Keeping Up with the Cool GIFs – Regionals

This week...

Regionals got scary

Iowa was like, “A 197 will be enough to make Saturday…”

And the judges gave Kentucky and Arizona State the business

So in the end LSU got 49.525 on beam

Continue reading Keeping Up with the Cool GIFs – Regionals

Top Scores of Regional Championships

At regionals, 41 routines were deemed perfect by at least one judge. The four-judge splits are included here.

The 10.000s

Ona Loper – Vault – Minnesota – Regional Semifinal
(10.000/10.000/10.000/10.000)

Trinity Thomas – Bars – Florida – Regional Semifinal
(10.000/10.000/10.000/10.000)

Anastasia Webb – Bars – Oklahoma – Regional Semifinal
(10.000/10.000/10.000/9.950)

Makarri Doggette – Bars – Alabama – Regional Semifinal
(10.000/10.000/10.000/9.950)

Luisa Blanco – Beam – Alabama – Regional Semifinal
(10.000/10.000/10.000/10.000)

Lynnzee Brown – Bars – Denver – Regional Final
(10.000/10.000/10.000/9.950)

Lynnzee Brown – Floor – Denver – Regional Final
(10.000/10.000/10.000/10.000)

Olivia Trautman – Vault – Oklahoma – Regional Final
(10.000/10.000/10.000/9.950)

Haleigh Bryant – Vault – LSU – Regional Final
(10.000/10.000/10.000/9.950)

Continue reading Top Scores of Regional Championships

Onward to Nationals

Now that a solid 90% of us have had a chance to recover from the Salt Lake Heart Disease regional, we know which 8 teams and which individuals have advanced to nationals. So let’s run through it.


SEMIFINAL #1 – April 16, 12:00 CT

[1] Florida – Bars
[4] Michigan – Beam
[5] Cal – Floor
[8] Minnesota – Vault

If I were to pick a semifinal to be in, this is the one I’d pick. The top 8 teams all advanced this year, so we don’t have a horribly unbalanced semifinal setup like last time where most of the top teams ended up in the first session, but there are fewer juggernauts in this semifinal. Florida and Michigan will be favored to advance to the final and did produce the two highest scores from this group at regionals (Florida’s 197.950 in the semi and Michigan’s 198.100 in the final), but we saw enough shaky moments from both teams at various times—what with Florida’s near apocalypse in the regional final and Michigan’s trouble beam in the regional semifinal—that this one shouldn’t be considered finished.  


SEMIFINAL #2 – April 16, 5:00 CT

[2] Oklahoma – Bars
[3] LSU – Floor
[6] Utah – Beam
[7] Alabama – Vault

Ooof. So this is going to get interesting. If any team feels safe in this group it will be Oklahoma, which proved by outscoring Alabama in Alabama that it should be a step above the chaos, even if no one ends up being a disaster. But honestly every team here will consider itself a favorite to advance. LSU is ranked to make the final, but—putting it at its most charitable—LSU is lucky to be here after a beam rotation in the regional final that should have been about a 49.000 or 49.100 and scored 49.525. Now, when you take into account other overscores for all the teams, the controversy isn’t quite as clear-cut as it seems from that last rotation alone, but Arizona State and Kentucky have at least an argument that the fix was in.

Regardless, LSU’s performances at regionals were not top-4 quality and would be beatable in a national semifinal. Utah outcompeted LSU on both days of regionals and will certainly fancy its chances because of that, while Alabama defeated LSU at SECs—though does have some issues of its own to resolve since Alabama’s final scores at regionals were in the 197.5s (sort of pedestrian in this group) and came with the benefit of some very loose scoring. Like LSU, Alabama would need to improve on regionals to make the final here.   


EVENT DRAW

No aggressively significant developments in the rotation draws, though we do see Michigan starting on beam. That did not go super great in the regional semifinal and will be an early benchmark at nationals. LSU has the same rotation order as it did in the regional final, ending on beam, which…well I was going to say it also didn’t go great for them, but they’re here. So I guess it did.


CHAMPIONSHIP DRAW – April 17, 2:30 CT

For future reference.

Vault – 1st place, Semifinal 2
Bars – 2nd place, Semifinal 2
Beam – 2nd place, Semifinal 1
Floor – 1st place, Semifinal 1

The random draw typically causes ire because it doesn’t necessarily reward performance in the semifinals with the best event order. This year will be no exception because the people who advance from the first semifinal got the duds.


