Category Archives: NCAA Gymnastics Nationals

National Semifinals Live Blog – Get Excited Immediately

The time is now. The day is here. All we know is that it will end in tears.

LIVE SCORES

LIVE VIDEO

ROTATION ORDER

Here is a comparison of the regionals scores for the teams in each semifinal. Top three on each event are highlighted.

We don’t have full lineups for the first semifinal yet, but Georgia has released theirs, which they always do in a timely fashion. Broussard is indeed in on beam and floor, and Johnson remains in the anchor position on vault.

This race for the final qualification spot in the first semi is going to be a good one. We’ll know a lot after Michigan does beam in the second rotation.

We begin at 2:00 ET/11:00 PT.

In the first rotation, we have Georgia on vault, Michigan on bars, Oklahoma on beam, and Stanford on floor. Where will we look? Be aware that we’ll miss some important routines just because of the nature of having that many good teams going at the same time.

I’m looking at something around a 49.400 pace for these teams in the first rotation (maybe a touch less for Stanford on floor – they can make it up later? ish?) I think they’d all take 49.400 in a second to start the meet. Georgia and Oklahoma can imagine going better than that – especially Georgia would love some fancy 49.500 in their opening outing to give some wiggle room.

Full lineups are out now. No Kaleigh Dickson on vault or floor for LSU. Hall in on vault and Ranzy remains in on floor.

Oklahoma has swapped out Charity Jones for Erica Brewer on bars.

No Shelby Gies on beam for Michigan? Huh? Reema in instead.

Stanford has Becky Wing in on bars for Danielle McNair, and Chuang back in on floor instead of Shapiro – for now.

Lots of teams and people doing coverage posted pictures yesterday saying, “The calm before the storm.” But it’s not calm before storms. Lots happens. Like Shelby Gies being out on beam. 

Coverage beginning now. Here we go. It’s on. Toi Garcia is our color commentator. She’s doing well so far.

Remember to keep an eye on event finals qualification as well. We have some strong nominees in the Georgia vault and Oklahoma beam, so they’ll need to get the big scores flowing early to make it back.

We’re starting already! I’m not ready for this.
Ohh, pssssh. This is just the touch warmup. Thanks for the fake-out, commentator lady.

Just saw Beilstein miss her gienger in the warmup. Don’t worry. It’s warmups. Teams are finishing up now. Here we go.

Rotation 1:
Reynolds – UGA – VT – yfull – small hop forward it looked like – a little piking – bad angle for vault – from behind so it’s hard to tell if she landed short..

Davis – UGA – VT – are we not seeing any other events? I hate hearing background cheers when we don’t see what’s happening. I’m dying of unknowing. Yfull – great height and a stuck landing. That was one of her good ones, very nice.

Scores page is not updating yet, but we’re not getting them on the commentary as well.

Lovan – OU – BB – good switch to straddle 1/4, leg up a little on the loso series – smallish wobble and another check on her walkover. A little tight in this routine so far, following a 9.850 from Mooring, which is a strong opening. Loso to layout full dismount with a hop back. 9.825 here. Big range on that routine, as low as a 9.700.

Cheek – UGA – VT – Gorgrous, gorgeous, gorgeous on the yfull. One of her sticks. Let’s watch that score. If we ever get it.

Jay – UGA – VT – Nice 1.5 – she has her usual leg break on the vault itself, but another stuck landing. We saw two sticks here from Georgia, so this is looking like the big vault rotation that they needed so far.

Sampson – MICH – UB – Excellent tkatchev to start, clean legs on the bail handstand, and a stuck dismount. That’s what we call a recovery from two weeks ago. Great form on the dismount and a comfortable stick.

We see a nice yfull from Martin of Denver competing with Georgia. Just a 9.900 for Cheek, for a vault that would have easily received a 9.950 in the regular season, so we’re tighter in this session so far. Let’s see if that carries over across all the events and rotations.

Capps – OU – BB – lovely press mount, strong loso to leap – very pretty and confident full turn – clean walkover – good switch the straddle 1/4 with the smallest check after it to regain balance – stuck gainer full. Pretty routine.  9.900.

Williams – Mich – UB – Clean jaeger, nice handstands and line so far – another stick on the dismount. Michigan getting those landings today. Not the level of some of the others in the lineup, but she did her job.

Spears – OU – BB – Pretty onodi to swingdown as always – hits her switch well – excellent aerial walkover – and into a stuck gainer full. Very strong routine, that was on par with the 9.9s she has received this year.

Waiting on Chuang on floor now for Stanford. We’re seeing believable scores on bars and beam in line with what we’ve seen this season. Vault is interesting. Judge 1 on vault is judging at a regular season level, but judge two is much harsher.

Chuang – Stanf – FX – Pretty double pike, good form and a secure landing. Clean in her leaps combo – small shuffle/stumble on her front layout front full middle pass. Stanford already has two 9.7s in this rotation, which they didn’t have at regionals, so they need a strong hit here – And we’re just getting the score that Vaculik got a 9.600 for a routine we didn’t see. Oh Stanford.

Clark – OU – BB – ooooh – she looked like she was off line on her walkover and paused for a second to save it before her swingdown, but she was still off line and had to twist sideways while straddling the beam on her swingodwn, so they’ll drop this score. Still a good rotation. Sticks her 1.5.

Asturias on floor now, punch rudi to glorious layout stepout, not quite to 180 on her split full, 1.5 to front tuck that was supposed to be a front layout – so a few issues there and not her best floor routine.

So here we are. Eeeeeenteresting.

After 1: GEORGIA 49.350, OKLAHOMA 49.350, MICHIGAN 49.325, STANFORD 49.025

The biggest thing we learned there was about Stanford. They were only on the cusp of contention today, and they needed a much better floor score there. They got three 9.850s but counted two 9.7s, and that puts them in a significant hole early.

I hope that 9.900 is enough for Cheek to make event finals on vault because she couldn’t have done that vault much better. Scores on vault started pretty low and then came into normalcy as the rotation went along. Georgia would have hoped for a big better, but it was a strong rotation and they’ll be OK with that score, especially because no one else did better.

Oklahoma could have gone a bit higher, but the break from Clark hurt a tad. We saw some tentativeness from Lovan and Clark there, so not the height of Oklahoma beam we expect, although Capps and Spears had great showings. I thought Oklahoma would get 49.4s here, but they won’t be too bothered by the 49.350 yet.

Strong bars score for Michigan as well, improving on their total from regionals. They could have used a bigger score from Beilstein there. She got a 9.825, when she’s been going a tenth better than that this season, but they’re right in it. Nothing problematic there in their race with Georgia. They’ll be pleased so far, but of course we’ve got beam coming up right now, so that will say everything.

Rotation 2:
We’ll have LSU enter on floor here and Illinois enter on bars. Oklahoma and Georgia are on break. Stanford on vault must find some way to recover from that floor rotation, and then Michigan beam. 

Chuang – Stan – VT – Solid power on that vault – some piking and a hop back – OK opening, so let’s see how it compares to Georgia’s score.

Daum – Stan – VT – Nice power and stronger leg form than Chuang on the block – lands a little short (?) with a hop forward. These won’t be big opening scores.

O’Connor – Ill – UB – That was a huge tkatchev – looked like she surprised herself with how big it was – a handstand or two here and there, but she stuck a great DLO just like at regionals, so that helps. Score comes in very low – did I miss something or identify the wrong person?

Chiarelli – Mich – BB – Secure on her loso series, well done – wobble on her straddle 1/2 and the leg goes up – hits her side aerial – They already have a 9.750 from Artz that they won’t love to count. Hops forward on the double back, so a couple areas there, but it’s a hit.

Gnat – LSU – FX – Pike full in – great power on it but a bounce back – strong 2.5 to front – gets that front around – Very pretty switch ring and split position – no problem there. Sticks an excellent doulbe pike.

D McNair – Stan – VT – y1.5 with a hop to the side, not a ton of distance on that vault but she gets it around this time.

Savona – LSU – FX – 1.5 into a strong double tuck – well done, great landing on her tuck full in – confident and secure – split 1/2 was fine enough and the popa looked very nice – very small bounce on the double pike, but a strong routine.

Zakharia – Mich – BB – Wobble on her opening full turn – holds her front tuck well – getting it together after looking a little nervous on her full turn – nice front tuck to back tuck acro combination – front 1.5 dismount is a stick or near-stick. Huge for her to hit like that coming into the lineup.

Courville – LSU – FX -Just floats into her double arabian and does well to control her step enough to stay in bounds, front to double tuck – high and comfortable, good switch ring and split full – no question there for her. Ooooh, lands short on her double pike and lunges forward. That will jeopardize event finals for sure and could hurt in the AA. She was doing so well! 9.850 doesn’t help any of those causes. She won’t make floor finals with that.

Sampson – Mich – BB – They already have a fall from Williams that we didn’t see, count two 9.7s so far, they need a big Sampson hit. Her loso series looked good, but she had to correct her balance a bit afterward. Nice sheep jump. Hits her side aerial to sissone. Sticks her double full. Thank you Joanna Sampson. They needed that like crazy.

Ranzy – LSU – FX – Starts with a solid DLO, half to split jump to front tuck – well done – short of 180 on the split full, but she’s hitting well so far for coming in late, very low chest landing on the double tuck, but LSU is doing fine. They’ll be in great scoring shape after this rotation with Hall to come.

We’re not seeing Casanova on beam, so let’s just hope for a hit to keep Michigan in sight of this thing.

Hall – LSU – FX – DLO is big and stuck as usual – it looked like she was coming in short but she stuck that thing – good straddle jumps – front full to front layout – not stuck as she often does but a controlled step for sure. Final pass – bounces up on her double tuck – ooooh, she had to save that one to control it without giving up a huge deduction but it will be one. Oh, she looks really upset. It will be a good score, but will it be the 9.9+ she’ll need to get back to finals? 9.850. She’s sitting in third with Courville now on floor. That’s not going to be good enough.

