Bold scores must be included as part of the six and can no longer be dropped.
1. Oklahoma – 197.965
Road score 1
198.050
Road score 2
197.950
Road score 3
197.925
Home/road score 1
198.200
Home/road score 2
198.075
Home/road score 3
197.825
NQS:
197.965
2. LSU – 197.825
Road score 1
198.125
Road score 2
197.650
Road score 3
197.300
Home/road score 1
198.575
Home/road score 2
198.050
Home/road score 3
198.000
NQS:
197.825
For the first time in a light century, Oklahoma’s #1 ranking is potentially under threat this week.LSU heads to Auburn with a chance to drop that road 197.300, giving the Fightin’ DDs a higher maximum potential NQS than Oklahoma has. Far from a given, though.
At minimum, LSUwould need to hit the 198 mark to catch Oklahoma. If not, Oklahoma retains #1 regardless. But if so, then we’re looking at how much LSU eclipses 198 by, and whether Oklahoma can increase its own NQS. If LSU goes 198.400, then #1 is LSU’s regardless of what Oklahoma does.
3. Florida – 197.760
Road score 1
198.025
Road score 2
197.575
Road score 3
197.450
Home/road score 1
198.125
Home/road score 2
198.125
Home/road score 3
197.625
NQS:
197.760
Florida is set with a spot in the top three for another week. There is a chance that Florida could pass LSU, but it would require Florida going over 197.950 and LSU going under 197.500 to even begin to entertain it as a possibility.
4. UCLA – 197.600
Road score 1
197.950
Road score 2
197.550
Road score 3
197.550
Home/road score 1
197.675
Home/road score 2
197.675
Home/road score 3
197.550
NQS:
197.600
5. Utah – 197.515
Road score 1
197.950
Road score 2
197.425
Road score 3
197.225
Home/road score 1
198.075
Home/road score 2
197.675
Home/road score 3
197.300
NQS:
197.515
UCLA and Utah face off this weekend with the 4-5 rankings up for grabs—with the recognition that the difference between 4 and 5 is basically pointless because they both go to the same regional as the favorites to advance. But with a slightly higher max NQS, UCLA can ensure hanging on to #4 with a season high.
6. Cal – 197.375
Road score 1
197.675
Road score 2
197.275
Road score 3
197.200
Home/road score 1
197.775
Home/road score 2
197.550
Home/road score 3
197.175
NQS:
197.375
With two meets this coming weekend, we won’t know what Cal’s potential NQS or realistic ranking range is until after Friday, but Missouri is putting the pressure on. Cal will mostly just be hoping for two home meets where the vault judges don’t give Frazier’s DTY a 9.700.
7. Missouri – 197.345
Road score 1
197.725
Road score 2
197.200
Road score 3
197.175
Home/road score 1
198.100
Home/road score 2
197.425
Home/road score 3
197.200
NQS:
197.345
Missouri has a shot at the #6 ranking depending on Cal, but the most tangible goal will be clinching a spot in the SEC evening session, guaranteed with just a 197.250 away against Arkansas.
8. Michigan State – 197.290
Road score 1
197.200
Road score 2
197.150
Road score 3
197.150
Home/road score 1
197.500
Home/road score 2
197.475
Home/road score 3
197.475
NQS:
197.290
Michigan State competes at home on Sunday with a whopping possible NQS range of 197.290-197.295. So this week, MSU’s ranking hinges on what everyone else does.
9. Georgia – 197.135
Road score 1
197.350
Road score 2
197.200
Road score 3
197.175
Home/road score 1
197.200
Home/road score 2
197.125
Home/road score 3
196.975
NQS:
197.135
OK. Let’s get through all the SEC Championships qualification scenarios here. Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, and Arkansas are all at least theoretically at risk of finishing last in the conference and missing the championship. Here’s where we are:
CURRENT NQS
MAX NQS THIS WEEK
Georgia
197.135
197.210
Kentucky
197.130
197.355
Alabama
197.085
197.280
Auburn
197.040
197.210
Arkansas
197.010
197.155
Georgia: With a very bunched range of counting scores, Georgia doesn’t have a lot of room to increase its NQS this week but does have the current NQS edge. Georgia would need to score 197.100 to clinch a spot in the championship even if all the others score season highs.
