Seitz13.10713.91700
Karina Schönmaier13.16312.42811.27212.356
Anna-Lena König12.90011.75211.08312.483
39.41238.86437.58837.089152.953
It’s now a very depleted German team post-Euros that will likely be eyeing individual event success rather than a team result.
14. BELGIUM
Maellyse Brassart13.11612.54611.68311.814
Noemie Louon12.87812.62912.02811.861
Lisa Vaelen13.61913.51712.52512.946
Jutta Verkest12.87112.40811.45812.200
Nina Derwael0000
39.61338.69236.23637.007151.548
We don’t have any scores from Nina Derwael this year, but if Belgium gets a full performance from her and some hits from some others who haven’t been hitting yet this year, we could see a dramatic jump.
15. MEXICO
Ahtziri Sandoval13.94413.41110.40010.750
Natalia Escalera13.37312.75311.87512.280
Paulina Campos12.85012.68311.68311.742
Cassandra Loustalot12.56610.56612.80011.766
Cinthia Ruiz13.06611.40010.13310.766
40.38338.84736.35835.788151.376
16. ARGENTINA
Brisa Carraro12.66712.76711.98912.578
Meline Mesropian12.90012.43310.36712.167
Rocio Saucedo12.48912.00011.81112.184
Leila Martinez12.40011.73311.03311.800
Sira Macias12.60012.87811.60011.834
38.16738.07835.40036.929148.574
17. FINLAND
Maisa Kuusikko13.28312.80912.54012.371
Ada Hautala12.91710.50811.39712.380
Sani Mäkelä13.31111.99611.50012.350
Kaia Tanskanen12.96710.87510.99612.792
39.56135.68035.43737.543148.221
18. SWEDEN
Tonya Paulsson12.73312.86612.03311.767
Emelie Westlund11.81611.75811.81111.133
Nathalie Westlund12.64413.21611.70011.980
Alva Eriksson12.14611.39710.30012.087
Malva Wingren12.72910.57710.05512.000
38.10637.84035.54436.067147.557
19. SPAIN
Emma Fernandez12.82111.48511.86312.329
Lorena Medina12.84211.56911.94712.071
Paula Raya12.83812.25311.27811.979
Laura Casabuena12.60212.40011.68012.436
Marina Gonzalez0000
38.50136.22235.49036.836147.049
Spain shouldn’t actually finish this low in real life, but the scores and consistency haven’t been there this year, and there are only four people’s scores to choose from so far (and no Alba Petisco).
20. TAIWAN
Ting Hua Tien11.88411.78312.45012.434
Mai Liu Hsiang Han12.33412.21712.44211.909
Lai Pin Ju12.61311.55812.30012.110
Chen Chian Shiun11.85010.90011.95011.325
Wu Sing Fen0000
36.83135.55837.19236.453146.034
21. UKRAINE
Margaryta Kozlovska11.61710.96811.93811.525
Yulia Kasianenko12.70011.71112.34211.600
Valeria Osipova13.01111.34212.01712.089
Yelizaveta Hubareva12.60812.25811.66711.566
Diana Savelieva0010.30011.666
38.31935.31136.29735.355145.282
22. AUSTRIA
Jasmin Mader12.33311.73311.40512.442
Alissa Mörz12.90011.00010.43311.450
Selina Kickinger12.24412.23610.33311.742
Charlize Mörz12.48310.75011.38811.943
Berta Schwaninger12.80010.6509.30011.050
38.18334.96933.26636.127142.505
23. EGYPT
Nancy Taman12.8000011.800
Jana Mahmoud12.78911.2789.85011.960
Jana Abdelsalam12.78310.95511.45011.494
Jana Aboelhasan12.31110.48910.86311.650
Zeina Ibrahim012.28711.8280
38.37234.52034.14135.410142.443

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