Casanova had a fall for Michigan on beam. Maybe that’s why the Georgia fans are looking so happy in the crowd right now. Michigan gets a 48.350 on beam, so with Stanford’s lower scores so far, Georgia has to hit to go through.

We’re finishing with McCartney from Sac State, whom I’ve never seen before. Solid front double full – nice height on her double tuck with a small slide – short on some of her splits, layout to front full. Solid routine, nice to see – she’s taller and has a nice twisting line. 

Hmmmmmm. Well, we’re going to have to see more mistakes for this to get interesting now.

After 2: STANFORD 98.050, MICHIGAN 97.675, GEORGIA 49.350, LSU 49.350, OKLAHOMA 49.350, ILLINOIS 48.725

Stanford has gone 49.025 on the first two events, so they would need help from Georgia right now to even think about anything, but it’s not as dire a situation as it would have seemed because Michigan counted a fall on beam. We didn’t see either falls, but we saw a couple wobbles here and there. The one who came in, Zakharia did well, and Sampson hit a solid routine, but . . . ouch.

We saw very little of Illinois – but they didn’t get into the 9.8s on any of those bars routines, so a far cry from what we saw them do at regionals. If they were to break through here, it would have been on bars.

I thought LSU was going stronger than they were on floor, but then both Courville and Hall had mistakes to open the door. They’re still in good shape, but they could have done much better. Not blown away by anything in that rotation.

Georgia will head to bars, and Oklahoma to floor, both looking to fortify their leads now. Illinois to beam and LSU to vault. We’ll know more about the vault event final situation after LSU goes there.

Rotation 3:
Jordan – LSU – VT – Excellent yfull as always – great height and distance – you won’t see a better leadoff – A bouncy stick – so not her absolute best. Still great.

Hall – LSU – VT – Nice power on her yfull, hop back, but great coming into the linuep now and putting her disappointment behind her from floor. She must be pissed. Opens on that vault well. Oh, to have that as a backup.

Hires – UGA – UB – Nice first hs, excellent piked jaeger, clean bail handstand – no trouble at all here so far – great final hs – OOOOH – did she release early? Knee down or close to going down on the dismount with a short landing and big lunge. What happened there? I haven’t seen her miss that DLO like that.

Gnat – LSU – VT – downgrades her 1.5 to a full – Nicely done – a little leg break on the block and a hop in place. 

Brown – UGA – UB – Nice clear hit, excellent high tkatchev as always – great form on the pak – hitting her handstands, sticks her tuck full dismount. Great recovery from the Hires routine. May have been short on her half turn on the low bar, but otherwise it looked great.

Capps – OU – FX – I like that we’re getting to see all the Capps routines. They know what we like. Oh big bounce back on her double pike mount – that will be at least a tenth – nice front layout to front full. Excellent split – great performance as always – and a clean 1.5 to layout stepout to finish? They’ll take for the opening pass, but excellent after that.

Horth – Ill – BB – wobble on her loso series, nice switch and a small check on the straddle 1/4, another small check on the aerial – just little things here and there. Very nice stick on the gainer full. It has been a day of 9.7s for them so far.

Davis – UGA – UB – Not quite the scores we would expect from Georgia so far, so they could use a big hit. great first hs and excellent tkatchev, small small leg break on her bail handstaand, one step on the DLO dismount, but that should be a good score.

LSU gets a 49.350 on vault, which is lower than we would expect, but given how vault scoring and the performance overall has gone today, it should be fine. 9.900s from Courville and Gnat, and judging how things are going, that could make it back for finals. Same with Georgia’s 49.300 on bars, way lower than we would expect, but should be fine if they hit.

Kanewa – OU – FX – Hits her pike full in – good enough control there – front 1.5 to half as middle pass is solid – straddle to split jump looks fine. Very secure double pike landing. We’ve seen a lot of people getting 9.850s with one mistake, and she had none, so expect a touch higher.

Cheek – UGA – UB – Such beautiful handstands, great tkatchev, nailing every position – sticks her DLO. Excellent routine. 9.925.

Scaman – OU – FX – Excellent DLO – took it right to the corner but was controlled – 1.5 to loso looked good as well. switch side to popa with great form – and a stuck double tuck. That’s the best floor routine so far today, and Kanewa already got a 9.950. This was a better routine, so let’s see what they do. 9.950.

Nordquist – Minn – BB – pretty switch side – GREAT side aerial to loso – that full turn, she’s nailing this routine. side aerial to stuck layout full dismount. Excellent routine.

Lindsay Mable fell on beam. Cancel championships. 
 
After 3: OKLAHOMA 98.925, LSU 98.700, GEORGIA 98.650, STANFORD 98.050, MICHIGAN 97.675, ILLINOIS 97.525

The top three are looking very comfortable right now barring a mistake. Oklahoma just opened up a huge lead because of a 49.575 on floor. What we’ve learned about floor so far is that if you have a landing error on a pass, you’ll get a 9.850, and if you don’t, you’ll get a 9.900 or better. It’s going to take at least a 9.925 to make floor finals here.

Would not have called Georgia getting a 49.300 on bars, that’s for sure. They would be freaking out right now if Michigan hadn’t counted a fall on beam. But, it does put a ton of pressure on their beam rotation not to count a fall. That’s what Stanford and Michigan will be watching for now.

In rotation 4, we have Oklahoma to the vault looking good, Stanford to bars needing to hit one of those 49.4s and get some help, Georgia to beam needing to hit hit hit, and Michigan to floor needing a 50. 

Rotation 4: 
Mooring – VT – OU – Nice yhalf – strong form throughout – hop back.

Lovan – VT – OU – a yfull – another who is clean – doesn’t have the pop – slightly short landing with a hop forward.

Rice – Stanf – UB – Wooooah, falls on her shoot to high bar. Nowhere close. She had an error at regionals, and now a fall. Pretty jaeger, hits her pak, large lunge forward on double tuck. They are in this if Georgia makes a mistake, but that won’t help.

Kanewa – OU – VT – Huge power on her yfull, sticks the landing, legs apart as she lands there – and maybe a small step with one foot on replay.

Capps – OU – VT – Nice distance on her yfull, but a pretty large step back for her this time. She has controlled that landing better in the past.

Scaman – OU – VT – Excellent yfull in the air – she finishes it so early and flairs – hop, so not quite the vault rotation from Oklahoma as at regionals. They haven’t had the landings in most of these vaults, but still should be a good score for Scaman.

Beilstein – Mich – FX – Powerful tuck full mount, small bounce back – 1.5 to layout is well done – good form and very controlled – only the small bounce on the first pass in terms of errors – strong routine.

Brown – UGA – BB – Clean and secure loso series, nice switch but a wobble on her straddle 1/4, BIG break on her split 1/2 – bends at the waist and just barely stays on – they’ll want to drop this if possible – very short on 1.5 dismount with multiple steps back.

Vaculik – Stan – UB – great first hs. That. Gienger. Legs together throughout, great bail, just the dismount – sticks her DLO – exceptional routine. They’ll be able to get rid of the fall from Rice and put up a big bars score. Well done.

It’s a 49.325 for Oklahoma on vault, which is on par with what the other teams have been getting. A combination for them of both somewhat tighter scoring and not getting the landings as well as they can.

Cheek – UGA – BB – beautiful loso series to start, best switch side in NCAA -hits her side aerial – good switch to straddle 1/4 – sticks her gainer full. She was NOT going to wobble in that routine.

Sampson – Mich – FX – Excellent DLO – nails her middle pass as well – they’re getting a good score so far, but she can make it a great score. No issues at all going into her dismount – excellent double pike. That should be a huge score, on par with what Kanewa and Scaman showed.

Earls – UGA – BB – This routine will decide their semifinal day with the low score from Brown already – nails her two layouts series – switch to straddle 1/4 is nice – side aerial to side position is nice – smallest of checks perhaps – just the dismount – a little down in the chest with a step forward, but they got through beam.

Martin – Denver – BB – secure on her switch to straddle 1/4, hits her loso series but the knees were mushy which will hurt her score – hits side somi – hop forward on 1.5. Nice on the acro but she’ll get knocked for the form at times.

Georgia’s hit beam rotation puts them back into a fairly comfortable position going to floor. They have a .500 lead on Stanford, so as long as they hit, they’re safe.

Harrison – Kentucky – BB – wolf and straddle 3/4 – nice layout (2 foot) series – very secure and she gets relatively good amplitude on that skill – finishes with a 1.5 with a hop forward. Solid.

After 4: OKLAHOMA 148.250, GEORGIA 147.850, STANFORD 147.350, MICHIGAN 147.125, LSU 98.700, ILLINOIS 97.525.

Our top three seeds still look safe here with two rotations to go. Michigan put up a strong floor rotation to keep them in sight of the other teams there, but after the fall on beam, they would need help. The biggest routines in that rotation were the hit beams from Cheek and Earls, coming back after regionals and after the mistakes from Brown to keep Georgia in a safe position going to floor where they don’t need to be great, they just need to hit for over 49.

In rotation 5 we have Michigan on vault, who can pass Stanford with the vault score they are capable of, LSU on bars looking to continue the 49.3 parade and keep pace with their favorite brethren, Stanford on beam with a chance to try to put some pressure on Georgia with one of their patented beams, and Illinois on floor to continue also being present at the meet.

In the AA race, both Sampson and Courville have a 9.850 right now, which puts them in some danger from the second session. Sampson did get the 9.950 on floor, and Courville will need one or two of those coming up.

The way vault has been going, it looks like 9.900 can make finals – and we’ll have 17 million qualifiers again, ugh.

Rotation 5:

Sugiyama – Mich – VT – Excellent 1.5! Great form – right on line – stuck landing. Near perfect there. Let’s see how the judges feel about this vault in the first position.

Artz – Mich – VT – Pretty strong yfull – landing pretty far down in the chest with a small step, but pretty good form and control.

Wyrick – LSU – UB – Nice tkatchev but may have been a bit late on the full before it, clean bail hs, small hop on DLO dismount, a couple breaks but a fine routine.

