Week 9 Rankings and RQS Update

We added four new 10s to the family this weekend with Hunter, Scaman, and Dabritz on floor and Milliner on vault. Hunter and Scaman have received 10s on floor already this year, and Milliner got a 10 on vault in 2012, so Dabritz’s floor is the one new entrant to the pantheon.
 
This season, we’ve had 10 scores of 10.000 on floor, compared to 3 in 2013, 0 in 2012, 0 in 2011, and 0 in 2010. It’s a different season.

Honestly, where would you rank this among her floor routines for the year? Sixth best? Sometimes, a 10 ends up being an accumulation thing (which is not to endorse it, but to acknowledge it), kind of like a career Oscar.

Week 9 Rankings – (GymInfo)
1. LSU – 197.660
Week 9: 197.500
Week 9 leaders: AA – Courville 39.500; VT – Courville, Hall 9.925; UB – Courville, Morrison 9.900; BB – Jordan 9.975; FX – Hall 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.875
Road Score 2: 197.650
Road Score 3: 197.625
Road/Home Score 1: 198.050
Road/Home Score 2: 197.650
Road/Home Score 3: 197.500

LSU’s 197.500 is not a high score compared to what they have been receiving lately (it is, in fact, the team’s lowest score in a month), but it did end up being enough to fend off Oklahoma’s Sunday surge, at least for the moment. The most important thing about LSU’s performance this season is that they have yet to receive a score under 49 on beam (compared to six beam scores under 49 last year) and the 9.975 from Jordan and 9.950 from Gnat this weekend underline that. They can get a solid beam score even without Courville carrying the load.

The #1 ranking is in a fairly large amount of danger this weekend since LSU no longer has that low-ish score they’re trying to get rid of in the way that Florida does. There’s not a lot of room to improve their RQS. Even with a season-high this weekend, they would max out at 197.770, while both Oklahoma and Florida can theoretically get into the 197.8s – though it would take colossal scores to do so. I still have to adjust my thinking on what constitutes an attainable score. Usually, when seeing that a team would need a 198 to move up, I’d dismiss it, but of course all three of these teams could score 198 this weekend and it wouldn’t be surprising.

2. Oklahoma – 197.640
Week 9 A: 197.450
Week 9 A leaders: AA – None; VT – Kanewa 9.900; UB – Scaman 9.975; BB – Spears 9.975; FX – Scaman 10.000

Week 9 B: 198.150
Week 9 B leaders: AA – None; VT – Kanewa, Scaman 9.950; UB – Spears 9.975; BB – Capps 9.925; FX – Scaman, Kanewa 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 198.175
Road Score 2: 198.150
Road Score 3: 197.575
Road/Home Score 1: 197.700
Road/Home Score 2: 197.450
Road/Home Score 3: 197.325

The Sooners very nearly sneaked into #1 after a big 198.150 on Sunday, marking their return to the land of the big scores (especially on bars) after a vacation of several weeks. The improvement in scoring potential on vault and floor has been vital this year in ensuring Oklahoma can realistically win a national championship (they’re now ranked #1 on floor, which I wouldn’t have called), but that doesn’t mean as much without the usual bars and beam dominance to go with it. The Sooners can be the best team on both those events, and when we come down to Super Six, I think they’ll need to be to take the title. 

Even though Oklahoma didn’t quite get to the top spot, LSU’s lead has all but disappeared, and it’s going to be an excellent fight this weekend, as well as during conference championships, to see who ends up on top. The Sooners’ biggest RQS asset is having the best road scores in the country, and with a 197.325 to get rid of, they currently find themselves in the driver’s seat over LSU and can move ahead with a stronger score this weekend. 

3. Florida – 197.565
Week 9: 198.325
Week 9 leaders: AA – Johnson 39.825; VT – Johnson 9.950; UB – Johnson 9.975; BB – Sloan 9.975; FX – Hunter 10.000

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.400
Road Score 2: 197.175
Road Score 3: 197.075
Road/Home Score 1: 198.325
Road/Home Score 2: 198.125
Road/Home Score 3: 198.050

The Gators find themselves the victims of their road scores once again, recording a nation-high 198.325–including Alaina Johnson’s earthshaking 39.825 in the AA–and still falling in the rankings. With a home 197.875 dropping off, there was very little room for them to improve. Those home scores are unassailable, but the road scores are fairly pedestrian for a top 10 team this season. That said, I don’t buy the “Florida can’t score well on the road” chatter that seems to crop up this time of year and is reliably making an appearance again. They can and will score well on the road; they just haven’t done it much yet. This weekend in Missouri, if we’re talking about whether Florida will go closer to 197 or closer to 198, I’ll take the closer to 198 side of that action.

With two road meets remaining in the next two weeks, Florida is in a prime position to move up, if not this week, then after SECs. We’re in a strange situation this season where a score like 197.500 is just average for these top three teams, but if Florida were to score that this weekend, they would be right in the pack with LSU and Oklahoma’s current RQSs again. Being in 3rd, they will still be at the mercy of what LSU and Oklahoma score this weekend, but they have the most room for improvement and can potentially move all the way up to #1 depending on the others.  

4. Alabama – 197.320
Week 9: 198.250
Week 9 leaders: AA – None; VT – Milliner 10.000; UB – Clark 9.950; BB – Clark 9.950; FX – Beers, Jetter 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.500
Road Score 2: 197.100
Road Score 3: 196.825
Road/Home Score 1: 198.250
Road/Home Score 2: 197.675
Road/Home Score 3: 197.500

Alabama is no longer being left out of the humongous score club, and over the last five meets, the team has an average of 197.605, which is within a reasonable margin with what the top three teams have been doing. The difference between them is lessening, and while we can argue the scoring from the weekend (you can always argue a 198, and the argument is usually valid), this most recent meet was a stellar performance across four events with Super Six-quality landings throughout. Those Alabama landings. In a year with high scores, the landings are that much more important, because sometimes they’re the only thing being judged. Now let’s see if they can keep it up for another week. 

Staying at home this weekend, there’s no chance that the Tide can make a run at the #3 spot. Unless they finish the year with straight 198s – again, possible – and get a little help from the teams above, 4th looks like the spot they’ll keep. They’re in a fairly similar situation to Florida in that a couple of normal road scores are bringing them down, just without as many home 198s as Florida has. 

5. Utah – 197.225
Week 9: 197.350
Week 9 leaders: AA – Wilson 38.950; VT – Delaney 9.925; UB – Dabritz 9.950; BB – Lothrop 9.875; FX – Dabritz 10.000

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.350
Road Score 2: 197.200
Road Score 3: 196.875
Road/Home Score 1: 197.825
Road/Home Score 2: 197.575
Road/Home Score 3: 197.125

Utah’s face-off with Michigan and UCLA was a tremendous meet, very even and exciting throughout, and acted as a preview of what will make the upcoming postseason events so entertaining. We had multiple teams competing at a very similar level and battling it out rotation by rotation, routine by routine. Utah trailed for much of the meet, the result of a beam rotation that is still the biggest obstacle standing between them and a return to Super Six, but going into the final rotation, I still expected the Utes to pass UCLA given how well they have been scoring on vault. We didn’t see any of those vaults in the broadcast, and the Utes didn’t get by any means a bad vault score, but when you’re a three-event team, you can’t afford to drop off the pace even a little on one of those three events.