INDIVIDUALS

National individual titles are awarded based on scores in the semifinals, and from this point six judges are used on each event, with four scores counting. That is ostensibly to separate the scores a little more and avoid having ties for event championships. Meanwhile, we had a four-way tie for the vault and floor titles last time.

The four all-around qualifiers making it out of regionals were Lynnzee Brown (Denver), Chae Campbell (UCLA), Kennedy Hambrick (Arkansas), and Hannah Scharf (Arizona State). Of those, Lynnzee Brown should be in the main hunt for the national all-around title. The title race at this point is sort of up in the air depending on whether Trinity Thomas is able to return on all four events at full strength—in which case she would be the favorite—or whether co-favorite status goes to Brown and Lexy Ramler (with a whole host of others, I know, we’ll get there). One thing to watch out for with Brown’s scores compared to normal is that, competing as an individual, her beam routine will now anchor the Florida lineup instead of leading off the Denver lineup. That could change things. 

Historically, discussion of scores rising in the second semifinal at NCAAs has been overstated. In 2019, the scores were much higher in the first semifinal, which corresponded to stronger teams being in the first semifinal. In fact, qualifying teams tend to prefer being placed in the first semifinal because it allows for more rest before the final. That’s especially true this year because the final will be in the afternoon for the live ABC broadcast, which means the teams advancing from the second semifinal will have just 17.5 hours between the conclusion of the semifinal and the start of open stretch for the final (which doesn’t even take into the account the interminable individual awards ceremony that is scheduled after the second semifinal).

But, as for individual scores, it’s worth noting that Thomas, Ramler, and Brown would all be competing in the first semifinal, while many of the members of the next tier like Webb and O’Keefe, and Blanco compete in the second semifinal. So…a test of the theory.

The individual qualifiers are as follows:
Vault – Raena Worley, Kentucky; Angelica Labat, Illinois State; Nia Dennis, UCLA; Madi Dagen, Oregon State
Bars – Maggie O’Hara, Arkansas; Cairo Leonard-Baker, Arizona State; Marz Frazier UCLA; Hannah Demers, CMU
Beam – Bailey Bunn, Kentucky; Sydney Shaffer, Missouri; Morgan Tong, CMU; Hannah Joyner, Rutgers
Floor – Hannah McCrary, Missouri; Abbey Miner-Alder, BYU; Emily Shepard, NC State; Malia Hargrove, Arizona

Expect the usual AA suspects to dominate the event titles as well, especially as most of the top non-team event contenders were not able to advance as individuals (Emily Muhlenhaupt for bars, Elizabeth Culton for beam, Lauren Guerin for floor). Ramler, Thomas, Brown, O’Keefe, Johnson, Bryant, Webb, Wojcik. You know, the people.

Regionals Live Blog Day 3 – Regional Finals

Saturday, April 3
Scores Stream
7:00pm ET/4:00pm PT – Georgia Regional Final
[1] Florida
[8] Minnesota
[9] Denver
[26] NC State
LINK ESPN3
7:00pm ET/4:00pm PT – West Virginia Regional Final
[4] Michigan
[5] Cal
[13] UCLA
[27] Ohio State
LINK ESPN3
8:00pm ET/5:00pm PT –  Alabama Regional Final
[1] Oklahoma
[7] Alabama
[10] Arkansas
[23] Missouri
LINK ESPN3
9:00pm ET/6:00pm PT – Utah Regional Final
[3] LSU
[6] Utah
[11] Arizona State
[14] Kentucky
LINK ESPN3

We’re down to 16 teams, and after today, we’ll have the 8 that advance to nationals.

If you need to keep an eye on it as we go, this is the rotation draw for the national semifinals on April 16th:

Semifinal I
VT – 2nd place Georgia Regional
UB – 1st place Georgia Regional
BB – 1st place West Virginia Regional
FX – 2nd place West Virginia Regional

Semifinal II
VT – 2nd place Alabama Regional
UB – 1st place Alabama Regional
BB – 1st place Utah Regional
FX – 2nd place Utah Regional

But to the issue at hand. Regionals.