Zakharia – Mich – VT -Very strong handspring pike half, small hop, but good body position on landing for a handspring pike vault.

Jordan – LSU – UB – Good first has, small pause and break during her turn – excellent jaeger and bail though – great legs together in this routine – hop on DLO – they’ll take for the break on the turn, but another fine routine.

Sampson – Mich – VT – Her yfull looked great in the air – excellent power, but she took a pretty big bounce back on the landing, which will keep her down.

Beilstein – Mich – VT – great distance on her 1.5 but a pretty noticeable step forward and some bent knees in the air. She’ll be disappointed in that landing. Didn’t get those sticks in the last two spots.

Courville – LSU – UB – Huge jaeger, nice following hs, clean bail it appeared – and a stick on the tuck full dismount. Great routine, that will be a big score and probably give her an edge on Sampson in the AA now.

Michigan’s day is done. They finish with a 196.425.

Vaculik – Stan – BB – Great switch to back tuck. Beautiful rulfova – I mean terrifying, but beautiful – hits her loso series, good dance element combo – she’s hitting very well now. Sticks her double full. Great routine. That can make it back to finals.

Morrison – LSU – UB – Strong piked jaeger, handstands look solid – clean bail – and just hangs onto the stick on her stuck full – leaned and bent for it but she held on.

Buchanan – Ill – FX – Pretty double pike – good height, form, and control. Very well done – hits her switch 1/4 and straddle – 1.5 to layout middle pass is nice. Secure double tuck – a little forward but stuck. Strong routine. 

Daum – Stan – BB – Switch to back tuck is fine. Nice extension on the loso series – a little tentative on the full turn but fine – hits her switch to wolf. A little hesitation on the walkover landing, but nothing problematic here – 1.5 dismount with a hop forward. Good beam rotation. They will move ahead of Michigan with that. Actually they didn’t even need it. The scores have been a little late coming up today.

Asturias – Cal – BB – Pretty full turn, strong loso series with good toe point – a little leg correction on her front aerial landing, pulls back her straddle 1/4 onto the beam a little – front 1.5 dismount – low chest but stuck. Solid.

Mable – Minn – FX – Beautiful double pike in the air but a small bounce on it, exceptional dance elements – so easy and well over 180 – punch ridu to straddle to front tuck is great – 1.5 to layout is hit. Good routine but the beginning will keep her out of EF. 

Stanford finishes with 196.600

McMillian – OSU – BB – just the end with a stuck gainer full.

After 5: STANFORD 196.600, MICHIGAN 196.425, OKLAHOMA 148.250, LSU 147.925, GEORGIA 147.850, ILLINOIS 146.725

Georgia needs a 48.775 on floor to advance, LSU needs a 48.700 on beam, and Oklahoma needs a 48.350 on bars.

Michigan had a pretty good meet for three events. If they had just hit beam, they would be putting a HUGE amount of pressure on Georgia’s floor rotation right now. Stanford did well to come back with strong rotations on bars and beam, but the low scores from vault and floor were pretty insurmountable, but it just means that Georgia and LSU need to hit their rotations, and Oklahoma doesn’t even need to. 

Sampson finishes with a 39.550 in the AA, so Courville needs a 9.900 to tie and a 9.925 to move ahead.

In the events, we have a bunch of 9.900s on vault, Cheek and Vaculik lead bars with 9.925, another bunch of 9.900s on beam, and three 9.950s on floor – can Georgia get one more to knock out Albright and Savona from finals?

No bars final for Sarie Morrison or Chelsea Davis.

Rotation 6:
Hall – LSU – BB – good switch side – she has improved her amplitude on that skill over the last year – small correction on her loso series with some legs on her bhs – switch to straddle 1/4 – step forward on double tuck. 1 down, 4 hits to go.

Dickson – LSU – BB – hits her front handspring – clean full turn – switch to straddle 1/4 – wobble with the leg flying up on her loso series – small hop on gainer pike dismount. Another hit.

Broussard – UGA – FX – Does her DLO but the second salto was very piked – good security on the landing this time, though, so won’t get a huge deduction. Toi Garcia keeps calling the middle passes “double salto” passes, which is very misleading. Very low chest on double pike, but it’s a hit.

Ewing – LSU – BB – Layout (2 foot) series is solid – as is the switch side – standing loso to straddle 1/4 is hit as well – this is one of her more solid routines, and sticks the 1.5. Great routine for her.

Scaman – OU – UB – Great high piked jaeger, solid bail handstand – hitting her handstands, and just a hop back on the tuck full dismount, still should be a solid score.

Gnat – LSU – BB – Wobble on the aerial walkover – leg goes up, very pretty switch leap to straddle 1/4 – and a nice switch side as well – the dance elements are her forte – hits her loso series – very small hop in her double full. They are nailing this rotation and are one hit away from Super Six.

Spears – OU – UB – Lovely jaeger with great height, some bent elbows on that bail handtand but nice legs, and sticks her double arabian dismount. Great routine. See you tomorrow, Oklahoma.

Courville – LSU – BB – Opens with her L turn, just a small hop forward on her arabian but keeps in on the beam with minimal deduction. Nice loso series, strong sheep jump. Guess how her splits were? Oh, beautiful. Clean walkover to sissone and sticks the gainer pike. Let’s see how her score compares with Sampson.

It’s a 197.500 final for Oklahoma.

Earls – UGA – FX – Front 1.5 to back handspring loso mount – strong double pike, good control – Georgia is hitting well in this rotation and is one pass away from returning to Super Six – a little low on her double tuck but well hit.

It’s a 9.875 for Courville, she’s in just behind Sampson. And no beam finals for her. Ugh,

Jordan – LSU – BB – Huge break on her opening walkover – the leg goes way up and she really has to fight to save it. Nice loso series and dance elements to follow, though. Strong side somi, step back on 1.5 dismount.

So Ewing is the only LSU gymnast going to event finals for beam. Who had that one?

Jay – UGA – FX – Nice tuck full mount – that has improved significantly, hits her front full to layout, hops out of her double pike but a solid job. Georgia will finish ahead of LSU here. Interesting.

And there we have it. Oklahoma, Georgia, and LSU will advance from the first semifinal.

We’ll finish with Martin from Denver on floor, sticks a cowboyed double arabian – good stick on a difficult skill to land with control – 1.5 to half to split to front tuck is very well done. Strong double back dismount, that should be a pretty good score.

First semifinal results:
1. Oklahoma 197.500
2. Georgia 197.300
3. LSU 197.100
4. Stanford 196.600
5. Michigan 196.425
6. Illinois 195.800

Michigan fans look away now: Michigan would have knocked out LSU if they had scored just a 49.050 on beam. That will sting for a long time.

We’re getting some “Hollie Vise shots” of the Michigan team now.

AA standings:
1. Sampson 39.550
2. Courville 39.525
3. Artz 39.375
4. Gardiner 39.225
4. Jordan 39.225
4. Vaculik 39.225

The gymnasts in the second session will feel that AA mark is very attainable. I would bet we haven’t seen our champion compete yet.

Event Final Qualifiers:
VAULT – Brandie Jay (Georgia), Lindsay Mable (Minnesota), Lindsey Cheek (Georgia), Ashleigh Gnat (LSU), Rheagan Courville (LSU), Sachi Sugiyama (Michigan), Maile Kanewa (Oklahoma), Haley Scaman (Oklahoma)

BARS – Lindsey Cheek (Georgia), Kristina Vaculik (Stanford), Rheagan Courville (LSU), Joanna Sampson (Michigan), Taylor Spears (Oklahoma), Shona Morgan (Stanford), Sami Shapiro (Stanford)

BEAM – Taylor Spears (Oklahoma), Hanna Nordquist (Minnesota), Maddie Gardiner (Oregon State), Mary Beth Box (Georgia), Lindsey Cheek (Georgia), Sydney Ewing (LSU), Chayse Capps (Oklahoma), Kritsina Vaculik (Stanford)

FLOOR – Joanna Sampson (Michigan), Maile Kanewa (Oklahoma), Haley Scaman (Oklahoma), Brandie Jay (Georgia), Jessica Savona (LSU), Lara Albright (Oklahoma)

So. Many. Qualifiers. From one semifinal. Sunday will be a long day. Lindsey Cheek makes three event finals, and a ton of people make two. Some significant upsets there, but none bigger than Hall out of floor, followed by Courville out of beam and Davis out of bars. 

See you for the second session!

——————————————————————-

We’re about an hour away from the second semifinal now, but the lineups are out. Far fewer changes than we saw during the first semifinal, but a big one for UCLA is De Jesus being out of the beam lineup. She has been wearing a boot in team photos this week. That means Ellette Craddock and Syd Sawa will both be competing beam in this meet. If they hit that rotation, it will be a championships miracle. UCLA is on beam first, so we’ll know where we are in this session very early.

The other change is Penn State bringing on Musto for Musgrove on floor. Injury? Typo?

In the first rotation, we’ll have Florida on vault, Utah on bars, UCLA on beam, and Nebraska on floor, so it’s another loaded opening rotation. Watch for that 49.400 pace once again before things get thrown out the window by beam falls. Florida should be looking to go above 49.400 on vault, and Nebraska will probably be fine with a 49.300 on floor, but otherwise 49.400 is the goal. Of course, five hit routines is really the goal for UCLA right now on beam – anything else would be bonus.

We’re just a few minutes away now. I had expected that the first semifinal would be the more competitive one, which turned out to be . . . not. Thanks Michigan’s beam. So let’s see if this second one can provide us with some team drama.

Those shirtless Florida gentlemen look cold.

Rotation 1:
Here we go, people.

B Caquatto – UF – VT – OK yfull – but looked like she landed a little short and hopped forward/to the side. Not her best. Solid in the air, though. 

M Caquatto – UF – VT – Better than her sister, landed higher – good power but did have a hop back. Solid.

Wilson – Utah – UB – Hecht mount, solid first hs, Big gienger and the leg break wasn’t too bad – hitting her handstands – hop forward on tuck full dismount. Pretty good for her.