In spite of finishing third, the meet can still be considered a relative success for Utah since they managed their top road score of the season which, along with a low road score coming off, allowed them to move up significantly in RQS and return to #5. They’ll have a chance to pass Alabama this weekend, though they would need a pretty high 197 even to think about it. That sounds tough, but in a home showdown against Georgia, we can expect those kinds of scores. Remember, this is the exact spot in the schedule last year where we had that infamously scored showdown between Utah and Florida that caused all sorts of outrage. Teams scoring 198! People getting 10s without sticking! Unacceptable! We were so young and naive then.

6. Georgia – 197.020
Week 9: 197.025
Week 9 leaders: AA – Rogers 39.575; VT – Jay 9.975; UB – Cheek 9.975; BB – Earls 9.875; FX – Earls, Rogers 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.875
Road Score 2: 196.825
Road Score 3: 196.700
Road/Home Score 1: 197.650
Road/Home Score 2: 197.400
Road/Home Score 3: 197.300

Well, how quickly things can change. The Gym Dogs were well on their way to matching last weekend’s season-high 197.650, right up until the final pass of Brandie Jay’s floor routine when she tumbled on her double pike. In that one moment, they went from a statement score to a forgettable one. It was so sad listening to Kevin Copp. He was becoming so excited and loud during that final rotation as the 9.9s began to pop up, and then Jay fell, and it sounded like someone had taken his puppy away from him. Someone get Kevin Copp a puppy. But that’s all it takes. One pass to change the impression of a meet. Is Georgia a two-event team or a four-event team? Vault and bars are outstanding, but they still haven’t made a convincing argument on the other events.

The Lindsey Cheek 10 Watch was on full force in this meet, being senior day and all, but she took a step on her yfull this time, which deflated some of the excitement. Brandie Jay did get a 10 from one judge for her stuck y1.5, and Cheek also nearly got a 10 for her bars routine, in an attempt to make up for our collective disappointment. The Gym Dogs will not be able to pass Utah in the rankings this coming weekend after their head-to-head meet, but they can set themselves up well with a big score that gets rid of that 196.700. Besting that number is very attainable. 

7. UCLA – 196.920
Week 9: 197.475
Week 9 leaders: AA – Peszek 39.650; VT – Courtney 9.950; UB – DeJesus 9.925; BB – Peszek 9.925; FX – Peszek, Sawa 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.500
Road Score 2: 197.475
Road Score 3: 196.675
Road/Home Score 1: 196.925
Road/Home Score 2: 196.900
Road/Home Score 3: 196.625

It’s starting to come together. Another week, another strong score, and another spot gained in the rankings. It’s the UCLA way: make you scream for two months and then start to look OK. Every week they’re getting another piece back that makes it just a little bit easier to get these 197s. This week, Peszek returned in the AA, which was a breath of fresh air. They need her in all those lineups, being that reliable gymnast whom we take for granted getting a 9.900 every time she salutes.

I still have questions about the early parts of these rotations and whether, even in their fully put-together UCLA postseason shape, they are competitive with the teams the Bruins will be battling to make Super Six. They’ve added most of the pieces they have, but there are still some open, questionable patches. Who’s the third big scorer on these events? Is this the beam lineup, and are we OK with that emotionally and physically? UCLA will have a shot to keep up the trend of moving up a spot per week this next weekend, but only if Georgia underperforms against Utah. The Bruins have a 196.625 home score to drop, and if they maintain their recent road level while at home on senior day, we can expect a bigly big number.

8. Michigan – 196.900
Week 9: 197.825
Week 9 leaders: AA – Sampson 39.600; VT – Sheppard 9.975; UB – Sheppard, Sugiyama 9.900; BB – Casanova 9.950; FX – Artz, Beilstein, Sampson 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.800
Road Score 2: 196.650
Road Score 3: 196.525
Road/Home Score 1: 197.825

Road/Home Score 2: 197.325
Road/Home Score 3: 197.200

Like Florida, Michigan is another team thwarted by road scores. They posted their best number of the season by quite a margin in outperforming UCLA and Utah at home, but because it was a home score and they already had three solid home scores, they didn’t have much of room to advance. Winning and dropping ranking spots. Welcome to the NCAA. Regardless of falling in the rankings (and some of the scoring questions I have about the final two rotations), this was a big meet for the Wolverines, both in terms of the teams they beat and the performances they showed–a consistently clean and confident bars rotation and multiple strong beam routines existing together in the same meet. A triumph.

Michigan is at home this weekend, so they won’t have a chance to get rid of that straggling road 196.525 until Big Tens. Still, being so close to UCLA, they’ll have a chance to pass this weekend, but since UCLA has a 196.6 to drop compared to Michigan’s 197.2, UCLA is the more likely to increase RQS.

9. Nebraska – 196.710
Week 9: 196.350
Week 9 leaders: AA – Wong 39.625; VT – DeZiel 9.975; UB – Wong 9.950; BB – Wong 9.900; FX – Wong 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.225
Road Score 2: 196.650
Road Score 3: 196.450
Road/Home Score 1: 196.975
Road/Home Score 2: 196.850
Road/Home Score 3: 196.625

It was a prime opportunity for the Huskers to move up in their final home meet of the season, but while Emily Wong was herself throughout the meet and received aid from standout performances by at least a gymnast or two on each event, the team had all kinds of 9.6s and 9.7s sprinkled around bars, beam, and floor in what was a mini version of what happened to them at Regionals last year. A 196.350 does no good to a top-10 team at this point in the season. In the positive category, we did see the first glimpse of that thing Nebraska does where we all spend the season mostly forgetting how good they are on vault, and then they get to the postseason and start scoring 49.6s with those crazy-powerful blocks.  

With no mathematical chance to move up in the rankings this weekend (not getting that final big home score really hurt) and a fairly large advantage over the next team in action, we can expect Nebraska to stay still at #9 unless Auburn can muster something like a road 197 away at Alabama.

10. Stanford – 196.640
Week 9: 196.300
Week 9 leaders: AA – N McNair 38.725; VT – N McNair 9.925; UB – N McNair, Morgan 9.875; BB – N McNair, Spinner 9.875; FX – Rice 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.275
Road Score 2: 196.825
Road Score 3: 196.300
Road/Home Score 1: 197.000
Road/Home Score 2: 196.750
Road/Home Score 3: 196.325

Stanford is not competing this weekend, and with just one meet remaining, they needed a big score at Alabama that they didn’t get in order to drop one of those 196.3s. Now, it’s going to be quite difficult for them to make any kind of a rankings challenge, and they may be at the mercy of a couple of the lower-ranked teams, particularly Oregon State who can leapfrog with even an average score this weekend. Stanford is currently sitting at 196.640, and we know that even if they get a massive score at Pac-12s, they’ll max out at a 196.835, so even in the best possible scenario, they can move up to 9th but no higher.

They were on pace for a helpful 197 against Alabama until floor, where Nicolette McNair had a fall in her return to the lineup, and Vaculik finished with a fall to completely deflate a rotation that was moving in the right direction, very similar to what happened to Georgia. Vaculik has definitely improved her consistency this year, but then these floor mistakes have just started to creep in the last couple weeks. Other than that, it’s been all hitting for 9.9s and being the scoring leader of the team in the absence of Hong or a multi-event Shapiro. Also not to overlook the huge contributor Nicolette McNair has been in her first year. Where would they be scoring if she hadn’t come along? 

