The decider.

Currently, Canada sits in the cutoff position, 8th as a team with 160.964. A familiar spot for Canada.

On the events, the last three spots currently belong to Steingruber, Murakami, and Black, who will have to try to survive Andrade, Moreno, and Yeo in this final group.

On bars, the last three spots currently belong to Biles, De Jesus Dos Santos, and Popa with people like Derwael, Seitz, Bui, Adlerteg, Kovacs, and Andrade still to perform among others.

On beam, the last three spots belong to Biles, Urazova, and Ashikawa, and while this is not such a beam-heavy group, there are Saraiva, Derwael, Schaefer, and Andrade here.

On floor, the last three spots belong to Melnikova, Murakami, and Jennifer Gadirova, but there are not a tonnnn of 13.8ables in this group. Andrade and Saraiva are here.

Continue reading Women’s Olympic Qualification – Subdivision 5 →

Well, we’ve already had an arcane team deduction taken for not following vault warmup rules and a late inquiry that changed which athlete got 2-per-country-ed from the all-around final, and we’re not even halfway done. Mary, get ready.

Currently, Russia leads the team competition with 171.629, so that will be the bare minimum aim for the United States, and both qualifying US all-arounders will hope to best Melnikova’s 57.132.

We start subdivision 3 with the US on floor, Netherlands on bars, and Larisa Iordache in her lone event on beam.

One of the big event final issues to watch is going to be Murakami’s 13.933 on floor that already sits in 5th, which we assume will go down to 7th place after the US does floor. Fan Yilin is also already in 4th on bars, which is interesting since there’s more bars depth than floor depth in the later groups.

The first thing to be decided: Which American joins Biles in the floor final.

Athletes out for their intros now. Apparatus feed is going to be especially important because the main feed is just on John and Bridget, the stars of the games.

Touch warmup begins.

Continue reading Women’s Olympic Qualification – Subdivisions 3 & 4 →

Unlike for the men, some of the women’s subdivisions are grouped together in the same session running back-to-back, so I’m keeping them in the same post.

Here, we have the Japan and Italy subdivision up first, and the big one, the Russia, China, Great Britain subdivision, up right afterward.

In the first, I have Japan penciled in as the most likely #4 team, so we’ll see if the actual performance merits that, or whether Italy can regain some 2019ishness despite all the broken. Ferrari and Murakami should also give us a sense of what counts as a good floor score at these Olympics. I expect both teams to make the team final, but they’ll have to, you know, stay on a couple times.

Japan has Hiraiwa listed last for the team on every event, so I wonder if that just means they’re trying to score-build for her—or if she won’t necessarily do the AA if the three before her hit. Should be some good AA races here. Murakami is of course expected to make it for Japan, but the second Japanese gymnast and both Italians are up for grabs.

Continue reading Women’s Olympic Qualification – Subdivisions 1 & 2 →

It’s the turn of the US, Taiwan, Germany, and South Korea in the final subdivision, which will also give us all the answers we need about who is advancing to which final.

For team goals, Great Britain put up a really solid 4th place number earlier with a 256.594. Beating that should be the goal of the US team, and it’s certainly not a given that they’d do so. Average scores this year have been putting the US men more like 254 or 255, so they’ll need to step it up to qualify in 4th here.

Any team who goes better than 249.193 here is automatically in the team final.

These are the current cutoffs for event finals, so at very minimum, gymnasts must do better than that to get into EF.

Floor – 14.666
Horse – 14.666
Rings – 14.400
Vault – 14.000
PBars – 15.233
HBar – 14.333

Continue reading Men’s Olympic Qualification – Subdivision 3 →