Johnson – UF – VT – Good height on her yfull – once again a hop back, though. They’re not sticking or coming that close to sticking. Legs apart as well, which is very evident from this angle.

Sloan – UF – VT – There’s the stick. Great form throughout her yfull and a stuck landing. Excellent.

UCLA already has a 9.600 on beam. Here we go. 

Hunter – UF – VT – Strong 1.5 but a hop forward this time. Let’s see how the vault scores go as to whether this will get back to finals. It was a fine vault showing for Florida, but I think we’re going a little higher than for the first session comparatively in the scores. 9.875. She’s already third. UH OH.

Gunzelman – Rutgers – VT – Fine yfull – tough going after Florida because she had so much less power and amplitude than they do – step to the side.

Damianova – Utah – UB – Solid shaposh to a clean bail handstand, nice stalder, and sticks her double back. Clean, efficient routine. They’re trying to drop a fall from Hansen, and this will help. 

Dabritz – Utah – UB -Strong jaeger with flexed feet, clean bail handstand, looking strong so far – small hop back on the salute for the tuck full. Solid, though. Might be the first to hit 9.900 for the team.

Francis – UCLA – BB – Gorgeous walkover to bhs, good switch to split, strong y spin, Everything looks good so far, anf just the dismount now. Ooooh, she paused a little bit in connecting the side aerial to the full. It was a very small pause so I hope they give her the connection, but it’s close.

Grable – Ark – UB – Piked jaeger was amazing as always, but she was short on that bail handstand – doubel front half out dismount and it’s a perfect stick. Excellent start for her AA hopes, just the bail was the only issue.

Apparently De Jesus did compete beam after all for UCLA. #UCLAlineups. But she got a 9.675 which will be counting.

Peszek – UCLA – BB – Strong walkover to back – well done – Good switch – big wobble on her straddle jump. Big wobble from Peszek??? What??? They needed a 10 from her in this routine basically, so that’s really rough. Peszek bouncy stick on her dismount, but they needed a big routien from her. They won’t count a fall, but they’re in trouble now.

Wong – Neb – FX – Glorious triple full as always – good split full to popa – hits the front full to layout – Nebraska is solidly in this 9.8s for this rotation – small bounce on the rudi, but this could be their first 9.9.

UCLA escaped that beam rotation somehow with a 49.075, but that puts them in position of already hoping someone else counts a fall. This is where they could pull out a big score. Francis and Peszek not making it back to beam finals? Quite possible.

Wellick – Ark – FX – Bounces a little on her high double pike, front layout front full second pass is fine, she’s looking more solid than at regionals, hits her double back.

After 1: FLORIDA 49.375, NEBRASKA 49.350, UTAH 49.275, UCLA 49.075

Nebraska was the story of that rotation. We only saw one routine, the very strong showing from Wong to begin her AA quest, but that 49.350 is a huge boost now going to their best event, the vault. Florida looked fine on vault but didn’t stick as much as I would have liked. They’ll take that score, though. Utah had about the 9.850 rotation we would expect from this lineup on bars – and UCLA barely escaped beam – counting a 9.6 and under-performing routines from Francis and Peszek where they needed 9.950s, but they went over 49, so they’re still in contention to take advantage of some mistakes if they happen. Ellette Craddock got their highest beam score.

Watch out for Nebraska.

 On to rotation 2, we’ll see Nebraska move to vault, Alabama will enter on bars, Utah moves to the dreaded beam, and Penn State starts on floor.

Rotation 2:

Bailey – Ala – UB – Strong straddled jaeger – hits her bail – and into a stuck double back – fine solid 9.8y start to that rotation. 9.900. Guess where we are? 

DeMeo – Ala – UB – Ugh half turn to start a routine – solid straddle jaeger – Toi tells us she was short on her bail handstand – hop together on the DLO. Celebrating like she just won the lottery.

Wong – Neb – VT – Very clean yfull in the air, small hop back – solid, though. She’s still in this AA fight.  Hmm, 9.825

Blanske – Neb – VT – Great power on the yfull – looked like she was going to stick but takes a step back. Good chest position on landing though – everything was nice except the step.

Jacob – Ala – UB – Nice tkatchev – hits her bail – handstands look a little better but it’s a tough angle. Sticks her DLO. Solid routine. It will get a 20.

Wellick gives us a solid yfull with a hop back.

Jetter – Ala – UB – Another solid tkatchev – clean bail handstand – pretty big hop forward on the double front dismount. Just OK on that one, but they don’t need the score.

Utah is already counting a 9.650 on beam. Raise your hand if you’re surprised. Is it Dan Kendig’s birthday because he keeps getting all these gifts?

Lofgren – Utah – BB – Hits her side somi – fine walkover to bhs – good leap series – does the gainer double full but has a pretty big hop back out of it. A hit but places to take.

Clark – Ala – UB – Leg breaks on both her shaposh and her bail – she’s been strong on those – misses her final handstand, and two steps on the dismount. Not her best, lots to take there.

Nebraska got 49.200 on vault, which is lower than I would have expected. Penn State’s 9.825s on floor are looking pretty good about now.

Delaney – Utah – BB – very nice loso series, clean – big big wobble on her straddle jump to tuck full jump – bends at the waist and has to swim to save it – gainer loso is fine – they’ll have to count this score – sticks her gainer full. 9.800 is a huge overscore for that mistake.

Alabama finishes with a 49.375 on bars. It looked like it was going much higher, but a few errors there toward the end prevents them from taking an advantage.

Lothrop – Utah – BB – split 3/4 to start – some leg form going into her bhs loso series but secure – they’ll take for some lack of amplitude here, but she’s secure – not really wobbling on the skills – 1.5 dismount with a step. OK.

Grable – Ark – BB – We always need a shot of Rene’s outfit at every meet. Thank you. It’s positively conservative this time. Excellent walkover but a wobble on her loso – leg flies up. No…… Boo. Small hesitation on her front toss to straddle jump. She gave away too much there.

Welsh – PSU – FX – starts with a double arabian – pretty big lunge out of it – not necessarily controlled – front tuck to 2.5 – controlled landing but crossed legs on the skill – split jumps look fine – hits double pike. Solid.

Sloanhoffer – WVU – FX – really strong double pike – nice height and control – this is very clean routine – strong dance elements with hit positions not giving away anything on landings either – a little facing down on her rudi dismount, but good rotuine. 

After 2: NEBRASKA 98.550, UTAH 98.250, ALABAMA 49.375, FLORIDA 49.375, PENN STATE 49.175, UCLA 49.075

I expected Nebraska to be a fair bit stronger than a 49.200 on vault, so they give back some of the advantage won on floor. I also thought Wong’s vault was worth more than a 9.825 compared to what we’ve seen so far. It’s a solid total for Nebraska, but they’ll still be in danger going to beam.

Utah should be happy to escape that beam rotation with something close to a 49 because it was very, very rough in the routines that we saw. They’ve opened the door back up for UCLA, but Utah still has its best events to come.

In the third rotatiom, we’ll welcome back in UCLA on floor, who will need another regionals 49.500 to make up for that beam rotation, and Florida will go to bars in a comfortable place that can become more comfortable. Alabama to beam needing five hits to stay in non-problematic territory as well, and Penn State will move to vault, kind of in this at this point, but they’re getting their good events out of the way first.

If one more team sucks on beam, I say just retroactively qualify Stanford from the first semifinal.

Rotation 3:
Milliner – Ala – BB – Nice aerial walkover – clean and hit – switch to straddle jump – strong loso series, good full turn – perfectly secure front toss. Step back on double full, but a comfortable leadoff. If Delaney got a 9.800, by definition of the code, this should be a 10.300.

B Caquatto – UF – UB – Good first handstand to excellent ray – hits her bail handstand right on top – strong final handstand – legs apart on the DLO landing but a stick. Good routine, should score well.  

Hunter – UF – UB – Excellent hindorff, hits her bail handstand – looking nice so far -small step on the double tuck dismount – just doing the double tuck today, but a fine routine – not as strong as the ones to come.

Sloan – UF – UB – Another great ray – just with she would extend those feet – a little wonky on the bail – caught a little sideways but fine – sticks a great DLO. Very strong routine.

DeMeo – Ala – BB – wobble on the front aerial, strong layout – 2 foot – very secure, good switch to split jump – hop forward on the double pike dismount. OK. 9.900?

Sims – Ala – BB – big wobble on her walkover with the leg going up – hangs onto her loso series with a small correction – pretty leaps – great switch side – finishes landing very short on her double back with a large lunge. They’ll want to drop that and can afford to. 9.700. So are we not deducting for mistakes so much anymore?

Peszek – UCLA – FX – Very strong DLO – good landing position and control – front full to layout is solid – finishes with her double pike – small slide back but shouldn’t be too problematic. Confident, powerful. Solid.

Gunzelman on bars just showed us and shush and a very pretty pak salto, sticks her full twisting double back. Love to see it.

Courtney – UCLA – FX – Pretty good control on her double arabian – not one of her lungey ones but a little slide forward so room to deduct – nice 1.5 to layout good control that time – and a nice split in the dance elements to follow – big bounce back on her double tuck – that will bring her score down. 

Jacob – Ala – BB – switch to popa is very nice – and very secure on her two layouts series – great barani as (almost) always – hop forward on the 1.5. Great landing. Yes, to those who have commented about it. Toi Garcia doesn’t know what a stick is.

Sawa – UCLA – FX – Excellent double tuck mount – sticks her double pike as well – 1.5 to half to stag is under control as well. One of her better floor routines of the season, the best control in the tumbling so far, so that should get a solid score.

Brown – Iowa State – BB – wobbles on her split jump full – interesting front aerial to front full dismount – the legs are a little all over the place, but I like the idea of it.

Case – KSU – FX – starts with a front double full and has to lunge out of it a little, but I like they way she moves on the full – a little bouncy on these landings, though, so there’s room to deduct. Strong rudi. Stuck to finish.