11. Auburn – 196.515
Week 9: 197.000
Week 9 leaders: AA – Atkinson 39.550; VT – Atkinson 9.900; UB – Atkinson, Kopec 9.875; BB – Demers, Walker 9.900; FX – Atkinson 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.850
Road Score 2: 196.550
Road Score 3: 195.950
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 197.000
Road/Home Score 3: 196.225

-Can move ahead of Stanford with a 196.600 this weekend away at Alabama, and max out at a 196.745 RQS if they achieve a season-high score.

12. Oregon State – 196.485
Week 9: 197.050
Week 9 leaders: AA – Tang 39.500; VT – Tang 9.875; UB – Aufiero 9.925; BB – Gardiner 9.925; FX – Gardiner, Harris, Ponto, Tang 9.850

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.050
Road Score 2: 196.450
Road Score 3: 195.625
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 196.675
Road/Home Score 3: 196.625

-Can move ahead of Stanford with a 196.425 this weekend, and can go as high as 196.780 in RQS with a season-high.

13. Minnesota – 196.305
Week 9: 196.275
Week 9 leaders: AA – Tomson 39.200; VT – Mable 9.950; UB – Tomson 9.750; BB – Haines, Russell 9.825; FX – Mable, Slechta 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.525
Road Score 2: 196.350
Road Score 3: 196.275
Road/Home Score 1: 197.250
Road/Home Score 2: 196.225
Road/Home Score 3: 196.150

14. Illinois – 196.285
Week 9: 197.100
Week 9 leaders: AA – Fielder 39.325; VT – Buchanan 9.925; UB – Kato 9.900; BB – Fielder 9.900; FX – See 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.500
Road Score 2: 195.850
Road Score 3: 195.825
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 196.775
Road/Home Score 3: 196.475

15. Penn State – 196.280
Week 9: 197.200
Week 9 leaders: AA – Stauder 39.475; VT – Sibson 9.975; UB – Medvitz, Stauder 9.850; BB – Stauder 9.950; FX – Musgrove 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 197.200
Road Score 2: 196.150
Road Score 3: 195.825
Road/Home Score 1: 196.675
Road/Home Score 2: 196.600
Road/Home Score 3: 196.150

16. Arkansas – 196.265
Week 9: 196.700
Week 9 leaders: AA – Grable 39.625; VT – Grable 9.925; UB – Grable 9.850; BB – Grable 9.925; FX – Grable 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.700
Road Score 2: 196.100
Road Score 3: 196.050
Road/Home Score 1: 197.100
Road/Home Score 2: 196.275
Road/Home Score 3: 196.200 

17. Boise State – 196.185
Week 9: 196.550
Week 9 leaders: AA – Morris 39.175; VT – Black, Morris 9.900; UB – Jacobsen 9.875; BB – Jacobsen 9.850; FX – Perkins 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.325
Road Score 2: 196.000
Road Score 3: 195.850
Road/Home Score 1: 196.975
Road/Home Score 2: 196.550
Road/Home Score 3: 196.200

18. Central Michigan – 196.075
Week 9: 195.725
Week 9 leaders: AA – Druien 38.025; VT – K Petzold 9.925; UB – Fagan 9.925; BB – Noonan 9.875; FX – Moraw 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.500
Road Score 2: 196.425
Road Score 3: 195.925
Road/Home Score 1: 196.600
Road/Home Score 2: 195.800
Road/Home Score 3: 195.725

19. California – 195.925
Week 9: 196.075
Week 9 leaders: AA – Owens 39.200; VT – Asturias 9.925; UB – Alferos 9.875; BB – Palomares 9.775; FX – Asturias 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.725
Road Score 2: 196.075
Road Score 3: 196.025
Road/Home Score 1: 196.425
Road/Home Score 2: 196.275
Road/Home Score 3: 195.550

-NOTE: 195.925 is the listed RQS on troester, so that’s what is here, but I have them at 196.070 based on these meet scores.

20. Arizona – 195.920
Week 9: 196.275
Week 9 leaders: AA – Flores 39.425; VT – Edwards 9.900; UB – Mills 9.900; BB – Edwards 9.900; FX – Klarenbach 9.950

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.850
Road Score 2: 195.625
Road Score 3: 195.350
Road/Home Score 1: 196.925
Road/Home Score 2: 196.500
Road/Home Score 3: 196.275

21. Denver – 195.845
Week 9: 195.825
Week 9 leaders: AA – McGee 39.300; VT – Martin 9.875; UB – Pulgarin Linero 9.850; BB – McGee 9.850; FX – McGee 9.875

RQS:
Road Score 1: 196.550
Road Score 2: 195.875
Road Score 3: 195.825
Road/Home Score 1: 196.050
Road/Home Score 2: 195.800
Road/Home Score 3: 195.675

22. Arizona State – 195.710
Week 9: 194.150
Week 9 leaders: AA – None; VT – Seaman 9.900; UB – Kraus 9.875; BB – Gades 9.850; FX – Sundby 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.900
Road Score 2: 195.575
Road Score 3: 194.950
Road/Home Score 1: 196.200
Road/Home Score 2: 196.125
Road/Home Score 3: 196.000

23. Ohio State – 195.585
Week 9: 196.600
Week 9 leaders: AA – Shaffer 39.350; VT – Miller 9.950; UB – Aepli, Funches, Kent 9.800; BB – Shaffer 9.875; FX – DeLuca 9.925

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.925
Road Score 2: 195.275
Road Score 3: 195.200
Road/Home Score 1: 196.600
Road/Home Score 2: 195.900
Road/Home Score 3: 195.625

24. Southern Utah – 195.560
Week 9: No meet

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.925
Road Score 2: 195.700
Road Score 3: 195.500
Road/Home Score 1: 195.600
Road/Home Score 2: 195.550
Road/Home Score 3: 195.450

25. Kent State – 195.405
Week 9: 196.225
Week 9 leaders: AA – Case 39.600; VT – Drooger 9.850; UB – Case 9.925; BB – Case 9.875; FX – Case 9.975

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.700
Road Score 2: 195.525
Road Score 3: 194.725
Road/Home Score 1: 196.225
Road/Home Score 2: 195.675
Road/Home Score 3: 195.400

25. BYU – 195.405
Week 9: 196.125
Week 9 leaders: AA – Willman Hatch 39.350; VT – Gassaway, Johnson, Kulczyk 9.850; UB – Willman Hatch 9.925; BB – Bain Tidwell, Willman Hatch 9.850; FX – Kulczyk 9.900

RQS:
Road Score 1: 195.525
Road Score 2: 195.325
Road Score 3: 194.675
Road/Home Score 1: 196.425
Road/Home Score 2: 196.125
Road/Home Score 3: 195.375

Friday Live Blog – Michigan, UCLA, Utah, Alabama, Stanford

Friday – 3/7/14
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – West Virginia @ [2] Florida (Scores) (Video – school subscription)
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [6] Utah, [8] UCLA @ [7] Michigan (Scores) (Video – all-access)
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [22] California, Centenary @ Kentucky (Scores) (Video – all-access)
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [25] NC State @ [1] LSU (Scores) (Video – school subscription)
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [21] Arizona State @ [3] Oklahoma (Scores)
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – Missouri @ [11] Auburn (Scores) (Video – all-access)
8:30 ET/5:30 PT – [10] Stanford @ [4] Alabama (Scores) (Video – free)

Current rankings: 

I’ll be here for Michigan/UCLA/Utah beginning at 7:00 ET/4:00 PT. It should be a good one. Head-to-head comparisons of top teams are always helpful this time of year, especially because these teams should be fighting it out for Super Six spots in just over a month’s time.

