The Weekend Agenda (January 27th-29th)

The last meets of January mean the last few opportunities for allowances.  Teams are still permitted to be lackluster this week, but the window is closing.  Starting next week, teams better have one or more (preferably two) scores that they would be willing to count toward RQS, otherwise they are going to be under pressure to deliver every week from here on out.  Once we get into March, it’s a good idea to start resting some of those top performers so that they will be ready for the postseason, but teams won’t feel comfortable doing that if there is RQS pressure to get into the top six (or top twelve, or whatever the goal may be).  Even though the season seems brand new, we will be more than a third of the way done after this weekend.  January rust has to come off.

Florida has a big meet at home this weekend.  Arkansas is by far the more in-form team, and Florida’s trajectory (and injury situation with Caquatto coming back) won’t have them ready to start putting up huge scores yet.  But at the same time, I expect to see a more accomplished lineup from Florida than we have seen so far to avoid the potential upset (even though it’s not a numerical upset, it would still be an upset if Arkansas won).  This is a major confidence meet for Florida against their first serious competition of the year, and all the big scorers should be in the lineup wherever they are prepared to compete.

As always, I will be following along with all the Friday scores and potentially checking in with some of the live streams we will have.

Top 25 Schedule:
Friday – 1/27/12
6:00 ET / 3:00 PT – [14] Illinois @ [19] Michigan
7:00 ET / 4:00 PT – [1] Arkansas, [24] Maryland @ [8] Florida
7:00 ET / 4:00 PT – [11] Ohio State @ Pittsburgh
7:30 ET / 4:30 PT – [23] Iowa @ Iowa State
8:00 ET / 5:00 PT – [20] NC State @ [5] Oklahoma
8:00 ET / 5:00 PT – [6] Alabama @ [16] Auburn
9:00 ET / 6:00 PT – BYU @ [3] Utah
9:00 ET / 6:00 PT – [13] Boise State, Southern Utah @ Utah State
9:00 ET / 6:00 PT – [15] Arizona @ Arizona State
10:00 ET / 7:00 PT – [1] UCLA @ [22] Washington
10:00 ET / 7:00 PT – [12] Stanford @ [10] Oregon State

Saturday – 1/28/12
4:00 ET / 1:00 PT – [17] LSU @ [7] Georgia
7:00 ET / 4:00 PT – [20] Missouri @ [4] Nebraska
7:00 ET / 4:00 PT – [9] Penn State @ Minnesota
8:00 ET / 5:00 PT – Air Force, Centenary @ [18] Denver

Sunday – 1/29/12
1:00 ET / 10:00 PT – George Washington, Towson @ [25] West Virginia

Improvement Rankings (2012 vs. 2011)

Teams are ranked based on the difference between their average score after three weeks in 2012 and their average score after three weeks in 2011.  Teams appearing in either top 25 (2012 or 2011) are included in the list.

Improvement Rankings – 2012 vs. 2011
1. Arkansas +1.842 (196.775 vs. 194.933)
1. Penn State +1.842 (196.000 vs. 194.158)
3. UCLA +1.656 (196.775 vs. 195.119)
4. Nebraska +1.525 (196.575 vs. 195.050)
5. Arizona +1.281 (194.673 vs. 193.392)
6. Ohio State +1.108 (195.483 vs. 194.375)
7. Maryland +0.800 (194.008 vs. 193.208)
7. Alabama +0.800 (196.325 vs. 195.525)
9. Utah +0.780 (196.713 vs. 195.933)
10. LSU +0.675 (194.617 vs. 193.942)
11. Oklahoma +0.652 (196.433 vs. 195.781)
12. Missouri +0.625 (194.308 vs. 193.683)
13. Denver +0.554 (194.517 vs. 193.963)
14. Auburn +0.550 (194.725 vs. 194.175)
15. Boise State +0.500 (195.288 vs. 194.788)
16. Illinois +0.408 (194.900 vs. 194.492)
17. Oregon State +0.337 (195.675 vs. 195.338)
18. West Virginia +0.225 (194.000 vs. 193.775)
19. Georgia +0.087 (196.275 vs. 196.188)

20. NC State –0.542 (194.308 vs. 194.850)
21. Washington –0.550 (194.108 vs. 194. 658)
21. Florida –0.550 (196.158 vs. 196.708)
23. Iowa –0.617 (194.058 vs. 194.675)
24. Michigan –0.872 (194.325 vs. 195.197)
25. Minnesota –0.942 (193.625 vs. 194.567)
26. Southern Utah –0.983 (193.675 vs. 194.658)
27. Stanford –1.000 (195.413 vs. 196.413)
28. Iowa State –1.220 (193.263 vs. 194.483)
29. Kent State –1.920 (193.088 vs. 195.008)