Heinz – CM – BB – had a  wobble early, but a strong front toss – big lunge forward on double back dismount. And she is followed by Perkins of Bosie State on floor who gives us a nice full in mount. Thank you for your contribution, Ciera. Solid front layout to front full – sticks the double tuck. Very strong routine.

After 3: FLORIDA 98.925, ALABAMA 98.725, NEBRASKA 98.550, UCLA 98.475, UTAH 98.250, PENN STATE 98.100

Florida’s excellent bars and Alabama’s hit beam have opened up a lead over the rest, but things are tightening up lower in the rankings. UCLA hit a solid floor rotation, but they probably were looking for a tenth more than that. 49.400 for floor would have been fine if they had hit beam better, but for now, they’re in trouble. Especially because they will head to vault, which has been a problem all year.

Nebraska will go to bars now with a chance to open up this meager lead they have, and Utah will go to floor trying to pick up a couple tenths, which they can definitely do if the lesson is that as long as you don’t lunge on your passes, you get a 9.900, which was the lesson in the first session. 

Florida is also heading to beam with some redemption in mind, but they have enough of a lead right now to afford just being regular here.

This session is making me cranky for some reason. Should I be this cranky?

Rotation 4:
Pinches – UCLA – VT – yfull – looked like a bit better landing position than we have seen sometimes, but a big step back, so it won’t be a huge score.

Mossett – UCLA – VT – Nice height on her yfull – in line with the table which had been a thing sometimes – a little chest downy – step back. OK.

Del Priore – Utah – FX – Solid tuck full in – that’s good to see since she occasionally has trouble with it – 1.5 to layout middle pass – a little low on her double back but stuck it. Solid routine. Better than last postseason.

Johnson – Florida – BB – pretty walkover to bhs series, nice switch leap as well – side aerial into a stuck full. She has become more secure than she used to be on this event – at least most confident. Well executed routine.

Peszek – UCLA – VT – Nice yfull – but she does have a hop back. They’re just not quite there today. Even Peszek is just OK today. And UCLA is already counting some lower vault scores.

Some 9.7s for Nebraska so far on bars, but Wong can help.

Wong – Ben – UB – Looked a little late on her full turn to a very high gienger, but there was a leg break there – strong tuck full but a couple areas in that routine.

Sloan – Florida – BB -Big wobble on her loso series, bend at the waist. Oh bridget, what has happened to you???? And now she wobbles again and falls. Wow. She’s out of the AA. Crazy. And now the big pressure on the Macko and Kytra routines to avoid last week. This is a mess. Lots of mistakes. Sticks her double full. 9.200 is actually a huge overscore for the mistakes in that routine, but the scores always get crazy after falls – it’s like they stop paying attention and then just make things up.

Tutka – Utah – FX – Another full in mount and another solid landing, strong rudi to split jump, and a very strong double tuck to finish. Utah is taking advantage in this floor rotation, and looking very confident and solid.

Huge floor routine for Kytra right now.

Hunter – Florida – BB – Solid loso series – without the mount now, that’s the biggest risk in her routine and she got through it comfortably – strong switch side – solid double back. They got rid of the Sloan mistake, but that’s significant in the AA.

Damianova – Utah – FX – looking clean as always, and sticks her final double pike – that should be another solid score. It was a low score for Dabritz, interestingly, but we didn’t see it.

Gunzelman – Rutgers – BB – small wobble on the front toss – but she comes off on her loso series.

Grable – FX – Ark – Double arabian half out, and it’s just the best thing ever – nice splits obviously – this choreography isn’t anything special but it doesn’t matter because of the way she performs it – Strong and controlled double pike dismount. Great routine.

Moraw on beam is our last routine, wobble on the aerial with the leg going up. And sticks her gainer full.

After 4: FLORIDA 148.225, UCLA 147.750, UTAH 147.725, NEBRASKA 147.650, ALABAMA 98.725, PENN STATE 98.100

Things remain solid for Florida and Nebraska. UCLA, Utah, and Nebraska are right together, but edge to Utah going to vault if they can stick some of those final three vaults. UCLA is on a bye now, so they’ll know what they need on bars, but they needed a bit bigger lead at this point if they were to make it. Nebraska is trying to get through beam staying close. It has been a struggle to get big scores there, but they have some routines with solid potential.

Katherine Grable’s warmup vault should make Super Six.

Rotation 5:

Tutka – Utah – VT – solid yfull but a pretty large step back – getting the sticks will be key for Utah here. A little piking as well.

Witt – PSU – UB – Solid piked jaeger, very short handstand before the dismount and a step back on the DLO.

Lofgren – Utah – VT – Another yfull with another hop back. Tutka was stronger in the amplitude, but not a bad vault.

Blanske – Neb – BB – hits her loso series but had very bent knees – front tuck is fine – a little low but fine – sticks her double full – so a few areas of form but not bad in the wobble department.

Delaney – Utah – VT – Now it’s getting real for Utah – Excellent yfull in the air as always, but she did not manage a stick either, hop back, should still be a good score. 

Wilson – Utah – VT – Yet again, carbon copy for Delaney – Great vault in the height but she doesn’t stick either. That looked like a larger hop than Delaney’s, but we’ll see in the score.

Dabritz – Utah – VT – They need a Dabritz stick about now – and that’s what they got. If they get through, they should thank that vault for helping this rotation graduate to sticks. Best vault of the rotation.

Welsh is going on bars, but SHOW US GRABLE.Vault – Amazing y half on pike half – I must admit that she did take a small step to the side, but that should be an excellent score.

It’s just a 49.300 for Utah on vault. That’s beatable. Nebraska is getting huge beam scores right now, so watch out.

Beers – Ala – FX – great DLO to start, solid front layout to front full. Comfortable doubel tuck to finish, They;ll have a 9.7 from DeMeo to drop but are looking strong and comfortable to make it.

DeZiel – Neb – BB -small hesitation after her front aerial – fine layout step series but just looking ever so slightly nervous and tight in some of these skills. Secure front toss – sticks her 2.5 dismount, and they are giving big scores to sticks today. Wong will have a chance to move them into great position.

Grable has a 39.600 in the AA and is the current leader!

Jacob – Ala – FX – Great stick on the pike full in – clean and secure double pike. she’s nailing this routine. You guys, Kim Jacob might be the national AA champion. Just look out for that. Correction: it’s a 9.950. Misleading commentator lady. Fist shaking.

Wong – Neb – BB – Nice two layouts series during the uproar. Switch side is OK, Just needs a hit to move ahead of Utah, and she gets it. Great landing.

Milliner – Ala – FX – A little bouncy slide on her double pike to finish.  

It’s a 9.900 for Wong, so she won’t win the AA, but Nebraska moves ahead of Utah with a 197.100 to Utah’s 197.025. That’s what happens when you don’t stick landings on your strength.

Kim Jacob just needs a 9.825 on vault to move ahead of Grable. I’m never previewing the AA again.

After 5: NEBRASKA 197.100, UTAH 197.025, ALABAMA 148.300, FLORIDA 148.225, UCLA 147.750, PENN STATE 146.750

Florida and Alabama will be in cruise control going to floor and vault respectively. The final rotation will be all about UCLA on bars. They need a 49.375 on bars, which I think is going to be too much for them given what we have seen lately on bars, but if they can sneak out a hit somehow and the scores continue to build to the end of the meet, you never know. Val will need to use her Val voodoo right about now.

I don’t think I can handle this final rotation. It’s just too much.

Rotation 6:
We’re starting with Penn State on beam. NOT RELEVANT.

Welsh – PSU – BB – bent knees on her loso but hit it, strong front toss, and sticks a gainer full – fine routine.

Bailey – Ala – VT – Sticks her yhalf – best for her I’ve seen this year – good form, bends a little to hang onto the stick.

Just a 9.800 for Francis leading off for UCLA. The opposite of what they needed.

DeMeo – Ala – VT – Nice form on her yfull – hop back. OK.

Mossett – UCLA – UB – Bruins basically need straight 9.9s now, so . . . Nice salder shoot – very nice high jaeger – hits her pak well this time – they GOT RID OF THE STALDER. Why didn’t you do that a thousand years ago? Late on the full turn and a large lunge on the dismount.

Beers – Ala – VT – Nice form on the yfull but doesn’t stick this time – step back.

Milliner – Ala – VT – Falls on her 1.5. WHAT? That’s like Zam falling last year.

Courtney – UCLA – UB – Nice shaposh, strong bail hs, she needed a stick there but hops to the side on her dismount. Congratulations Nebraska. Nice upset and great for the team.

De Jesus – UCLA UB – Nice opening handstand – some leg breaks on her gienger and her bail again – huge hop forward on her dismount. UCLA looking sluggish in a rotation where they needed to be amazing.

Sloan – Florida – FX – Sticks her front double full, leaps look solid. Pretty low on her double pike with a hop to the side. She’s having a rough day on the final two events. Strong finish, but weird day for her. She’ll need to come back tomorrow.  

Peszek with the last routine for UCLA – great full turn and amazing gienger – arches a handstand in there – sticks her DLO. Good finish, and UCLA will end up just, just short. Heartbreaking for them, but that’s what happens when you count a 9.6 on beam. Nebraska showed up on beam and UCLA didn’t.

Jacob moves ahead of Grable by .025 in the AA. I CANNOT.

Hunter – Florida – FX – Great DLO obviously, huge and nailed, excellent second pass as well. She’s nailing thsi routine, oooh short landing on her open double back. Let’s watch the score for that and the scores for event finals.

UCLA finishes with a 197, so close for them and Utah, but you can’t have such weak landing on multiple events and 

Ending with B Caquatto on floor – hits her mount well this time, rudi to split is solid as well, but this is just a bonus routine for Florida right now, ensuring that they finish ahead of Alabama – if she gets a 9.875. She shouldn’t. Very deep on the double pike dismount with a lunge forward. Not great landings in this Florida floor rotation, but the scores have been rising.

Here we are: FLORIDA 197.650, ALABAMA 197.650, NEBRASKA 197.100, UTAH 197.025, UCLA 197.000, PENN STATE 194.825

UCLA and Utah must be devastated right now. No Pac 12 teams in Super Six. Which is not all that surprising, but I’m impressed by the way Nebraska showed up on beam after being very 49.000 all year. It was about not giving away huge wobbles, and they did that.