This is the second Michigan tri-meet in recent weeks, and keep in mind that it’s tough to cover the routines from three simultaneously competing teams so we might not get a ton of full routines from UCLA and Utah. Last week we got a lot of half routines and then cutting away to the scoreboard. I say this just so that UCLA and Utah fans watching can be prepared and temper any potential frustration.

UCLA getting introduced now. The injured don’t appear to have made the trip other than Peng, which should obviously make every trip everywhere.

You know that thing where people march out for intros wearing their bars grips and for a split second you think they have two casts on? I think that’s maybe only a me thing.

Intros done. It’s a big first rotation for UCLA starting on beam where they’ll need an advantage. Michigan similarly will need to stick some of these early vaults to try to get a margin while they’re on a strong event. If the Utes are level or close after they do bars, they’ll feel good about their chances. Touch warmups beginning now, so we should get underway shortly.

Rotation 1- Michigan on vault, Utah on bars, UCLA on beam
Chiarelli – Mich – VT – Good power on her yfull, some piking, but a couple steps back on landing there. One step originally, and then more on salute.

Hughes – Utah – UB – Finishes up cleanly with a stuck tuck full.

Zakharia – Mich – VT – Love her run. So feisty. Handspring pike half looked pretty good in the air and everything before the landing, which was a larger bounce back.

Wilson – Utah – UB – Big gienger to open, and the legs are getting more under control – still small breaks on her releases. I saw a definitely missed handstand there before the dismount, but a stuck tuck full.

Sugiayma – Mich – VT – Nice 1.5 from here. We’ll see some more distance from the later vaulters, but good form and just one step forward.

DeJesus – UCLA – BB – Secure on the front toss, clean full turn, and a near stick on her front full dismount, she tried to pretend but it wasn’t, lunge forward.

Beilstein – Mich – VT – huge 1.5. It looked for a bit like she would stick it this week but takes a step forward.

Craddock – UCLA – BB – So she’s back in the lineup this week. Hits her walkover front handspring series, but then takes a waist bend right afterward.

Sampson – Mich – VT – Big power on her yfull as always, and opens out of it beautifully, but does hop on it. Just a little too much on that one and can’t control the landing quite enough with a bounce.

Lothrop – Utah – UB – Finishes with a stuck DLO.

Sheppard – Mich – VT – Gorgeous. Huge, open yfull, and gets the stick this week as well. Awesome vault. Ha! at Bev’s reaction, pumping her fists in the air. She’s excited. 9.975. Sheppard and Cheek are going to have to start the “awesome vault for 9.975” club.

Damianova – Utah – UB – Pretty stalder work, and it looked like she stuck her double back but Tom was in the way. We didn’t see Hansen’s routine but it appears she had a fall, so they’re working against that one.

Dabritz – Utah – UB – Good first handstand, catches her jaeger, good amplitude on her shoot to the high bar, and a stuck tuck full dismount. Strong routine.

Francis – UCLA – BB – Pretty walkover to bhs, excellent switch split, small wobble on her split jump, comes out of her y spin a little early to make sure she made it, but it was fine. Prepping for the dismount – nails it perfectly. A little tenser on the beam itself than she usually is, but still a great routine.

We’re just waiting for UCLA to finish beam. Both Utah and Michigan are done with their rotations and both are in the 49.4s, so it’s on already.

Sawa – UCLA – BB – Good switch split to straddle jump, does her bhs to loso series and lands it on one leg and has to do a little dance with the other one to stay on. Another wobble on the side somi. Looks like they’ll want to drop this one. Sticks her 1.5, though.

UCLA will be trailing after this first rotation with a 49.300 on beam. It’s a fine score, so not the end of the world, but I think they probably needed a bigger number given the competition at this meet. They got 9.9s from Peszek and Francis as expected – even though they’ve come to rely on even more than a 9.900 from Francis, but she had a new wobble this week. They will have to count the 9.750 from Craddock. UCLA could really use a Larson hit for 9.900 about now. That was always its own question mark, though. 

After 1: Michigan 49.475, Utah 49.425, UCLA 49.300
It’s a good score for Michigan on vault, but it could have been better. They didn’t get any sticks until Sheppard’s awesome final vault (which I would have been fine with receiving a 10), but still have enough quality in the air and power to get a very good score. At least one judge was willing to go 9.900 for Beilstein and Sugiyama with steps, so the potential with sticks is tremendous.

Gerber finishes a fairly solid beam exhibition for UCLA, the only real issue being the dismount with a large step back.

It’s a good bars rotation for Utah. They needed to be close after 1 and they are. We didn’t see a ton of these routines, but I saw clean work from Dabritz and Damianova and a bunch of stuck dismounts, which always helps.

Florida got a 49.400 on vault with no Sloan.

Rotation 2 – Michigan on bars, Utah on beam, UCLA on floor
Now it’s Utah on the challenge rotation. They haven’t hit 49.300 so far this year on beam, but that’s the standard UCLA has currently set for that event.

Sugiyama – Mich – UB – Looks like a clean routine to start – powerful with composed form, nice final hs – right on top, and a stick on the tuck full. This has been the day of bars sticks so far.

Artz – Mich – UB -Good first hs, high poked jaeger and good form on the overshoot. She has great line throughout – legs fly apart a little on the DLO but a good stick. Michigan starting very well on bars.

Gies – Mich – UB – Looks like she just rushed a handstnd in there early, but the tkatchev and bail handstand are very nice, clean final handstand, full turn was right on top of the bar, and a stuck double back.

Pinches – UCLA – FX – Finishes with a very strong double pike, maybe her most controlled of the season.

Sheppard – Mich – UB -Excellent first hs, strong full turn and big taktchev as well, going into the double front – and a stick. They are nailing bars so far – best they’ve looked this season.

We haven’t seen any of beam yet, but Wilson has a fall for them in the first three, so they’ll be fighting it a bit at the end of this rotation.

Mossett – UCLA – FX – We almost got to see this routine before .  . .

Sampson – Mich – UB – Excellent high tkatchev, legs pasted together on the bail handstand, no trouble at all through this, – just the smallest shuffles on the very nice DLO. Almost had it.

Beilstein – Mich – UB – Her height on that gienger is just preposterous – sometimes it’s hard for her to control her immense power on this event but she does well here. She also sticks her dismount. What a great rotation for Michigan, just excellent throughout.

Francis – UCLA – FX – Good to see her back in this lineup. She’s not quite back yet. A little bounce on the double pike and low on her whip to double back landing. We cut away to see Williams hit a fairly strong bars exhibition. Solid routine from Williams.

Utah is just getting through beam, counting two 9.7s so far. But if they get a good hit from Lothrop, they could still break 49.

Lothrop – Utah – BB – She looks secure early, through the loso series. Judges can take for some of the smaller things like extension on leaps and legs on the loso series, but just one or two small wobbles here otherwise. Basically a stick on the 1.5. They escaped beam.

Bynum – UCLA – FX – We come in late to she her finish a little slidey on the double back dismount. UCLA has some low scores in here so far that they must drop to have any chance at this meet.

Michigan should have a comfortable lead at the halfway point of this meet with a strong bars rotation.