Here’s the master rotation order for today’s meets

Out of the Georgia Regional, the chosen three Florida, Minnesota, and Denver all advanced to today’s competition, though the sheer difference between Minnesota and Denver’s performances in that first session gives Minnesota much stronger favorite status than before competition started. A huge question for Denver is now the condition of Emily Glynn, who was injured on her bars dismount yesterday and had to scratch floor and vault, leaving Denver using just five on floor. The vault and bars lineups are very reliant on her scores, and with Mundell already absent, it would be tough for Denver to contend today while managing an additional injury. Yesterday’s 196.775 that both Denver and NC State achieved should not hold up in the regional final.

BYU’s elimination yesterday changes the dynamics to a small extent in West Virginia, but I would have ranked BYU as the #4 favorite here, so the biggest contenders are still alive—Michigan, Cal, and UCLA. Yesterday’s results with Cal at 197.7, Michigan at 197.6 with a low beam score, and UCLA at 197.0 emphasize that UCLA is the underdog here. UCLA is capable of improving that floor score from yesterday by several tenths but is going to need some mistakes by either Cal or Michigan—or to start showing something on beam we haven’t seen this year. Michigan starts on vault, Cal on bars, and UCLA on floor, all of which are their best events and presumed highest scores. The team that’s not in the top 2 at that point is in a hole.

As for the Alabama regional—can Arkansas challenge Alabama after coming a couple tenths short yesterday, and is Missouri for real after last night’s score? Seeing how yesterday was evaluated, this is going to be in Alabama’s hands (and Oklahoma’s hands). If Alabama struggles as much on vault and floor today as they did yesterday, they can let Arkansas in it.

The Utah regional is supposed to be the most straightforward, and still should be, but LSU’s struggles last night in losing to Kentucky have added 20 dashes more intrigue as LSU is going to have to pull its life together today in order to advance.

Continue reading Regionals Live Blog Day 3 – Regional Finals

Regional Semifinal Results

Using a separate post here to round up the results from today’s regional sessions, what’s up tomorrow, and where we stand with the individual qualifiers to nationals.

Individual qualifier scores are based on today’s results (1 AAer and 1 from each event per regional), but we won’t know who they are until tomorrow because we don’t yet know which teams are making nationals.

GEORGIA REGIONAL

Session 1

Minnesota – 197.625
Denver – 196.775

Georgia – 196.750
Oregon State – 196.375

Session 2

Florida – 197.950
NC State – 196.775

Illinois – 196.375
CMU – 195.575

Individuals

AA – The leader is currently Ramler, who will make nationals if Minnesota doesn’t as a team. Lynnzee Brown is just behind her, so if Minnesota does make it as a team, then Brown would go as the AAer. If Minnesota and Denver were to both advance, then Megan Skaggs would go for the AA.

VT – It’s Loper, then Brown, then Ramler and Madi Dagen. Which means it will be Loper if Minnesota doesn’t go as a team, but it will be Madi Dagen if Minnesota does go as a team because Brown would already have the AA spot.

UB – Trinity Thomas with a 10 leads, but Hannah Demers has a good shot here with her 9.925. She would go if Florida and Minnesota advance as teams. It’s Sales if Minnesota doesn’t make it.

BB – Morgan Tong of CMU in a similar position to Demers here. She’ll go for beam as long as Florida advances as a team.

FX – Brown, Loper, and Nya Reed all went 9.950, but if Florida and Minnesota go, and Brown gets the AA spot, then it would be Emily Shepard for NC State.

West Virginia Regional

Session 1

Cal – 197.725
Ohio State – 196.525

BYU – 196.350
Towson – 195.025

Session 2

Michigan – 197.650
UCLA – 197.050

West Virginia – 195.650
Kent State – 194.300

Individuals

AA – It’s allll Michigan at the top of the AA standings, led by Brooks, but then it’s Andi Li and Chae Campbell. So whichever team doesn’t make it, there’s your AA representative.

VT – It’s all Michigan again, led by Brooks, then Wojcik. Then it’s Campbell and Dennis for UCLA, and Schank for Cal. So, since the others would be the AA representatives. It will be either Wojcik, Dennis, or Schank depending on which team doesn’t go.

UB – It’s Watterson on 9.975, then Wojcik, Frazier, and Bonsall on 9.950. Frazier and Wojcik have the tiebreak edge though, so it will be one of Watterson, Wojcik ,and Frazier depending on team qualification.

BB – Beam is Maya Bordas, then Hannah Joyner for Rutgers, so if Cal goes through, then Joyner will qualify.

FX – If Cal and Michigan advance to nationals, then we’re going to end up with an 80-billion way tie of people on 9.900, including basically everyone from West Virginia. It’s either Abbie Pierson or Abbey Miner Alder coming out of that tiebreak.