That was exhausting. I might be dying. Thrilled for Nebraska pulling off that huge upset, though. I’m sure there will be some outrage, but honestly Utah and UCLA had too many sloppy moments to be too outraged.

I’m a little outraged that Kim Jacob won the AA just because I did not see that coming at all. Given the quality of the routines we saw, I would have given it to Grable. I had Jacob’s bars lower than 9.925. She got a stick bonus there. It also took a much lower score than I would have expected to win the title, which helped Jacob stay in it.

AA STANDINGS:
1. Jacob 39.625
2. Grable 39.600
2. Johnson 39.600
4. Peszek 39.575
5. Sampson 39.550
6. Courville 39.525
6. Wong 39.525

Event qualifiers:
VAULT – Grable (Arkansas), Courtney (UCLA), Sloan (Florida), Dabritz (Utah) – just 4! I’m shocked. That will be downright manageable.
BARS – Sloan (Florida), Jacob (Alabama), M Caquatto (Florida), Johnson (Florida), Peszek (UCLA)
BEAM – Jacob (Alabama), DeMeo (Alabama), Johnson (Florida), M Caquatto (Florida), Blanske (Nebraska), Schleppenbach (Nebraska), DeZiel (Nebraska), Wong (Nebraska). Statement: No Francis = No point. That is going to be one long-ass beam final.
FLOOR – Grable (Arkansas), Jacob (Alabama), Wong (Nebraska), Beers (Alabama), Milliner (Alabama), Tutka (Utah), Damianova (Utah)

Alright, that’s all folks. We’ll get into it tomorrow for Super Six, but it should be a close one. I didn’t get the impression that anyone of Alabama, Florida, or Oklahoma are out in front of the others.

 

Wake Up, It’s Nationals Tomorrow

-A few bits and pieces first. The late (aka, regular) NLI signing period started yesterday, so be on the lookout for some commitment news over the next week or so. Already, we’ve heard that Natalie Vaculik is heading to Georgia for 2014-2015. There was some discussion about her trying for the Olympics, but she’s going now instead. She’ll take the scholarship spot that was to be Brianna Brown’s before she switched to Michigan. Georgia’s bars strength has a dominant road in front of it for the long term – Natalie has her sister’s gienger.

-As mentioned yesterday, Emily Wong won the AAI Award this season. That was a tough field. So many gems.

-Also, apropos of nothing, this why I enjoy Rhonda Faehn:

“I wasn’t nervous, I was just panicked about having my pants.”

But now here we are. The National Semifinals are tomorrow. These two semifinals will decide the six teams that advance to super six, the minimum-eight-maximum-a-trillion people advancing to event finals, and the national all-around champion. Both semifinal sessions will be streamed live here. (NOTE that the times listed are Central, even though it says Eastern. The sessions are at 1:00 CT and 7:00 CT.)

The rotation schedule.

If you haven’t checked out the previews, here they are:
Georgia, Michigan, Stanford, and Illinois
Utah, UCLA, Nebraska, and Penn State
Florida, Oklahoma, LSU, Alabama
Individuals

Elizabeth Grimsley reports that Brittany Rogers trained only bars for Georgia today and that Ashlyn Broussard was in on floor. Watch that Georgia beam. 

If you’re looking for team scoresheets for each semifinal (regional scores included):
Semifinal #1
Semifinal #2

Nationals Preview Part 4: Individual Times

Now that we’ve dispensed with the teams, let’s take some time to enjoy the best individuals NCAA has to offer. The all-around competition doesn’t get as much attention at nationals because the AA title is decided on Friday when the main focus is team qualification, but it’s still always one of the most exciting parts of the event and worth at least several paragraphs of discussion.

I’ll keep things limited to the all-around because trying to preview or predict event finals is a fool’s errand. Semifinal days always has at least 65 upsets of event favorites who take a step on their dismounts and receive 9.900s when they needed 9.925s to make the top four from their session. I could wax on about Kytra Hunter and Lloimincia Hall on floor all I wanted, and then neither would make floor finals (see: last season). Especially after all the notoriety Hall’s routine has received since regionals, you know she’s not making floor finals. That’s the way the world works. And then everyone will be all deflated and complain-y, which is appropriate for Nationals Hangover Day. Really, the only thing I’m hoping on the individual events is that four people in each semifinal score a 9.925+ on vault so that we’re not stuck with 13 people all tied at 9.900 in fourth place and all qualifying to an endless slog of a vault final with 16 million Yfulls.

For the AA crown, we have a number of possible contenders who have led their teams in the all-around this season, but when we start to consider what it will take to win (and given the scoring this season, a 39.700 to win the title is a realistic possibility) that field narrows dramatically. Let’s break down who’s still in it.

Bridget Sloan – Florida

RQS: 39.720
High: 39.825

The defending champion and #1 all-arounder in the country must be considered the favorite to win the title once again. She is among the only gymnasts who has not only proven capable of getting a 9.950 on every event but who does it regularly, made more impressive by the fact that she doesn’t anchor any lineups. We expect 9.950s from her on all the events, and anything less than a 9.900 for any routine she performs is an off day. If she recovers from her mental safari on beam at regionals, she’ll be tough to beat.

Rheagan Courville – LSU

RQS: 39.620
High: 39.750

Courville is kind of the Prince Harry of the SEC all-around royal family. I don’t mean that she’s playing strip billiards in Las Vegas (but if she is, you know, have fun). I mean that she’s the second heir to the throne, the one who would be queen if not for Bridget Sloan. She has the skill set to get the same scores as Sloan, and should be expected to get 9.950s on vault and floor, but bars occasionally drops down to 9.850, so watch that. Also, watch the arabian since one wobble on a skill like that will be enough to take anyone out of it.

Katherine Grable – Arkansas

RQS: 39.610
High: 39.725

Our Lady of Perpetual Grable is among the fan favorites for the AA title, with her originality on both vault (handspring pike half) and floor (double arabian half out), tight form, sparky gymnastics, and general excellence. She’s another who should be scoring a 9.950 on vault and floor, but she may fall an inch back because of bars, which has some occasional handstanditis to bring it down into the 9.8s. The biggest challenge for Grable, however, will be competing without her team. It’s a completely different environment that she has never experienced as an NCAA gymnast, and that’s just enough of an obstacle to consider her not quite as likely to win as her SEC comrades in spite of her equal talent level.

Emily Wong – Nebraska

RQS: 39.585
High: 39.650

Like Grable, Wong is a senior who gets some bonus consideration – at least in the eyes of us observers – because this will be her final competition, and what better way to cap of a glorious career than with an individual title. She’s also the deserving winner of the AAI award this year in a tough field. Wong doesn’t have the peak score in the 39.7s that the three ahead of her do, but she is in the advantageous position of anchoring three of the lineups (while Courville anchors one and Sloan anchors none). So if the scores are building, she can take advantage of that for most of her routines. I certainly believe that she can go straight 9.900s across the events, but the more 9.950s coming from the top contenders, the harder it will be for her to keep pace.

Sam Peszek – UCLA

RQS: N/A
High: 39.700

First of all, UCLA should thank its lucky stars for Sam Peszek. It has been a rough season anyway that would have been a disaster without her. Replace Peszek’s scores from regionals with 9.850s, and UCLA is sitting at home right now. Peszek is very dangerous in this race because she is capable of those 9.950s on every event that Sloan can get, but her main concern will be sticking. She does that little fake bouncy stick that doesn’t count as a stick. It’s going to get deducted, which hurts her ability to score as high as she might otherwise, especially on vault. She’ll need to have a serious chat with her feet and ankles about their current mood if she’s to win the AA.

Joanna Sampson – Michigan

RQS: 39.565
High: 39.650

Sampson has been right near the top of the all-around standings all season, and if she pulls off the upset and wins the title, floor will be the reason. She’s the defending champion there and can match anyone’s score. The major test of how competitive she is will be beam. We know she can hit a perfectly good beam routine – and the team will need one of her good ones if they’re going to make Super Six – but often her hits are for 9.850. It will be tough for anyone to contend with a 9.850 on any event because there are several people in this race who will get none of those.

Kytra Hunter – Florida

RQS: 39.550
High: 39.700

The one person who perhaps could contend with a 9.850 is Hunter because we know she can realistically receive 10s on both vault and floor, which gives her more buffer than anyone else has. It will likely take at least one 10 for Hunter to win, though, because the bars and beam scores haven’t been as high this season. She hasn’t been in the 9.9s often enough on those two events, especially beam, to think she’ll challenge the very best of those events, so sticking that vault will be her chance to get in the race.

Alaina Johnson – Florida 

RQS: 39.515
High: 39.825

Johnson may be on the outside edge of this all-around argument, but that 39.825 she got this season makes her at least a possibility. She’s another of those gymnasts, like Wong, who has a believable chance of getting 9.900s on four events but not necessarily 9.950s, so they lower the scores stay, the better for her. Actually winning an AA title is also a challenge for gymnasts who are the second- or third-best all-arounder on their team, as Johnson is, because if they are scoring well, their more heralded teammates are probably scoring a tad better. Bridget Sloan immediately follows Johnson on three events, so if Johnson is getting the kind of scores it takes to win, Sloan is probably getting even better ones.

Lindsay Mable – Minnesota

RQS: 39.565
High: 39.650

Mable is another of the sentimental favorites for the title because she has beautiful, exquisitely performed gymnastics and comes from one of the less famous teams. She is ranked 5th in the AA, tied with Sampson, which makes her a contender, but she has a double burden in this competition. She’s competing without her team and going up in the first semifinal, which makes winning a highly improbably challenge. It would be fun though, wouldn’t it?

