Tag Archives: Nebraska

Saturday and Sunday Meets

For Saturday and Sunday, I probably won’t be doing much of the normal routine-by-routine live blogging (save that for Monday, when I’ll be all over it), but I’ll be popping in and out watching bits of things over the two days and will keep this post here for some basic reactions and impressions as needed. Feel free to use the comments to communicate all your feelings/profanities/side-eyes/insane commentator quotes/crack-smoking-judge reports from whatever you’re watching. I’d love to know what I’m missing. We’re all in this together. We can get through NCAA gym as a family.

Saturday, January 16
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – Illinois @ Rutgers
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – Brown, Springfield, Ithaca @ Southern Connecticut
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – Ursinus @ Brockport
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – Cortland, Rhode Island @ West Chester
3:00 ET/12:00 PT – Hamline, UW-Eau Claire, UW-La Crosse @ UW-Oshkosh
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – Ohio State @ Michigan
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – Nebraska @ Penn State
5:00 ET/2:00 PT – Maryland @ Minnesota
5:00 ET/2:00 PT – Illinois-Chicago @ Northern Illinois
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – Ozone Classic (Iowa State, Pittsburgh, SEMO, Air Force)

 

Sunday, January 17
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – Eastern Michigan, Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – Towson @ Ball State
1:00 ET/10:00 PT – North Carolina, Penn, Cornell, Temple @ George Washington
2:00 ET/11:00 PT – Arizona @ Texas Woman’s
3:00 ET/12:00 PT – Oklahoma @ Arkansas
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – Alabama vs. Auburn (Birmingham, AL)
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – New Hampshire @ West Virginia

The Rutgers/Illinois feed was going Rutgers-only for the first half of the meet (it’s also fun when they cut away from a floor routine to show a judge just doing some judging), but I’m still slightly appalled that a team with Horth, Kato, and O’Connor all going on bars can keep scoring a 2. Those are three would-be 9.9s. I picked Illinois to have a big year before the season started, and I’m sticking to it. The pace at halfway is still an improvement on last week, though. Ish. This will not be a usable score for Rutgers after a bars rotation in which every single person fell on a gienger. Did I spy with my little eye a Mustafina dismount, though? You go, Rutgers.

Continue reading Saturday and Sunday Meets

First Friday Live Blog – It’s All Downhill From Here

Friday, January 8
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – Ball State @ [21] Kentucky – SCORESSECN Stream
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [25] Central Michigan, UW-Whitewater, Winona State @ UW-Eau Claire
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – UW-La Crosse @ UW-Stout – SCORESStream
7:30 ET/4:30 PT – Lindenwood @ SEMO – SCORES
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [2] Florida @ Texas Woman’s – SCORESFlogymnastics Pro stream
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – BYU @ [4] Utah – SCORESTV: Pac-12 Network
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – Michigan State @ [18] Arizona – SCORESTV: Pac-12 Network Arizona
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [15] Illinois @ [23] Missouri – SCORESSECN Stream
9:00 ET/6:00 PT – Centenary @ Utah State
9:00 ET/6:00 PT – [11] Nebraska, Bowling Green @ Arizona State – SCORESPac-12 Stream
Preseason rankings

This is how everything stands before anything stands. So let’s change it up.

I’ll be here starting at 7 ET/4 PT to have all kinds of feelings. At least three of them. Are there more than three feelings?

The Weekend Plans – January 8-10

It’s here! Wait, how do we do this again?

Top 25 Schedule

Friday, January 8
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – Ball State @ [21] Kentucky
7:00 ET/4:00 PT – [25] Central Michigan, UW-Whitewater, Winona State @ UW-Eau Claire
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [2] Florida @ Texas Woman’s
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – BYU @ [4] Utah
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – Michigan State @ [18] Arizona
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [15] Illinois @ [23] Missouri
9:00 ET/6:00 PT – [11]Nebraska, Bowling Green @ Arizona State
Saturday, January 9
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – [9] Georgia @ [7] Michigan
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – NC State @ [17] Penn State
5:00 ET/2:00 PT – [1] Oklahoma @ [5] LSU
7:30 ET/4:30 PT – Iowa State @ [20] Minnesota
8:00 ET/5:00 PT – [24] Southern Utah, West Virginia @ [16] Denver
9:00 ET/6:00 PT – [22] Ohio State @ Washington
Sunday, January 10
4:00 ET/1:00 PT – [23] Missouri @ Lindenwood
5:00 ET/2:00 PT – [3] Alabama @ [6] UCLA
5:00 ET/2:00 PT – Nor Cal Classic ([8] Stanford, [14] Cal, UC Davis. Sacramento State @ San Jose State)
5:00 ET/2:00 PT – [10] Auburn @ [12] Oregon State
As always, the full schedule is available at the link at the top. Note that Arkansas and Boise State will not be competing this weekend. 
FRIDAY
-Let the live blogging begin! I’ll be here from the start, though there aren’t any really enticing matchups on Friday (you’re not even trying…), so I’ll probably bop around from meet to meet, missing everything important. I do want to make sure to watch a fair chunk of Nebraska since we rarely get to see Nebraska during the season. Florida against TWU will be broadcast on Aunt Flogymnastics, so those of you watching it are required to provide updates of honesty in the comments. You have your mission.