Pezek – UCLA – FX – She’s in this lineup. Oh, how we’ve missed you. Just slightly short on landing her DLO but she pulls off the landing pretty well. Solid 1.5 to layout as well. A few areas where she just looks a little tight – which is normal for her first competitive floor routine in a thousand years. Very strong final double pike. Welcome back. 9.925. The judges say welcome back too.

 Looks like no Olivia Courtney today for UCLA.

Sawa – UCLA – FX – Good double back mount, drops into it. Anyone else randomly get this music popping into their head in the middle of the week? A little short on the double pike this time with a step forward. 1.5 to half to stag is fine as usual. They finished well to get rid of some of those early scores.

UCLA finishes with a 49.375 on floor, thanks to the strong final routines from Peszek and Sawa. It’s another good number, but both other teams can pass that 49.375. Peszek adds another important dimension to that lineup, and once they have Courtney in at the same time, they should be very competitive on this event. Also nice to see Pinches get a 9.875 in that opening position. She’s great on floor, so it’s always been in her, but it’s important to see her get there.

After 2: Michigan 98.900, UCLA 98.675, Utah 98.425

Still anyone’s meet at this point with Michigan still to go beam. That was more like the Michigan bars rotation I expected to see based on the preseason exhibition. They were (almost entirely) phenomenal on bars at that preseason meet, and this is more like the potential we saw then. Tons of stuck dismounts. They needed that.

As for Utah, well they endured beam. It may be tough to win this meet with a 49.000 on beam, but they’re right in this with their two best events to come. They didn’t have to count a fall, so that’s something.

Florida leads West Virginia 99.025-97.500 after two rotations and a 49.625 on bars, led by Johnson’s 9.975. Yep. 198 pace is still happening. Alaina Johnson is nailing the AA so far with a 9.950 and a 9.975.

Rotation 3 – Michigan on beam, Utah on floor, UCLA on vault
Artz – Mich – BB – good pike jump to straddle 3/4 with a little bend to hold it. Just completely to the side on her front toss and comes off the beam. Uh oh, here we go. Sticks an excellent 1.5 dismount at least, but now it’s struggle time for Michigan with five routines to go.

Mossett – UCLA – VT – Looked great on her yfull in the air but had no control on the dismount with multiple steps.

Chiarelli – Mich – BB – Wobble on her loso as the leg flies up, straddle 1/2 is hit, strong side aerial, hits her full turn, a little hunched on her double back with a hop forward, but they’ll take that hit. One down four to go.

Gies – Mich – BB – Hits her bhs+loso series to start after a split jump and a full turn. Wolf jump full is solid, hits her walkover, and sticks her 1.5 dismount. Another good hit. Chiarelli got a 9.875 for her routine, and this was stronger so we’ll see.

Peszek – UCLA – VT – Could quite see the landing on her yfull, but it looked at least mostly controlled if not stuck. Great in the air as well. Maybe some small movement.

Zakharia – Mich – BB – good full turn, was a litlte low on her front tuck landing but hung onto it with a minor wobble. She’s taking a couple more wobbles here on mostly everything, but they’ll need to count this one. Another break on a back tuck. Lunge forward on front full dismount. She endured.

I thought Courtney was out since she didn’t do floor, but she’s here on vault and gets a 9.950 for UCLA’s 49.475 to match Michigan’s score.

Sampson – Mich – BB – Just the smallest of balance corrections on her loso series, good full turn, wobble on the sheep jump, gets her side aerial to sissone, and sticks a great double full dismount. A couple wobbles there, but a really good routine.

Dabritz – Utah – FX – Finishes with a solid landing on her triple full. Not the stick we’ve seen, but well under control certainly. She finally gets the 10 for this one. And of course we only saw the ending.

Casanova – Mich – BB – very strong front tuck, clean full turn, and another very solid routine for Michigan. She has really come along this season. Stuck dismount. They won’t even mind counting Zakharia’s score all that much. And after all that, come in with a 49.275, which is just behind UCLA’s 49.300.

Utah got the floor rotation they needed to get back into good shape in this meet going into their best event, but this is still anyone’s game with Michigan clinging to a lead and going to floor.

After 3: Michigan 148.175, UCLA 148.150, Utah 147.975
All three teas right in it going to the final event after three strong rotations. We didn’t see much of UCLA vault, and while they need to pull those first couple vaults together and get some landings, they finished very well. Utah appears to have nailed floor, featuring the Dabritz 10, which she has been in line for for weeks and weeks. We’ll have to hope to see the whole thing later on. The dismount was solid (I mean, crossed legs, but that doesn’t get deducted in NCAA). Michigan also appeared to have thrown this away early on beam, but pulled it back with some strong showings. I thought the Chiarelli score was high, but the Gies and Casanova routines were excellent, and Sampson was pristine apart from a distinct wobble and another borderline nothing.

Florida looks to be on pace to record the highest score of the season with just a home floor rotation remaining. They’ll probably have to make an error at this point to go under 198 given what we’ve seen them receive at home so far. It’s going to be another statement score. Sloan got a 9.975 on beam and Johnson is keeping up her crazy AA number with another 9.950.

Oklahoma started off a little normally on vault with a 49.2, but they’re nailing the scores on bars, Scaman with a 9.975 already. LSU opens with a 49.500 on vault. Obviously.

Rotation 4 – Michigan on floor, Utah on vault, UCLA on bars
Sugiyama – FX – Mich – Looked like she would bounce back out of that double tuck mount but she held onto that front leg – she was not going to move. Good form and completion on her dance elements, and she ends with a solid double pike. Good opening.  9.925. Wow, OK.

Parker – FX – Mich – Huge bounce out of her double arabian mount, front tuck to double back is fine, and she ends with a solid double pike, so really the only major thing is that huge bounce out of the double arabian. 9.875. These are getting very high.

Utah is already done with vault for a 49.375. Eeenteresting. The lowest vault rotation score of the day. We saw none of those routines, so impossible to say.

Beilstein – FX – Mich – Excellent tuck full mount, high and stuck. Also nails her 1.5 to layout middle pass. She’s on today. Same with the 2.5 to pike dismount. Great tumbling. One of her straddles was a little wonky, but otherwise that was a great routine.

Artz – FX – Mich – Strong and solid pike full in to start, good positions on her split and straddle elements, nothing to take from that. Fine layout to front full. Secure double pike. Another good routine. The judges have left themselves nowhere to go after the scores for the first two routines, but these are excellent showings.

Zakharia – FX – Mich – Double front to mount, just a little slide forward, but I love that pass. Michigan has this meet in the bag now, which it a big statement even though it’s at home. Small stumble on the middle pass. Hits her double pike. Not as strong as Beilstein or Artz, but a good routine.

Sampson – FX – Mich – Just putting the tiara on the win here. Excellent DLO. One of the best in NCAA. I think she needs a 10.00 to tie Peszek for the AA win. The way this rotation has gone, why not think that will happen? She’s hitting her passes and her dance elements without concern. Sticks her double pike. Great job. Let’s see about this score. 9.950. Fair for that one.

Well there we have it. Big win and enormous score for Michigan, but positive performances for all three of the teams in this meet.

Final score: Michigan 197.825, UCLA 197.475, Utah 197.350

I thought Utah would have been more in it than there were finishing on vault, but they didn’t get the scores we have come to expect. We saw none of those routines, but I’m guessing a couple fewer sticks this week. That’ll make the difference. UCLA didn’t really have any problems in this meet. They had a few low scores on each event, most of which ended up being dropped, but that’s still a question. A top team can’t have any 9.6s ever, even if they’re being dropped.