Kentucky: Kentucky has the most room to grow with a 196.800 road score still to drop, so it would take 196.950 for Kentucky to clinch.
Alabama:Alabama did not get the hugely huge scores they were looking for from the two-meet weekend, so there’s still work to be done. Not too much, though, as a 197.050 away at Michigan would do it.
Auburn: Of the current top 8, Auburn is in the most precarious position but still does control its own destiny and can clinch with a 197.500.
Arkansas:Arkansas is the one not in control of its own championship destiny. If the other four teams all get those goal scores, Arkansas is out no matter what. But if even one of them doesn’t, there’s still a chance. At very very minimum, Arkansas has to go 197.150. Any lower, and the chance is done. 197.150+ and we start looking at what everyone else is doing.
10. Kentucky – 197.130
Road score 1
197.225
Road score 2
197.150
Road score 3
196.800
Home/road score 1
197.925
Home/road score 2
197.300
Home/road score 3
197.175
NQS:
197.130
11. Oregon State – 197.090
Road score 1
197.025
Road score 2
196.975
Road score 3
196.950
Home/road score 1
197.600
Home/road score 2
197.325
Home/road score 3
197.175
NQS:
197.090
Both remaining meets for Oregon State are at home, so those road 196s are locked, which will make it tough to move up too too much.
12. Alabama – 197.085
Road score 1
197.650
Road score 2
196.875
Road score 3
196.675
Home/road score 1
197.450
Home/road score 2
197.350
Home/road score 3
197.075
NQS:
197.085
13. Stanford – 197.065
Road score 1
197.400
Road score 2
197.100
Road score 3
196.925
Home/road score 1
197.250
Home/road score 2
197.025
Home/road score 3
197.025
NQS:
197.065
Like Cal, Stanford has two meets this weekend and could make a real move if things to go plan—and if there’s some sort of an SEC-based beam nightmare.
14. Auburn – 197.040
Road score 1
197.750
Road score 2
197.150
Road score 3
196.825
Home/road score 1
197.300
Home/road score 2
197.025
Home/road score 3
196.900
NQS:
197.040
15. Minnesota – 197.030
Road score 1
197.375
Road score 2
197.325
Road score 3
196.800
Home/road score 1
197.125
Home/road score 2
197.075
Home/road score 3
196.825
NQS:
197.030
With the super tight bunching of teams in this part of the rankings, Minnesota would end up as high as 9th given a season best and everyone else getting snowed out or something. It’s not the most likely outcome, but that’s the range of possibilities.
16. Arkansas – 197.010
Road score 1
197.725
Road score 2
197.050
Road score 3
196.400
Home/road score 1
197.425
Home/road score 2
197.175
Home/road score 3
197.000
NQS:
197.010
The top 16 teams are seeded at the four regional sites, which would divide like this right now based purely on ranking.
Of course, we would have a host conflict with our only two seeded hosts (Utah and Alabama) going into the same regional. In this case, the lower-seeded host is the one that gets moved—and moved as few spots as possible. Since demoting Alabama from 12 to 13 wouldn’t resolve the conflict, Alabama would be promoted from 12 to 11 and would host the Florida-Cal regional, while Oregon State would be bumped into the Utah-UCLA regional.
Enough of a gap has emerged that Michigan cannot get into the top 16 this week. It would take two weeks of solid scores to get that done, but if Arkansas doesn’t make SECs, there should still be an opening during conference championship week.
18. Denver – 196.705
Road score 1
197.525
Road score 2
196.750
Road score 3
196.325
Home/road score 1
197.125
Home/road score 2
196.700
Home/road score 3
196.625
NQS:
196.705
Denver is in the same boat, not able to get into the top 16 this week but able to set up a conference championship siege with a good score in week 11.