-For Florida, this will be a very comfortable win, but as I mentioned in the preview, I’m looking forward to seeing the lineup strategy. I’ll also be interested to find out where Peyton Ernst is at this point, how Alicia Boren does in her debut given how important she is to the team this year, and how many 10s Bridget Sloan gets. Over/under?

-There’s a little less mystery about Utah because we saw them at the RRP and they diligently release their lineups a million days in advance. This too will be an easy-peasy meet, but we’ve got a lot of event debuts (Lee and Schwab on bars, Merrell and Partyka on beam and floor), which is always reason for a keen eye. Bars and floor are the most depleted since last season, so watch for stuck-at-9.825-itis, though that may be expected to some degree this early in the season. But, is there potential to go much higher?

-Speaking of depleted, Nebraska has a bunch of empty spots in these lineups, and depth will be a major storyline this season. I’m hoping to see as many different freshmen as possible competing to give the team more options than I currently think there are. Let’s not make this not a six-AAers kind of season since that is the most nerve-wracking thing in the world. Someone find the bubble wrap. I’m also interested to see how Arizona State fills out these lineups, as in, can they? There are almost four people on the roster this season, but might it be a little less depressing than last year? A little?

 SATURDAY

 -Now that’s more like it. We’ve got two fairly huge meets on Saturday, which overlap because, once again, pull it together everyone. 
-Georgia travels to Michigan to open the season, and this will be the first meet of the year that actually has an uncertain outcome. Michigan does enter as the favorite, however, competing at home and coming off an impressive first meet for a team that was in so many pieces so recently, but it’s not open and shut. As we know, the Wolverines are still not a deep team and will need the exact competitors they showed in Cancun to be competitive with the best teams in the country this year. But now, after the Cancun success, it’s 197 or bust. Anything less is a regression. 
As of this point, Michigan’s strengths compared to Georgia look to be beam and floor given the troubles Georgia had on those events last season. The most important things the Gymdogs need to show in this first meet are a reborn, not-horrifying beam lineup (I’m hoping to see Cherrey and Jay and Schick among the new options to give this lineup some pop) and improved floor endurance versus this point last year. If they can prove those two events are under control, it will minimize any advantage Michigan might have in the second half of the meet. Georgia’s asset should be vault because of Jay and Rogers, though both teams are showing a solid number of 10.0 SVs. While bars will be very different for Georgia this season, for now at least the old story remains that Georgia needs a lead at the halfway point to have a chance. Please change the narrative, beam.
-The main event of the day, however, will be Oklahoma and LSU. Yikes. Showdown. I’m already excited. Nothing like starting the season by heading to LSU to test your mettle as the #1 team in the country. This should be an exceptionally high-quality meet, even in the first week of the season. LSU already looked in form at the preseason showcase, and Oklahoma always starts exceptionally prepared. I’m ready for both of these teams to hit 197 right off the bat, and I don’t think that’s a difficult accomplishment or expectation. 
Depending on who LSU has available, these teams are pretty well-matched on vault and floor. LSU has the bigger routines 1-6, so give the Tigers perhaps a slight advantage but not enough to be decisive or conclusive as a prognosticator. It could go either way. The real challenge for LSU, this season and always, will be proving the equal of a team like Oklahoma on bars and beam. Oklahoma is going through its own little reinvention on those events, so checking how those lineups match up to those of the past couple seasons will be interesting. Still, bars and beam are Oklahoma’s events. It would be surprising to see any actual weakness there. LSU has a wildly, wildly talented crop of beam workers, but one that is unproven and without rock-solid lineup saviors. They’ll be thrown into the fire right away by having to keep pace with the storied Oklahoma beam, but that’s what it will take to win the meet. 
SUNDAY
-Sunday also brings its share of fun with a 5 ET/2 PT triple-header of serious meets. For reference, I’ll be back for day three of the live blogging weekend for Alabama/UCLA, so if you’re watching either of the others instead, keep the rest of us posted. 
-Though UCLA is at home, which always helps, the Bruins are not exactly known for starting quickly or being at top form in January, so Alabama has more on the line as the team that really should win. Much is expected of Kiana Winston (by me), so we’ll have to see how she looks since her cameo last season doesn’t really count. Winston is especially significant with Lauren Beers coming off preseason surgery, meaning she may not be normal four-9.900s Lauren Beers right from the start. 
The vault decisions will be fascinating. Alabama has a number of 1.5 options, but we’ll have to see how many of them come to fruition right away, while UCLA has some work to do to keep pace while lacking the same pedigree of huge vaults. Paging Pua Hall. For the Bruins, this meet is all about Ohashi watch. Without Peszek and with Peng limited, they need a star to step up, and Ohashi is the nominee. That’s particularly true in this meet because if UCLA is going to win, it will be with beam loveliness since I do expect Alabama to be farther along and show more difficulty on vault and floor. UCLA’s beam should be exceptionally fantastic this year (though Alabama’s will be no slouch), and it would be really disheartening to see one of those UCLA January three-fall meets in such an significant showdown. 
-Last season, Stanford started with not enough people to compete, so the goal this time is…enough people to compete. I have no expectations for Stanford early in the season because we won’t see real Stanford until, oh, mid-March (that’s pretty true for UCLA too), but gauging depth of scores, at least six potential competitive scores on each event, will be the major factor here. A prepared and solid Cal will smell blood again this season. 
-Auburn/Oregon State may feel like the ugly duckling of the day since so much attention will be on UCLA and Alabama, but that should be a pretty competitive meet itself. Auburn has multiple new routines to try out, so we’ll have to see if this group looks like one that might become a Super Six team again in a few months. Or is it going to be a case of Caitlin Atkinson and her interns like it was in 2014? To tally the upset, Oregon State must show who besides Maddie Gardiner is ready to compete with top-10 teams. It’s the old refrain: where are the 9.9s? Right now, Auburn looks to have more of them because of Atkinson, and while it doesn’t necessarily take 9.9s to win in January, the location of the 9.9s is a serious mystery the Beavs have to solve this season. It would be nice to see at least the larval stages of a few of them.