Alabama Regional

Session 1

Alabama – 197.525
Arkansas – 197.250

Iowa – 197.050
Iowa State – 196.525

Session 2

Oklahoma – 198.000
Missouri – 197.325

Maryland – 195.075

Individuals

AA – We’ve got Luisa Blanco, Anastasia Webb, and Kennedy Hambrick, so whichever team doesn’t advance…

VT – Angelica Labat for Illinois State went 9.950 and will qualify to nationals

UB – Doggette and Webb got 10s. If Oklahoma and Alabama go through as teams, it will be either Maggie O’Hara or Clair Kaji on 9.925

BB – Blanco got 10.00 and Karrie Thomas got 9.975. But again if Oklahoma and Alabama advance, it will be Sydney Schaffer on 9.950

FX – Again if Oklahoma and Alabama go through, it’s either Hannah McCrary, Sophia Carter, or Jerquavia Henderson

Utah Regional

Session 1

Utah – 197.500
Arizona State – 196.600

So Utah – 195.975
Boise State – 195.825

Session 2

Kentucky – 197.125
LSU – 197.025

Arizona – 196.025
Utah State – 196.025

Individuals

AA – It’s Kiya Johnson, then Maile O’Keefe, then Hannah Scharf, so it will be one of those three.

VT – It’s Johnson and Bryant, then a bunch of 9.900s. If LSU makes it as a team, then we have a tie between Worley of Kentucky, Smith of Washington, and Scharf. Scharf would take the tiebreak, but if she goes for the AA, then it would be Worley on the tiebreak over Smith.

UB – Leonard-Baker, Worley, and Durante all got 9.950, so one of them will be the individual for bars. Leonard-Baker would win the tiebreak over Worley if neither Arizona State nor Kentucky qualify as a team.

BB – It’s all of Utah and Reagan Campbell at the top. So if Utah and LSU go through, then it’s either Bunn or Angeny, who are tied on the tiebreak.

FX – It’s Kiya Johnson, then Scharf, but if LSU qualifies as a team and Scharf gets the AA spot, then we go to a mega-tie on 9.900, which would go to Malia Hargrove on the tiebreak.


Regionals Live Blog Day 2 – AHHHHH

Friday, April 2
Scores Stream
1:00pm ET/10:00am PT – Georgia Semifinal #1
[8] Minnesota
[9] Denver
[18] Georgia
[24] Oregon State
LINK ESPN3
1:00pm ET/10:00am PT – West Virginia Semifinal #1
[5] Cal
[12] BYU
[27] Ohio State
[28] Towson
LINK ESPN3
2:00pm ET/11:00pm PT – Alabama Semifinal #1
[7] Alabama
[10] Arkansas
[19] Iowa
[20] Iowa State
LINK ESPN3
3:00pm ET/12:00pm PT – Utah Semifinal #1
[6] Utah
[11] Arizona State
[17] Boise State
[21] Southern Utah
LINK ESPN3
7:00pm ET/4:00pm PT – Georgia Semifinal #2
[1] Florida
[16] Illinois
[25] Central Michigan
[26] NC State
LINK ESPN3
7:00pm ET/4:00pm PT – West Virginia Semifinal #2
[4] Michigan
[13] UCLA
[29] Kent State
[35] West Virginia
LINK ESPN3
8:00pm ET/5:00pm PT – Alabama Semifinal #2
[1] Oklahoma
[23] Missouri
[32] Maryland
LINK ESPN3
9:00pm ET/6:00pm PT – Utah Semifinal #2
[3] LSU
[14] Kentucky
[22] Utah State
[34] Arizona
LINK ESPN3

So, she’s a lot.

And her most is at the beginning. The first batch of semifinals comes from Georgia and West Virginia. I’ll be starting with more initial attention on the Minnesota/Denver/Georgia/Oregon St group (because obviously) to see if Georgia is going to do this thing, and same goes for the Alabama semifinal of death once that starts.

Reposting the rotation guide, updated with the play-in winners and Auburn’s withdrawal.

Georgia floor in the first rotation should tell us something. In those home 197s this year, Georgia went 49.300 on floor on both occasions. Will need to do that from the first rotation this time. And of course Minnesota starting on beam. It’s beam.

OK here we go.

Rotation 1

Continue reading Regionals Live Blog Day 2 – AHHHHH