Monday Rankings

National Rankings – Week of January 23rd
T1. UCLA – 196.775
T1. Arkansas – 196.775
3. Utah – 196.713
4. Nebraska – 196.575
5. Oklahoma – 196.433
6. Alabama – 196.325
7. Georgia – 196.275
8. Florida – 196.158
9. Penn State – 196.000
10. Oregon State – 195.675
11. Ohio State – 195.483
12. Stanford – 195.413
13. Boise State – 195.288
14. Illinois – 194.900
15. Arizona – 194.763
16. Auburn – 194.725
17. LSU – 194.617
18. Denver – 194.517
19. Michigan – 194.325
T20. Missouri – 194.308
T20. NC State – 194.308
22. Washington – 194.108
23. Iowa – 194.058
24. Maryland – 194.008
25. West Virginia – 194.000

Full rankings: Troester

A tie at the top, two different paths there.  Arkansas has done it with steady, impressive performances, while UCLA did it with one humongous score to leapfrog everyone it appeared would be above them.  The most encouraging part of yesterday’s meet for UCLA is that they were not great on the dismounts or even landing some of the tumbling passes with control.  Ostensibly, they could easily perform five tenths better than they did this week, which would put them into potential 198 territory at home or away at Georgia. Which leads us to the overarching question that has come up again and again this January: what do you do with those routines scoring 9.900-9.925 when the gymnasts actually starting hitting to full potential?  If the judging continues on this trajectory, we will have either a March of Tens or controversy over a January 9.925 still scoring 9.925 in March when the routine has improved.  Let’s all keep an eye on that moving forward.

Other thoughts:

  • Stanford has already used up two of their three home meets, and they have not broken 196. There will be a lot of pressure on their road scores because they will need to count more than three to have a respectable RQS.  Ivana Hong came in on vault this week and scored 9.800.
  • If not for the opening meet disaster, LSU would be in 10th.  As usual, vault is the strength, and that rotation is carrying their scores.  Imagine if they had Ranzy as well.
  • Florida has Arkansas at home followed by Alabama away in the next two weeks.  Time to initiate phase two of Operation Rhonda Peak.  If they are still scoring in the low 196s after the Alabama meet, then we start to worry.  Wang and Spicer are not cutting it yet, which will mean more pressure on the big five (Hunter, Dickerson, Caquatto, Johnson, King) to contribute on every event.  I can’t see them putting up those mid-197s until all five are at full potential.
  • Half of Georgia’s scores against Auburn were below 9.800.  Floor continues to be a major weakness.  They can do better, but can we even envision a lineup that could legitimately put up 49.400?  It would require Nuccio, Earls, Davis, and Worley all hitting to potential at the same time.  I’m not holding my breath.  Jay says they have more depth on floor than last year, and while it’s true they have more routines to choose from, do they really have any more depth? A 9.750 is not depth.

 

Top 25 Scores

As a quick reference for the scores each weekend, I’m going to list the scores from the top 25 teams, ranked from highest to lowest.

Week 3
1. UCLA – 197.575
2. Oklahoma – 197.450
3. Arkansas – 197.225
4. LSU – 196.325
5. Florida – 196.250
T6. Alabama – 196.175
T6. Boise State –  196.175
8. Penn State – 196.100
9. Georgia – 195.975
10. Ohio State – 195.900
11. Nebraska – 195.775
12. Stanford – 195.825
13. Auburn – 195.600
14. Illinois – 195.075
15. Oregon State – 194.825
16. Missouri – 194.725
17. Denver – 194.625
18. Arizona – 194.375
19. NC State – 194.200
20. Maryland – 193.950 
21. San Jose State – 193.675 (v. Seattle Pacific; 193.200 v. UCLA)
22. West Virginia – 193.475
23. Michigan – 193.150
24. Minnesota – 193.000
Bye – Utah

After the jump, lists from Week 1 and Week 2

Week 2
1. Utah – 197.400
2. Nebraska – 197.375
3. UCLA – 196.675
4. Arkansas – 196.650
5. Oregon State – 196.525
6. Alabama – 196.475
7. Georgia – 196.325
8. Florida – 196.175
9. Penn State – 196. 125
10. Oklahoma – 195.975
11. Michigan – 195.500
12. Denver – 195.225
13. Ohio State – 195.175
14. LSU – 195.025
15. Stanford – 194.900
16. Illinois – 194.725
17. Boise State – 194.400
18. Auburn – 193.800
19. Washington – 193.425
20. Iowa – 193.225
21. Minnesota – 192.800
22. Kent State – 192.025
23. Kentucky – 191.975
Bye – Arizona, Iowa State

Week 1
1. Georgia – 196.525
2. Arkansas – 196.450
3. UCLA – 196.075
T4. Florida – 196.025
T4. Utah – 196.025
6. Oklahoma – 195.875
7. Penn State – 195.775
8. Ohio State – 195.375
9. Arizona – 195.150
10. Minnesota – 195.075
11. Auburn – 194.775
12. Kentucky – 194.325
13. Iowa – 193.875
14. Denver – 193.700
15. Washington – 193.175
16. Iowa State – 192.600
17. LSU – 192.500
Bye – Alabama, Nebraska, Oregon State, Stanford, Michigan, Boise State, Illinois, Kent State

Because gymnastics is a comedy, not a drama