For Michigan, it was an overall very strong performance. The talk will be about their getting a high 197, but it was a good showing. They recorded strong numbers on vault and bars which I thought were appropriate. They showed strong routines on both those events, even if I would like to see more than one stick in a vault rotation for it to get a 49.475, but this is pretty much the new normal. The scoring started to get a little bit fancier toward the end of the meet, especially on floor where they scores went high early and then stayed high. However, those routines were very, very good and deserved high scores. Beilstein, Artz, and Sampson all nailed it.

We’re doing flowers for all the seniors now. Damianova and Sawa having a little Canadian moment. I’ll switch to Alabama and Stanford in a moment. Michigan seniors now. Oh no! You’re not using “Time of Your Life,” are you? Is this your sixth-grade graduation in 1998 (autobiographical)?

This is supposed to be all about being emotional and celebratory, but I’m just thinking how much Michigan is losing next year without Sampson, Beilstein, and Zakharia. That’s like all your scoring. Pressure on Artz and Chiarelli next year.

P.S. Kytra got another 10 on floor in another huge rotation for Florida.

The Gators finish with a  198.325, the highest team score of the season, after three rotations in the 49.6s. OK, now let’s see that same thing happen on the road. Alaina Johnson recorded a 39.825 in the AA, which is almost unheard of these days. When was the last time we had a score that high? Wow.

Oklahoma was nailing bars but then had mistakes from Brewer and Wofford and had to count a 9.4. They were doing so well that they still broke 49 on the event.

I flipped over to Alabama but just missed Milliner’s 10 on vault! Was it worth it?

After 1: Alabama 49.625, Stanford 49.225
That was Alabama’s way of telling me to stop saying that they’re really missing Kayla Williams on vault this season.

LSU is currently looking on pace for a strong 197, especially considering Gnat just got a 9.950 on beam.

The three 10s so far today bring this year’s total up to 16. 5 on vault, 1 on bars, 1 on beam, and 9 on floor.

Rotation 2 – Alabama on bars, Stanford on vault
Chuang – VT – Nice distance on the yfull, a little bent knees and a step back.

Bailey – UB – Nice jaeger, handstands looks OK, good finishing position on her full turn this time, and a stuck double back. Good start.

Daum – VT – Good height on yfull – she’s a powerful one so that’s what we should expect – bounce back on landing.

DeMeo – UB – Nice to have her back in these lineups, short on her half turn handstand, solid jaeger, and a stick on the DLO as they are prone to do.

Rice – VT – Another run that I love. She has improved her body position on the vault this year. Bounce back on the yfull, but nice in the air. No landings so far for Stanford, though.

A Sims – UB – Weiler 1/2 to bail handstand is hit, but these leg separations are killing me. Whips out a DLO a little bit with a step back.

McNair – VT – Really nice form and power on her yfull, looked like a hop back again (?), but strong showing.

Jacob – UB – Excellent Ray, good hs after it, hits her bail more on top of the bar this time. She missed her final hs, but that looked a little better than it has been. Stuck DLO as always.

Vaculik – VT – Excellent yfull – definite stick on that one. Good form, power, and distance. Where has this vaulting come from? 

Jetter – UB – Her Ray isn’t quite as powerful as the others, but it’s strong. Good bail, and hitting her Mary Lee handstands through to the end of the routine. Stuck double front.

D McNair – VT – She goes for the 1.5 this week. Basically identical to her sister in the form department as well as the look department. Step back on the vault and landed maybe a litlte short, but nice to see and well done.

Clark – UB – Fingertips on her huge Ray, but she holds onto it and controls her swing afterward as well. Another who sticks her DLO. They absolutely nailed those bars landings.

McNeer is doing a bars exhibition for Alabama. She’s another with a strong Ray. This is just the season of the Ray. This is a nice routine, and she sticks her whippy DLO as well. If they’re already set on the lineup for this season, she’s a great nominee for next year.

After 2: Alabama 99.150, Stanford 98.525
Is Alabama a little jealous of Florida? I didn’t see the vaults, but that is quite a score for that bars rotation. Nice things happen when you stick your dismounts. It has always been true, and it will always be true. I still have some concerns about the insides of some of those routines and the form, but it was a step forward in a lot of ways in addition to the dismounts. For instance, Kim Jacob is getting those handstands a little more in order.

A pretty good vault showing for Stanford as well, especially considering how many big steps and lunges they had on those landings. We got the straight on angle for N McNair and Vaculik, so it was hard to make a real judgment on those vaults, but they looked very nice in the air. Stanford is way back but could squeeze through for a necessary 197 here with two solid final rotations.

Oklahoma’s scoring got tired and upset and is refusing to update, but LSU remains on middish-highish 197 pace after three events. They had to count a beam 9.750 from Courville (these wobbles are killing me – you should have an 11 every week), but got a 9.975 from Jordan.

Everyone is getting a 197 so far today. 

Rotation 3 – Alabama on beam, Stanford on floor
Milliner – BB – Good walkover – clean and no wobbles, strong switch and straddle, but is completely off line on her loso series and falls! Very unexpected. She has been exceptionally solid as a beam leadoff for them. Step on the double full dismount. This is an unusual situation for Alabama to handle now on beam. They haven’t too many of the early falls this year.

Morgan – FX – A little short on her opening double tuck with a step forward, and a slide forward out of her 1.5 to layout, comes in low on her double pike dismount but holds onto the stick for it. Some tumbling issues there for her.

Jetter – BB – Wobble on the opening switch side, another very small correction on her loso series, good front tuck – very secure, long pause before that full turn, but good switch split. She’s becoming more comfortable as she goes. Step forward on 1.5. Deductions, but hit.

N McNair – FX – Good to see her into the lineup. That’s an important step. Huge lunge forward out of her double arabian – barely landed that to her feet – couldn’t see the flag but looked from here like she went well OOB. It’s still good to get her in this week because they’ll need this routine come the postseason. Secure enough on the double tuck dismount.

Bailey – BB – Pretty L turn, and a very solid loso series, and hits her side aerial to side position, right on with her tuck full turn as well. Step back on the double full, but a really nice routine.

Frowein – FX – Hits her opening double pike, and is fine on her 1.5 to front pike as well. Double L turn, and it looked like she went far enough around on the second turn with that to be a true doubel turn. Good job. Switch ring in a dance pass. (I honestly just accidentally wrote lance bass instead of dance pass, and then got distracted). Hit dismount. Nothing big about that routine, but a necessary hit.

Sims – BB – Strong loso series, excellent switch split and straddle jump – easily 180, big and hit switch side as well. High double tuck dismount with a step forward. Another strong hit. Three freshmen going up in a row after a fall and three straight hits.

Rice – FX – Good, high double pike mount, maybe a little bounce in place on the landing. Solid switch ring and switch side as well. Layout half to front full middle pass is hit as well. This music fits in on the Alabama floor. Double tuck is solid as well. Best routine of the rotation by far.

Clark – BB – Good switch, secure loso with good extended legs, hits her sheep jump and front toss. They’re giving away very little in these last few routines. Stuck 1.5 dismount.

Daum – FX – Solid double pike to open, and split half looked nice and hit to 180, strong 1.5 to layout. Sticks her double tuck dismount. One of the stronger routines I have seen her do. That will go nicely with Rice’s routine to make this a solid rotation score.

