With the world championships just a hop, skip, and a jump away and—some of—the teams actually confirmed, today I’m looking at how the
24 23 (RIP Romania) women’s teams competing at worlds this year rank against each other.
The listed athletes are either confirmed as on their teams or are the best guess right now for countries that have not been selected/confirmed. Each gymnast’s score on each event is their average for the entirety of 2022. So take that for whatever you’d like.
|1. UNITED STATES|
|Leanne Wong for all-around I guess? You wouldn’t necessarily use these specific bold people on each event, but this gives a pretty solid impression of US vault strength and beam…questions compared to the international field, with room to improve on a number of these scores (Jones UB, Carey FX) on a hit day. Depending on how the team ends up, we should view the US women as pre-competition team gold favorites, but definitely not 2014-2019 level locks.|
|Brazil’s 2nd-place position here should tell us that a team medal is actually, truly, real-life possible for the Brazilian women this year because, even though these scores do reflect a completely hit day, none of them are out of the question and some of them can be improved upon.|
|If this is the team of five China goes with, they’ll be top of the heap on bars and beam, with easily the best bars team and the highest beam scoring potential at worlds (should staying-on happen). What’s interesting here is that a team medal looks possible, but not definite, with Yurchenko full scores from Tang and Ou. Hit DTYs from Tang and Ou would boost China to a pretty solid silver medal favorite, but also…remember the Olympic team final. Do you risk it?|
|The injuries to Asia D’Amato and Angela Andreoli have dropped Italy’s score some, but the heartening sign here for the Italians will be that these scores clearly understate their ability in several departments (i.e. the overall scores for beam hits), so you could see a hit meet doing noticeably better than this.|
|5. GREAT BRITAIN|
|The British team’s average scores this year check in a little bit behind the countries in the medal positions—but definitely still within the “if we hit and you don’t” margin.|
|For a pretty new, unheralded Japanese team, a 6th-place finish would be an extremely solid result. I’d consider a team final showing a victory.|
|M De Jesus Dos Santos||10.900||12.950|
|For France, it’s really going to be down to the Melanie Factor. We haven’t seen her on all the events—or with all the hits—so far this year, but she is capable of bringing these scores up many points and getting France into the mix.|
|I didn’t use Georgia-Rose Brown here because she doesn’t have any scores this year, but she’s on the traveling six and could be part of the five. It’s going to be a free-for-all for the last spot or two in team final, but keep Australia in mind. Australia’s team score at the Commonwealth Games would have been a close 4th at Euros.|
|Canada has a secret weapon in its quest to make the team final: the potential for real scores from Ellie Black on vault and floor, which we haven’t seen so far this year. A normal AA score from Black would bump Canada into the top 8.|
|10. SOUTH KOREA|
|Recall that South Korea defeated Japan at the Asian Championships earlier this year by nearly 3 points. They’re going to need performances more like that and less like the final trial in early September—when Lee YS had some misses and Yeo SJ withdrew—but South Korea should be considered among the legitimate team forces.|
|Eve de Ruiter||13.000||10.833||11.011||12.467|
|We’ll have to wait on the status of Sanna Veerman after she suffered an injury at the final trail because the team is really looking for a bars score from her. The surprise of the Dutch team is Eve de Ruiter, who jumped onto the squad after good beam and floor results at the final trial, so we could see her contribute to the team on those events even though her overall averages aren’t up there.|
|It’s now a very depleted German team post-Euros that will likely be eyeing individual event success rather than a team result.|
|We don’t have any scores from Nina Derwael this year, but if Belgium gets a full performance from her and some hits from some others who haven’t been hitting yet this year, we could see a dramatic jump.|
|Spain shouldn’t actually finish this low in real life, but the scores and consistency haven’t been there this year, and there are only four people’s scores to choose from so far (and no Alba Petisco).|
|Ting Hua Tien||11.884||11.783||12.450||12.434|
|Mai Liu Hsiang Han||12.334||12.217||12.442||11.909|
|Lai Pin Ju||12.613||11.558||12.300||12.110|
|Chen Chian Shiun||11.850||10.900||11.950||11.325|
|Wu Sing Fen||0||0||0||0|
10 thoughts on “Worlds Team Rankings – Women”
So our assumed AA athlete still isn’t even on our national team, despite the numbers, despite her performance at nationals, and despite an injured MAG team member being named at championships that night without performing even one event (who, by the way, isn’t going to Worlds due to performance). Why the totally different treatments in MAG vs WAG? What they’ve done to Leanne Wong proves USAG is still trash. Being a national team member is more than having a name on a roster. Let’s hope team trials Friday/Saturday shines a light on where the athletes really are.
That said, 3 points from not making the podium at all is a huge departure for USA, especially with Russia not even being able to compete. USA better hope other teams crack, because it’s almost guaranteed USA will have major errors, likely several. As much as I am rooting for Brazil, I think Rebecca and Flavia are going to be overused and see that having serious consequences. I can’t even predict the actual podium because it’s too close to call, although an Italy, Brazil, Great Britain podium would shake the gymnastics world, and I’d love to see it.