Dark Horse Nation

Jessie Jordan of LSU is another highly ranked contender, but she may be afflicted with the same syndrome as Alaina Johnson, having to compete before Courville in most rotations. Her early lineup placement – in the first half on three of four events – will also hurt her AA chances. We have a bunch of other people who are very, very capable of getting a 39.500, which has seen them rank well in individual meets this season, but who don’t have the scoring potential to get the stratospheric total that the AA title requires. In that group, I’ll include Alabama’s top AAers – Kim Jacob and Sarah DeMeo – and Tory Wilson of Utah. Nice scores, but not winning scores.

Jessie DeZiel is another I would have expected to be a major player in this conversation, but interestingly enough she hasn’t had very many competitive scores on floor this year, which is surprising. This season, she has been more likely to hang around the 9.875s than the 9.950s. Plus, consider Alaina Johnson Syndrome for her as well. The other one I have my eye on is Kristina Vaculik, but it would be a crazy upset. I’m just throwing it out there.

Nationals Preview Part 3: They’ll Cut Each Other

When considering the quality of the top four teams and the competitive Super Six they are likely to produce for us this year, I am reminded of the words of the great Jean-Ralphio Saperstein: “That snizz is straight-up deloycious.” 

Florida, Oklahoma, LSU, and Alabama have all reached the 198s this season and can all make at least a moderately convincing argument as a challenger for the ultimate crown, having consistently traded off recording the top score in the country all season. If these four teams do end up making Super Six, it will be a fantastically exciting competition. Be sure to have your anxiety medication, your therapy dog, and an entire birthday cake close to you once Super Six begins because you will need all three at various points.

This year, we don’t have a team occupying the same coveted favorite position that Florida did last year as the clear #1 team to end the regular season that won SECs, dominated a home regional, and came into nationals as the presumptive winner barring disaster (or not even barring disaster as it turned out). This year, Florida finished the season as the clear #1 once again, but they lost at SECs and put in a moderately severe stinker at regionals. There are similar complications to the route to a title for Oklahoma, Alabama, and LSU. They have all scored well, but no one is a clear dominant force going into nationals. But someone will emerge.

A caveat: These teams are not far enough removed from the rest of the competition that their qualifications to Super Six should be taken as a given. They’re close enough to the rest of the pack that they shouldn’t be able to get away with a mental catastrophe in semifinals, at least with all other things being hit. Should they put in clean rotations, however, they’ll all advance to Saturday, so in addressing these teams, I’m looking at what they need to do to win the title, not simply to advance to Super Six. Let’s begin, shall we?

FLORIDA

We were all beset by flashbacks of Super Six 2013 after Florida counted a fall on beam at regionals last week, recalling their way-too-dramatic run to the title last season. Of course, it could just as easily have reminded us of the Great Beam Horror of 2011 or several others in their line of previous setbacks, but winning a national title changes the narrative. We don’t think of Florida as the team that almost succeeds anymore, we think of Florida as a team impervious to mistakes, that wins championships even when kind of falling apart. After that beam fall at regionals, they seemed guaranteed to come back and get another 49.abillion on floor in the next rotation, but they didn’t, which was interesting. They had some strong routines, but also a fall and a counting 9.7. The mistakes festered for multiple rotations instead of being instantly erased.

That regionals showing is enough to make you wonder about beam, isn’t it? Florida has succumbed to errors a few times this season on that four inch temptress, not a huge amount but enough that they’ve felt the need to shift things around to be safer. Kytra has gone to the end of the lineup, and her front tuck mount is gone, which is disappointing but understandable. She doesn’t need it for her bonus and was conceding .050 to .100 on it fairly regularly. Regardless of how they arrange it, the talent is there. It just all seemed a little unsettled at regionals, with two falls compounded by the fact that they came from the two big scores and necessary 9.9s, Sloan and Caquatto. Florida doesn’t have as many likely 9.9s on beam as on the other events, but that is true for most teams so isn’t in itself a handicap. It simply means that Sloan and Caquatto must have steadied themselves for Florida to get close to 49.500 on beam, which is about the average standard I’m looking for from these teams on each event. Sloan has had a couple mistakes this year (two falls and a hand-beam) while this is Caquatto’s first. It doesn’t exactly amount to an epidemic, but it is more mistakes than I would have expected from Bridget Sloan – even though she’s the #1 beamer in the country.

I’m not prepared to say definitively that it will take straight 49.500s for a 198 to win the championship (only one team has ever scored a 198 at Super Six – UCLA in 2004) because I do hope that scoring is stricter at nationals. If we do see routines held to a higher standard this weekend, these expected scores will be a bit lower. But, since these teams have shown the capability for 198s and 49.500s across the board throughout the regular season, it makes a solid reference point to see where they are succeeding or falling behind.

The 49.500 is a much more comfortable standard for Florida on bars and floor given that they’ve reached that level in nearly half the meets so far this season. The Gators look to be the only team besides Georgia that is capable of getting a 9.900 in every spot in the bars rotation, which provides them significant scoring security in addition to astronomical scoring potential. (For the sake of bars finals, I’m glad Florida and Georgia are in opposite semis – otherwise it would be a bloodbath.) At regionals, they were easily able to absorb the fall from Hunter because they are not relying particularly heavily on any one score to make the rotation. They all get 9.9s. We’ve seen a couple consistency aberrations on floor at the last few meets, but I do expect that to be eradicated for nationals. It’s the Kytra Hunter show, sure, but she has several supporting 9.9s to make the leap to 49.500 very realistic, even away from the  O’10nnell Center. One of the biggest accomplishments for Florida this season has been maintaining the scoring potential on floor without King and Dickerson. We still have to see how that plays out at nationals, but I expect it to be a non-issue. 

Lost in the discussion of all the problems at regionals was a real bright spot, the performance on vault. The vault landings were my prime area of concern going into the competition for Florida, but they made a big step in getting a 49.550, even without a top vault from Kytra. Much of that scoring improvement was down to the Caquattuses in the first two positions. They hadn’t been landing very well the whole season, but like the sisters they are, they both pulled it together at the same time to put the rotation on a much more competitive level from the beginning. If they can replicate those landings at nationals, they’ll take the pressure off beam to be a 49.500 event by creating a margin on the other three.

As we’ll see, most of these teams are capable of 49.500 on most of the events, but if Florida is to win, the absolute most important thing will be outscoring all of their closest rivals on bars. Bars is where they gain an edge, and the fact that they did not outscore Alabama on bars by any real margin at SECs was instrumental in their losing the title. It meant they didn’t have an event where they were clearly superior. Of course they’ll have to keep pace on the other apparatuses – no one is winning this thing with some 49.200 anywhere – but bars is most important to their title hopes. Watch that space.

OKLAHOMA

When will it be Oklahoma’s year? That’s the question we’re asking now that Florida finally had its year. Oklahoma is the next heir to the throne, and they have occupied that exact second-in-command position for much of the latter half of the season, alternating with LSU for the 2nd and 3rd spots in the rankings. That’s where they have been pretty much every week – 2nd or 3rd best in the nation, right at the top, close to the best. It happened once again at regionals with a 197.725, behind only LSU in the race for the top score. They always have one of the best scores, and we know Oklahoma is one of the best teams. We’ve known that for five seasons. Now can they be the best? This season presents a huge opportunity because this year they are just as likely as any of the other favorites to win. They’re not the spoiler. No one is running clearly out ahead of them. That hasn’t always been the case.

The Sooners could have won the title last season but were victimized by a lumpy vault rotation early in Super Six. I wouldn’t expect that to happen again based on what we’ve seen on vault this season, culminating in that massive 49.700 at regionals. I don’t anticipate the same kind of score at nationals for an identical performance because the scores did go high at the end of that meet on vault, starting from Oklahoma’s first routine, which was a 9.900 for Madison Mooring without a stick. It’s fairly rare to see a Yhalf get a 9.900 without being stuck, but Mooring is the most likely nominee for it. They’ll have to be perfect in the landings in the first few lineup spots next time to hope for the same kind of huge score, but the power and landings from the end of the lineup mean that Oklahoma is running right with all the other teams on vault and shouldn’t face any disadvantage. No one is worried about Oklahoma looking tame on vault when compared to the SEC teams anymore. 

By downgrading Haley Scaman’s vault to a full, they have turned her into one of the top vaulters in the country who receives regular 9.950s. I don’t usually love the decision to downgrade vaults because it often seems like a concession, but something had to change after last season. She was performing a perfectly fine 1.5 in the anchor spot but wasn’t sticking and therefore received a lot of 9.850s, which was stunting the scoring potential that had otherwise been building toward the final position. Either she would have to be moved to an earlier place in the lineup to allow someone else to stick for 9.950+ at the end, or she herself would have to downgrade to a higher-scoring full. The decision seems to have worked out. Two or three sticks at the end of the lineup should be enough to get the Sooners to that 49.500 plateau given the foundation they have now. 

Oklahoma has matched their massive vault RQS this season on floor, but the jury is still out for me on how well this floor rotation is going to score. I’m fascinated to see how the scoring matches up with LSU, especially with the Sooners going right after the Tigers in semifinals. They’re very different rotations, with different strengths and styles, so that should be a telling comparison. Oklahoma still doesn’t have the most difficulty among the teams, but I don’t see the level of difficulty being a huge factor this year. They have big passes from the last couple gymnasts, and there hasn’t been any evidence in the scoring this season that the judges are being more forgiving to routines with bigger difficulty. We’ve seen 10s for routines where the most difficult pass is a double pike, and a number of those same double pike routines got 9.9s again at regionals. Whether Oklahoma remains competitive on floor with the LSUs and Alabamas will come down to execution more than composition.

But, if we’re looking for the place where Oklahoma can earn the title, it’s beam – of course it is. Much like Florida on bars, this is the event on which they have to excel in order to win the title. It will be the best benchmark for how competitive they are with the other favorites. The old adage about beam is that you don’t win competitions on beam, but you do lose them. Like most adages, it’s pretty meaningless and based on nothing. Oklahoma can win a title on beam with this lineup that has no peaks and valleys. They’re all peaks and, top to bottom, have the highest scoring potential in the country. I enjoy this beam rotation so much I just want to bring it to a pet store and look at it adoringly through the glass. Beam will be the most challenging event to get a 49.500 on in this competition, so if Oklahoma can do it, they’ll have given themselves a significant and clear opening to pick away at the others. 