Jacob – BB – Nice pretty mount, switch split is good and straddle full is just around but around, small correction coming out of her two layouts series but well done. No more piked barani. Boo. 1.5 dismount with a step forward. How could you take the barani out of her routine? That was what the whole thing was about. 

Vaculik – FX – Just every so slightly short on her double back mount with a leany step forward. NO! Sits down her middle pass. I had the feed jump in the middle of the pass, and then she’s on the ground at the end of it. How disastrous. I blame the feed mostly. They’ll probably still have to count this routine, but the meet score is lost. Low on her double pike but hangs onto the landing well. 

After 3: Alabama 148.575, Stanford 147.050
Counting that fall with be devastating for Stanford’s score in a meet that they need for their ranking. Floor has been a problem this year, which is why I still think it’s a good idea to get McNair in there. They have to go for it with the difficulty because she has it and the rest of them don’t really.

Very well done by Alabama to put up a good beam rotation after the fall. 198 is still looking very possible here.

In the land of elsewhere, Haley Scaman got a 10 on floor to add her name to the ever-growing list as Oklahoma pulled it out in the final two rotations with huge scores to get a 197.450. It started tepidly, and they counted a mistake on bars, but still came out with a solid score.

LSU had some uncharacteristic lower scores on floor for them (and Ranzy came in for Jordan), but still pulled off a 197.500 for the meet mostly based on that big vault score and solid performances elsewhere. Isn’t it bad this year that a 49.3 seems like a meh rotation score? But that’s where we are.

Rotation 4 – Alabama on floor, Stanford on beam  
Morgan – BB – I love this routine. It’s so full of difficulty, and she hits all of it so well. Most people deign to do one D acro element in a routine, and she does a thousand of them. It’s all side aerials and side somis – no wobbles here – stuck double full. Great routine.

Sims – FX – Solid double pike opening, switch side and popa are excellent here – just like her straddle elements on beam – a little bouncy hop on the layout out of her middle pass, solid double tuck. Good leadoff routine. Nothing shockingly impressive, but all well executed.  9.925. Well now. Alabama is feeling left out of the scoring parade.

Wing – BB – Pretty Kathy Johnson of a full turn, whipping her leg out at the end. Walkover is strong, and no wobbles on the loso series – another with good leg extension on that. Sissone to a stuck gainer full. Well done.

Frost – FX – DLO opening –  a little low but secure on her landing, full to layout middle pass. Does she do a seat drop in this routine? And why? Solid double pike dismount.

N McNair – BB – Nice loso series, great wolf jump to straddle 1/4 – high and great positions, strong side aerial, switch split to back tuck – another set of great skills – small hop on the double full dismount, but she nailed that one.

Jacob – FX – Third? Interesting. Good double pike. Oh yes, remember how she has an elephant sound effect in her routine? Nails her middle pass. Another with a strong switch side to popa, which is the most popular dance element combination. Sticks her 1.5 to layout as well. Great rotuine. What do we think, 12.775?  Also a 9.925. So, just for everyone?

Vaculik – BB – Wobble on the back tuck out of her switch split, rulfova is shocking and excellent, hits her loso series. Big bounce out of her double full dismount – not as solid as the first three have been.

Jetter – FX – Nice double arabian – much better than the last time I saw it when it was short and she had to stumble – 1.5 to front full middle pass – which she has been doing for like 35 years – and it’s a good one for her. And hits her final pass as well. Another solid hit. Another 9.925?  Oh, 9.950 for that one. OK.

Spinner – BB – Loso series to open is strong, good full turn. We’re seeing really well hit straddle skills on beam in this meet, and she’s another. Hits her loso securely, and hangs onto the stick on her double full dismount but has to bend for it. 

Beers – FX -Pretty strong DLO mount, which they have added in – maybe came in slightly short but the landing was fine. Her switch ring was a little iffy but the split full was strong. I will say this, no one has had any issues on any tumbling passes in this rotation so far. They’re hitting them like they hit those bars dismounts. Remains true on her double back dismount.

Daum – BB – Nice back tuck, just a little short on her loso series and wobbles but hangs onto it, another pretty full turn, switch to wolf is strong. Good walkover. The score won’t really be a standout, but this has been a very nice beam rotation for Stanford. Five really pretty, hit routines to count there. Hop forward on 1.5 dismount.

Milliner – FX – They’ve been building up to another 10 for her after everyone else has been in the 9.9s. Let’s see. Double arabian mount is good, not the nailed stick we sometimes see, but control enough in the landing. Layout and full middle pass is solid, and her dance combo looked hit. Secure double pike landing. Good job, now we wait. 9.925 for that one. I agree with that score for that routine as a standalone, but the standards in this rotation have been a little strange. So every routine was just the same quality?

Final score: Alabama 198.250, Stanford 196.300    
Oh, the scoring. The scoring! I actually haven’t felt that Alabama had been hitting the home scoring drum too hard this year. Yes, in places and particularly on bars, but it had been mostly normal and expected. Today, it was all about the 9.9s for everyone at every moment, and they almost managed to catch Florida’s humongous score. Close. Welcome to 2014, where 197.000 is a bad score and 9.900 is the new 9.825.

I will add that this was actually an exceptional meet for Alabama for the three rotations I saw. Great, hit gymnastics with remarkably solid and consistent landings. Those are the landings they’ll want to bring to Super Six.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend meets!

The Weekend Ahead – March 7th-9th

I made a bit of an error earlier in the week by saying that LSU was guaranteed to keep the #1 ranking after this weekend. I overlooked the fact that Oklahoma has a road meet this Sunday in addition to the home meet on Friday, which means they have an opportunity, with two big scores, to move up ahead of the Tigers. It’s still very likely that LSU retains #1, but depending on what the Sooners score in the first meet of the weekend, they could pass after the second meet (we’re talking at least two consecutive high 197s/198s and a lowish score from LSU to do it, but it is theoretically possible).

LSU, Oklahoma, and Florida are all in action on Friday in meets they’ll be expected to win comfortably, but there’s still plenty to play for. Oklahoma does have that glimmer of a chance to move up in the rankings and also could use a big performance to reinvigorate. They’ve been scoring well every single week with no real dud meets, but aside from Metroplex, it has been since January that they’ve hit a big, big score. I want to see the return of those 9.9s on bars and beam. By contrast, LSU has had four straight weeks of scoring 197.6+, and with more big scores over the next few weeks, does have a chance to eclipse Florida’s 2013 RQS of 197.840, the highest RQS recorded since 2004. Finishing the regular season at #1 would be a big deal for LSU. Newsflash: the final session of SECs is going to be good. If only it were broadcast live or something. What a concept.    

Those three teams may be engaged in an epic top-of-the-rankings tussle, but we also have another in teresting threesome happening on Friday night (I said it). Utah and UCLA will both visit Michigan in that rarest of tri-meets where all three teams are ranked in the top 10. It should be close and wonderful and upsetting. A convincing argument can be made for any of the three winning, and in not a surprise even a little, the event to watch will be beam. All three of these teams are capable of throwing away a meet there, and it could very well be that the team that’s least terrifying on beam wins.