Leanne is also the reigning World AA silver medalist. Let’s not even talk about how they chose Grace over her for the Olympic team, despite the criteria set out, that was a cringe moment to watch on NBC when Tim had to backtrack as Grace was announced. I hope she serves it to them all and gets some redemption.
You kinda forgot that Leanne took herself out of the running for the Olympic team when she bombed beam in night 1 of Trials and scored 11.500. It was an uphill battle at that point to dig herself from 10th place AA night 1 and she did well on night 2 and finished 8th. There was no way that Wong was going to get named to the team over McCallum, Skinner, DiCello, or Eaker who all finished higher than her. Additionally, she was 6th best on vault (without Carey doing vault both nights), 6th on bars, 14th on beam, and 2nd on floor. With only 1 event in the top 4 plus 8th in the AA, that was what killed her chances. If she had hit beam on night 1 like she did night 2 she would have been Olympic silver medalist with the team instead of McCallum.
But I guess when you are someone’s “stan” you conveniently forget some important facts.
Alicia and Chellsie shared with Gymcastic that they unfortunately could not do anything about the situation with Wong because she didn’t compete AA. The NT selection criteria was written before they accepted the positions (which stated added team members had to have completed AA-hence why Sumansekera was added for the juniors, Forester’s final legacy) but that they planned to rewrite future criteria to include criteria for non-AA competitors since there are athletes that didn’t qualify to nationals for the AA but only for 2 or 3 events. Wong could have been added at the last NT camp but she did not attend.
I do agree that the whole situation is ridiculous because she is a 2x World medalist from the previous Worlds and was 1st on bars at Nationals. There is no legitimate reason for her not to have been named to the team other than what was set previously. Both Alicia and Chellsie stated that they want there to be specific criteria put in place, not just rigid all around mandates/ranking, but also not the “Wild West” that was Marta’s process, where no one knew what they needed to do to make the team. I believe they will make some positive changes and make the criteria as transparent as possible.
I don’t agree with comparing to MAG because they have a completely different set of rules and criteria. They also used a bonus system at Nationals which allowed Whittenburg to qualify to Worlds by finishing 2nd with top two guaranteed. Whittenburg was only in 2nd due to the bonus system. Without bonus it would have been Colt Walker locked into Worlds. USOTC head coach Syque Caesar helped write the rules and acknowledged that his athlete, Shane Wiskus, was disadvantaged with the exact selection system he helped write. So we will likely see the criteria revised for next year, whether the weight of Nationals vs Trials will change, they will adjust the bonus points system, or requiring that the top 2 that get locked in also have to be top 3 on at least three events (Whittenburg was only top 3 on 2 events at Nationals). Either way expect revisions.
Spencer, could you do a version with the highest individual score per gymnast, per apparatus, rather than the averages? I think it would be interesting to see if any rankings changed. Regardless, I think it’s ridiculous that teams haven’t been chosen with less than two weeks to go before Worlds.
thanks for the post. are u doing for men too?
This will be a great competition to watch, top 4 teams aren’t far from each other. Andrade and Carey seem to be the favorites vying for multiple individual medals. I’m also curious who will be doing AA for the US – Carey and Wong? If all four US girls hit, they’d each be 56ish and podium contenders, although I think Andrade has enough cushion for gold.
Men’s will be a fun show too – the battle for the bronze, who will it be? It seems the US put a high risk team together that might pay off on the medal count or blow their best chance at bronze in a long time.
2022 World’s is going to be amazing!
I think that it will be Chiles and Jones doing AA for sure, maybe even Wong if she is good to go on 3 events.
If Blakely is on the team she is doing bars and probably beam in TQ. I see Carey being left off bars and potentially beam if Blakely is hitting.
Here is what I assume the lineup will look:
VT (Blakely/Wong) Chiles, Jones, Carey
UB (Blakely/Chiles) Blakely/Chiles, Wong, Jones
BB (Jones) Blakely/Carey, Chiles, Wong (scary rotation)
FX (Blakely/Wong), Jones, Carey, Chiles
Things all depend on Blakely hitting strong bars and beam, Wong’s injury is clear and she is capable of strong AA, Jones has meltdown(s) on beam that could change things as well.
Carey proved in Paris that she can be used for beam in both TQ and TF. So it could be Wong, Chiles, Jones AA in TQ with Blakely on UB and Carey on VT/BB/FX.
Heck, maybe Carey, Wong, Chiles, and Jones all do AA in TQ and Blakely sits the bench.
However, Blakely and potentially Nola Matthews could bring a better bars score than Chiles who went 13.4/13.750 in Paris which was down from her 14.250/14.1 she received at Nationals. Whereas Blakely was 13.933/13.900 on bars at Pan Ams and 13.850/13.900 on bars at Nationals. If Blakely makes the World Team she would definitely be given the opportunity to do bars and maybe beam if she can hit her 6.3 set 2x at World Trials.
Traveling alternate will be either Nola Matthews or Addison Fatta
Technically Romania still has 3 healthy gymnasts. So if they want they can still send Duta and get a 3 up 3 count team score, just saying…
They only entered two gymnasts on the provisional roster/registration.
They confirmed only two gymnasts are going, so only two gymnasts can go.
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