One of the interesting developments for the Sooners this year has been bars, where they have recorded excellent scores but also many, many more 49.1s than I ever would have predicted coming into the season. In the last 6 meets, they’ve had two 49.5s and four 49.1s, which is weird. We rarely see that much scoring variation from week to week without falls being involved. They’ve had a couple mistakes this year, but mostly the low-scoring meets have seen a ton of 9.8s in spite of the fact that the quality of their handstands should be allowing them to scoring consistently in the 9.9s each week. Landings, landings, landings. They’re a must, because a 49.1 is enough to take them out of contention regardless of how strong beam is or how much vault has become an asset. One rotation of 9.850s makes the rest go away. Finishing on bars, as they will in semifinals, is a good rotation order for Oklahoma, so I expect to see the 49.5 team show up, but the 49.1 team making another cameo would be cause for concern – even if they do get out of the session.

LSU
http://www.gymnastike.org/embed/ODI4NzM5MzA2?related=1&autoplay=false

Well look at you, LSU. After last season, we all knew that LSU would continue to be a contender. They finished 5th in 2013, lost very few routines, and gained some significant ones, so improvement was to be expected and a return to Super Six has always seemed a likely outcome. Becoming a top top team, however, and scoring right with Florida, Oklahoma, and Alabama every week, has been another step up that I didn’t expect to see this soon. I wouldn’t classify LSU as the favorite here – it’s one thing to get a 198 at home at regionals, and it’s another thing to beat all these other top teams at the same time in Birmingham – but I also wouldn’t be too surprised by any kind of top-tier finish at this point. It’s a big step from being a contender to being truly in it with the best teams, and LSU has made that step almost instantly.

Make no mistake, while much of LSU’s newfound contention has been built on rescuing the bars and beam rotations from the land of stress and nightmares, this is still a vault and floor team and will remain so. If LSU is going to pull off the ultimate upset and take the championship, they will do it by winning both vault and floor with something near the 49.6s they receiving at home during regionals and establishing an insurmountable lead that cannot be breached even by the exceptional bars and beam rotations from the elite teams around them.

In the postseason, I talk a lot about asset events – which events can teams not simply score well on but win – because the teams that win Super Six do it by winning at least two events, usually three. LSU can absolutely win vault, mostly because they are the best at it. They have 1216 people in that lineup capable of getting a 9.900, and sticks from Jessie Jordan in the second spot give them the kind of early score that no one else is matching. There was some minor confusion about Kaleigh Dickson pulling out of vault at the last minute at regionals, but that doesn’t appear to be a major concern. It’s not like they don’t have other vaulters who can step in, anyway. But because it is such an important event for LSU, everyone in the lineup must show up with those 9.9s to give them the margin that they need. We usually look at a 49.400 as a good score, but that would be a warning sign for LSU at nationals because they need even more from vault.

Floor can be an asset on the same level as vault. It’s probably not as much of a sure thing (e.g., that 49.350 from SECs with a bunch of 9.850s – again a good score but they need more), but with Lloimincia Hall at the back of the lineup, Rheagan Courville who is nearly as strong as her on floor just less buzz-worthy, and oft-overlooked Jessica Savona, the path to 49.500 at minimum is very clear and very likely. There are, however, still some questions about the lineup. Dickson’s foot (which sounds like the name of some pioneer town, like the wagon train will make a stop at Dickson’s Foot for the night before trying to ford the Snake River) makes her routine less of a sure thing, and while Maliah Mathis has been in the lineup for the end of the season, she hasn’t put up consistently good scores since coming back from her Achilles injury. Gnat came back in at regionals (good sign – she’s an asset), as did Ranzy, who did a fine job but isn’t up to the level of the rest of the lineup these days. She has become a much better bars worker at LSU, but isn’t what she used to be on floor. They have enough options for floor that the lineup should be fine regardless, but the revolving door is something to watch there.

We’ve seen some big scores for LSU on bars this year, and their RQS is huge, but bars also sees significant variation in the scores from week to week. One week it’s a 49.2, the next it’s a 49.6, then it’s a 49.4, all in the evaluation of hit routines. They have a big score to rely on from Morrison and usually a big one from Courville, but getting competitive numbers from the other positions will be harder. We saw at SECs that LSU performed perfectly acceptably on bars for a hit rotation but still struggled to keep pace with the other top SEC teams and ended up giving up three tenths right there, even though they didn’t make any mistakes. One of the concerns, and one of the reasons the big vault and floor scores are so important, is that LSU could hit 6-for-6 on bars and still fall in the standings because of 9.850s compared to others’ 9.900s. They have to squeeze everything they can out of those routines.

I think I said it from the first week, but it’s still true that the single most important routine in LSU’s development is Ashleigh Gnat’s beam routine because she gives them three national-class routines to end the lineup, all of which can score in the 9.9s. That’s exceptionally important progress, and while there have still been a few falls this year, LSU’s beam is not simply an event that they pray to the god of temp tattoos just to get through anymore. They can enter it with some degree of confidence. Some degree. The scoring potential at the beginning of the lineup is still lower than what the other top teams have, which we have seen reflected in the road scores several times this year – where LSU hasn’t broken 49.325 on beam. That’s a little to close to the dreaded 49.2 territory for comfort.

There’s pressure on those early beam workers to put up usable scores because the later routines still do have some risk. Gnat had some falling problems in the middle of the season, and while Courville’s routine is phenomenal and can contend for a 10, her arabian is still a risky element – not always for a fall but for a major wobble and a score they don’t want to count. The early people (sometimes I want to call the early-lineup workers the “peasants,” but that seems mean) must provide a buffer so that it’s not the end of the world if something happens to the final three, who are not shoo-ins for huge scores.

That beam lineup will be put to the test when LSU finishes there in the semifinal, with will be a learning moment for us all. Especially if the meet is still on the line, we will know for sure whether their beam work is for real or just an illusion after that.  

ALABAMA

Alabama may be the #4 team in the country going into the postseason, but they are not fourth in likelihood to win the championships. This year’s hosts are always sniffing around the title, and 2014 is no exception. For the other teams, I’ve been going through what the key events are, what they need to win in order to create an advantage over everyone – Florida on bars, Oklahoma on beam, LSU on the power events – but the interesting thing for Alabama is that they don’t really have the big event this year, the one that shows them off and where they dominate the other teams and ride off into the sunset on the back of it. It’s similar to how they don’t have the big star. Everyone, on every event, is at a similar level and the scores come from different places at different meets. At regionals, the big event was vault, at SECs it was bars, the meet before that it was beam, and the meet before that it was floor.

If Alabama wins, it won’t be because they destroyed one event and created a huge margin. It will be because they were strong enough on all the events to take advantage of the question-mark apparatuses and potentially sub-par scores I have just detailed for each of the other teams. Alabama is the most likely team to get the same score on every event. At regionals, the Tide had a good meet but not a great meet, and while they did get those equivalent scores on bars, beam, and floor, the equivalent scores were 49.3s, marked by some rather uncharacteristic mistakes, and that won’t be enough at nationals. They’ll have to step those up to a 49.450ish level at least.

If there’s one event where I see Alabama faltering and not living up to the potential of the other events, it remains bars. It was bars even before the season began, and we have come full circle to bars once again. Alabama has recorded some big scores on bars this year – but all at home meets, as long as we’re considering SECs a home meet, which it basically was – so they’ll hope they get a similar home stimulus at championships since their road high on bars is just a 49.250. That’s my concern in that it can be a pretty 9.8ish rotation throughout especially in the handstands department – which lack the crisp precision of a Georgia. Many times before, we have seen Alabama stick the hell out of their DLOs to snatch a bars score that seemed highly unlikely, which is how they can stay competitive on bars at nationals as well. Otherwise, they don’t have the stars with 9.950s here, which could be trouble when trying to contend with Florida.  

While Alabama did have a few errors on the beam and floor rotations at regionals – with Clark falling on beam and Jacob getting an uncharacteristic 9.775 on floor – those events are both more likely to stay normal and reflect the quality we have seen throughout the season. Alabama’s beam rotation has been pretty secure this year, especially in terms of minimizing even small wobbles and ensuring that all deductions taken are for less obvious errors. Jacob is a star there, Clark has a 10, and Aja Sims has been an excellent addition to give them a complete lineup. They have security early in the rotation from Milliner and Bailey – with some nice difficulty from DeMeo thrown in – building to top scores later on. And while the floor lineup isn’t quite the Big Bama floor we sometimes see, everyone should get at least a 9.850, and Jacob and Milliner provide clear 9.950 potential at the end. They shouldn’t have much trouble keeping pace with their compatriots on those events. 

Vault is an interesting topic because it’s Alabama on vault. They should always be powering their way through as one of the top vaulting teams and slamming those sticks into the mat, but for a while this season, I thought they had lost a step. Not because of landings – those come in time – but because the vaults weren’t as dynamic as I usually expect. Bailey has a perfectly nice – but regular – yhalf, DeMeo has been a borderline vaulter in her college career, and Jacob has some form issues, etc. There were reasons to see this teams as less competitive, but lately they have been finding those Alabama sticks again, and the 49.600 from regionals reflects that. If they can stick enough of those vaults, and land exactly like they didn’t at nationals last year, all should be right with the world order and Alabama should be one of the top scoring vault teams again.

As for the subject of Alabama hosting the meet, it could be a factor in terms of the crowd – we know Alabama always performs well in front of the home crowd – but hopefully not in terms of scores. The judges have been pretty good at the last few championships at maintaining professionalism and not giving a noticeable nudge to the home team, so I don’t imagine we’ll see anything too, too crazy, but you never know. Alabama is a different animal. There will be a controversy regardless, so don’t worry about things getting too normal. In a meet where so many different teams are capable of scoring all these 49.5s on all these events, there is guaranteed to be delicious scoring outrage at some point. We wouldn’t want it any other way.   

DONE.