19. NC State – 196.525
Road score 1
196.675
Road score 2
196.350
Road score 3
196.050
Home/road score 1
197.025
Home/road score 2
197.000
Home/road score 3
196.550
NQS:
196.525
20. Nebraska – 196.510
Road score 1
196.750
Road score 2
196.675
Road score 3
196.500
Home/road score 1
196.700
Home/road score 2
196.350
Home/road score 3
196.325
NQS:
196.510
21. Arizona – 196.355
Road score 1
196.650
Road score 2
196.125
Road score 3
196.125
Home/road score 1
196.775
Home/road score 2
196.775
Home/road score 3
196.100
NQS:
196.355
22. Southern Utah – 196.310
Road score 1
196.650
Road score 2
196.175
Road score 3
196.100
Home/road score 1
196.900
Home/road score 2
196.475
Home/road score 3
196.150
NQS:
196.310
23. Ohio State – 196.270
Road score 1
196.425
Road score 2
196.325
Road score 3
196.300
Home/road score 1
196.650
Home/road score 2
196.275
Home/road score 3
196.025
NQS:
196.270
24. North Carolina – 196.125
Road score 1
196.200
Road score 2
196.150
Road score 3
195.775
Home/road score 1
196.675
Home/road score 2
196.575
Home/road score 3
195.925
NQS:
196.125
25. Penn State – 196.085
Road score 1
196.675
Road score 2
196.100
Road score 3
195.700
Home/road score 1
196.525
Home/road score 2
196.325
Home/road score 3
195.775
NQS:
196.085
26. Arizona State – 196.065
Road score 1
196.000
Road score 2
195.950
Road score 3
195.675
Home/road score 1
196.600
Home/road score 2
196.475
Home/road score 3
196.225
NQS:
196.065
27. Clemson – 196.055
Road score 1
196.475
Road score 2
196.225
Road score 3
195.800
Home/road score 1
196.575
Home/road score 2
195.950
Home/road score 3
195.825
NQS:
196.055
28. Boise State – 195.980
Road score 1
196.300
Road score 2
195.975
Road score 3
195.900
Home/road score 1
196.425
Home/road score 2
195.925
Home/road score 3
195.800
NQS:
195.980
29. Illinois – 195.965
Road score 1
196.200
Road score 2
195.900
Road score 3
195.300
Home/road score 1
196.675
Home/road score 2
196.275
Home/road score 3
196.150
NQS:
195.965
30. Maryland – 195.940
Road score 1
196.325
Road score 2
196.150
Road score 3
195.950
Home/road score 1
196.125
Home/road score 2
195.750
Home/road score 3
195.725
NQS:
195.940
31. Utah State – 195.840
Road score 1
196.475
Road score 2
196.000
Road score 3
195.850
Home/road score 1
196.300
Home/road score 2
195.725
Home/road score 3
195.325
NQS:
195.840
32. BYU – 195.790
Road score 1
195.900
Road score 2
195.825
Road score 3
195.800
Home/road score 1
196.775
Home/road score 2
195.750
Home/road score 3
195.675
NQS:
195.790
33. Iowa – 195.775
Road score 1
196.350
Road score 2
195.200
Road score 3
195.000
Home/road score 1
197.025
Home/road score 2
196.200
Home/road score 3
196.125
NQS:
195.775
34. Central Michigan – 195.665
Road score 1
195.850
Road score 2
195.750
Road score 3
195.600
Home/road score 1
196.000
Home/road score 2
195.625
Home/road score 3
195.500
NQS:
195.665
35. Towson – 195.660
Road score 1
195.650
Road score 2
195.600
Road score 3
195.400
Home/road score 1
196.400
Home/road score 2
196.075
Home/road score 3
195.575
NQS:
195.660
36. George Washington – 195.555
Road score 1
195.800
Road score 2
195.750
Road score 3
195.475
Home/road score 1
196.550
Home/road score 2
195.400
Home/road score 3
195.350
NQS:
195.555
Both #36 George Washington and #35 Towson have two meets this weekend (but so does #38 West Virginia). Meanwhile, #37 Washington still has a 194 to drop, which means even a regular 195 is useful.
NEXT IN
37. Washington
195.525
38. West Virginia
195.470
39. Iowa State
195.465
40. Ball State
195.455
41. Kent State
195.415
42. Illinois State
195.390
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