In particular, UCLA must get a big beam score in order to win. The Bruins have the highest peak on beam (BB season highs: UCLA 49.525, Utah 49.275, Michigan 49.250) along with the best beamers among the three teams in Peszek and Francis, and they will need to gain an advantage there because they will likely give back ground elsewhere, notably on vault where Utah has been stellar this year and Michigan has a tremendously powerful and clean lineup. Overall, this will be an exceptional vault showcase with Delaney, Dabritz, Wilson, Sheppard, Sampson, Beilstein, Peszek, Courtney. It could be a 9.950 parade. Perhaps the first 10.000 earned at a Michigan meet since The Miss Botterman? Very perhaps. For Michigan, I want to see a big, hit bars rotation. Multiple 9.9s are well within their capability, but we haven’t seen that nearly often enough this season. All these random 9.750s. Utah needs to do well enough on beam that vault and floor are allowed to speak for themselves.

Later on Friday, Alabama hosts Stanford with the Tide still basking in the glow of a massive home win over Florida, which was done without Sarah DeMeo. The lack of DeMeo does notably decrease their scoring potential, so getting her back will be essential to their assault on the top-ranked teams. While it was a great result against Florida, I would like to see a little bit more consistency from them, and I’m going to continue watching those bars handstands and then complaining about the scores for those routines. For Stanford, a high road score is essential for them to position themselves adequately for a less stressful regionals experience, especially because this is their final meet before Pac-12s. I’m also interested to see if some of those freshmen with big floor potential finally get into that lineup because there’s not a lot of time left to integrate them, and they are necessary.

Don’t forget that we’re also getting into Senior Night time of year, so if you’re the type of person who enjoys watching crying and the ceremonial presentation of flowers, be sure to catch those meet broadcasts, with Florida, Oklahoma, and Georgia to name a few all having their senior meets this weekend. Yes, Mackenzie Caquatto is a senior in college. The end.

Top 25 Schedule
Friday – 3/7/14
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – West Virginia @ [2] Florida
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [6] Utah, [8] UCLA @ [7] Michigan
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [22] California, Centenary @ Kentucky
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [25] NC State @ [1] LSU
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [21] Arizona State @ [3] Oklahoma
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – Missouri @ [11] Auburn
8:30 ET/5:30 PT – [10] Stanford @ [4] Alabama

Saturday – 3/8/14
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – [17] Central Michigan, Yale, S. Connecticut, Towson @ Rutgers
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – [20] Denver @ [5] Georgia
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – [19] Penn State, George Washington, Bridgeport @ New Hampshire
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – Ball State @ [24] Ohio State
5:00 ET/2:00 PT – Lindenwood @ [13] Illinois
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [14] Arkansas @ [9] Nebraska
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – Seattle Pacific @ [16] Boise State

Sunday – 3/9/14
3:00 ET/12:00 PT – [3] Oklahoma, [12] Minnesota, Michigan State @ Texas Woman’s
3:00 ET/12:00 PT – [15] Oregon State @ [18] Arizona

Home/Road Disparity 2014

In this week’s quick look at the numbers inside the sport, it’s time for the annual dissection of everyone’s favorite topic, home and road scoring.

Below is a comparison of the difference between the top 36 teams’ averages at home and averages on the road so far this season. Teams at the top of the list have received the biggest boost from competing at home (with the first couple teams averaging nearly 1.500 greater at home than on the road), and teams at the bottom of the list are scoring better on the road than at home. The disparity list is followed by a ranking of the top 36 teams by home average and by road average for reference.

This is not meant to be exclusively a look at judging or inflated home scoring because many factors contribute to a team’s performing better at home, of which home scoring is one, but just one. Regardless of the reason for the scores, there are many teams that tend to score significantly better at home, and in general, the bigger the disparity between the home and road scores, the more questions we should have about realistic performance level come the postseason. What scores are you going to get when you have to travel away for Regionals?

It’s not always decisive that a team with a big scoring disparity will get knocked down a peg in the postseason when competing on the road, and Florida is a good example of that. Last season, the Gators followed a similar path to this season, with big home scores and normal road scores for much of the year, but by SECs and Championships, they were getting the same big scores on the road as well, ultimately resulting in a title. Plus, when you’re getting a 198.4 at home, you can afford to score quite a bit lower on the road and still be successful.

A couple comments:
-Rarely, one really bad score will have a disproportionate influence, and that is the case with Kentucky’s road 190, which makes it look like they have a much bigger difference between home and road than they do otherwise.
-Also, note that the teams with the biggest differences aren’t necessarily the top teams. We tend to hear a lot of complaints about only the top teams receiving a big home scoring boost, but in general, the top teams have pretty reasonable home/road splits.

Largest Home/Road Scoring Disparity – 2014
1. West Virginia +1.663
2. Penn State +1.423
3. Arizona +1.358
4. Kentucky +1.112
5. Washington +1.031
6. BYU +0.984
7. Oregon State +0.948
8. California +0.888
9. UC Davis +0.874
10. Florida +0.819
11. Georgia +0.771
12. Michigan +0.713
13. NC State +0.655
14. Alabama +0.494
15. Illinois +0.480
16. Utah +0.468
17. Arkansas +0.456
18. San Jose State +0.446
19. Utah State +0.334
20. Kent State +0.333
21. Stanford +0.315
22. Southern Utah +0.303
23. Iowa +0.235
24. Boise State +0.232
25. Missouri +0.179
26. LSU +0.069
27. UCLA +0.063
28. Auburn +0.031
29. Denver +0.008
30. Nebraska 0.000
31. Ohio State -0.075
32. Arizona State -0.105
33. Minnesota -0.150
34. Oklahoma -0.306
35. Rutgers -0.433
36. Central Michigan -0.698

Home Average
1. Florida 197.894
2. LSU 197.519
3. Georgia 197.381
4. Alabama 197.363
5. Utah 197.260
6. Oklahoma 197.238
7. Michigan 197.108
8. UCLA 196.719
9. Oregon State 196.706
10. Nebraska 196.644
11. Arizona 196.558
12. Stanford 196.500
13. Arkansas 196.419
14. Penn State 196.363
15. Illinois 196.250
16. Boise State 196.088
17. Cal 196.083
18. Auburn 196.075
19. Minnesota 196.015
20. Denver 195.683
21. Kentucky 195.575
22. BYU 195.567
23. Washington 195.425
24. West Virginia 195.388
25. Arizona State 195.370
26. NC State 195.305
27. Ohio State 195.263
28. San Jose State 195.250
29. Kent State 195.183
30. Central Michigan 195.183
31. Southern Utah 195.143
32. UC Davis 194.769
33. Missouri 194.569
34. Utah State 194.317
35. Rutgers 194.225
36. Iowa 193.775

Road Average
1. Oklahoma 197.544
2. LSU 197.450
3. Florida 197.075
4. Alabama 196.869
5. Utah 196.792
6. UCLA 196.656
7. Nebraska 196.644
8. Georgia 196.610
9. Michigan 196.395
10. Stanford 196.185
11. Minnesota 196.165
12. Auburn 196.044
13. Arkansas 195.963
14. Central Michigan 195.881
15. Boise State 195.856
16. Illinois 195.770
17. Oregon State 195.758
18. Denver 196.675
19. Arizona State 195.475
20. Ohio State 195.338
21. Arizona 195.200
22. California 195.195
23. Penn State 194.940
24. Kent State 194.850
25. Southern Utah 194.840
26. San Jose State 194.804
27. Rutgers 194.658
28. NC State 194.650
29. BYU 194.583
30. Kentucky 194.463
31. Washington 194.394
32. Missouri 194.390
33. Utah State 193.983
34. UC Davis 193.895
35. West Virginia 193.725
36. Iowa 193.540