#11 Nebraska Preview

Roster
Blanske, Hollie – Senior – VT, UB, BB, FX
Breen, Danielle – Sophomore – UB, BB
Chung, Kelli – Freshman
Crouse, Sienna – Freshman
Kuo, Megan – Freshman
Laeng, Jennie – Junior – VT, UB, BB, occasional FX
Lambert, Ashley – Junior – VT, FX, but can also do UB, BB
McConkey, Madison – Senior – in-a-pinch backup on UB
Orel, Catelyn – Freshman
Schweihofer, Megan – Freshman
Shows, Kami – Freshman
Williams, Grace – Sophomore – VT, UB, BB, FX

Recent History
2015 – 8th
2014 – 6th
2013 – 14th
2012 – 8th
2011 – 4th
2010 – 7th

2016 Outlook
It’s difficult to have fluffy, leprechaun-filled Super Six dreams for Nebraska this year after even a cursory glance at the roster. For a team that has lost its star in Jessie Deziel and returns such a sparse supply of realistic routine options, a great deal of pressure will be heaped on an unproven freshman class to contribute not just depth but multiple counting routines on every event, every week. Otherwise, I fear this could turn into a “just the five vaulters again” kind of season. This freshman class does have potential, and with the scoring strength of some of those vital returning gymnasts, remaining a solidly mid-high 196 team and adopting a fairly secure position in the fight to return to nationals seems realistic, as long as actually everyone stays healthy. Competing with the greater star power and depth of the teams ranked in the preseason top 10, however, seems a much greater challenge that would require the emergence of some diamonds in the rough.

Key Competitor
Grace Williams. For someone who was one of the great standout JO gymnasts in her age group after a brief stint with junior elite, Williams’ performances were a little too 9.825 last year. I had higher expectations of her becoming the replacement DeZiel on this team, not languishing as a supporting player. She has the talent to be the best-scoring gymnast on this team, and now that DeZiel is gone and those critical 9.9s have been lost, the pressure is on her to become a couple times more brilliant. Those 9.9s have to come from somewhere if Nebraska is to have any chance of unsticking itself from 8th-12th ranking purgatory.

Vault

Vault is Nebraska’s event, traditionally the team’s highest score by a pretty healthy margin. The beginning of last season was no exception when the Huskers started with those back-to-back 49.750, 49.600 scores led by the Lambert 10s. While those scores did not hold for the whole year and drooped down toward the 9.850s as we went along (an issue to keep an eye on) the possibilities remain solid. Much like a more powerful version of Oregon State, however, the Huskers have lately been a team of fulls. If they aren’t able to forage for as many 10.0 starts as other teams, will they begin to lose some margin on an event that is more important for them than it is for others?

Lambert will lead the way with the biggest and most stickable full on the roster. She certainly has the power to up the difficulty (and did perform more complex yurchenkos back in the day), though that was a lifetime of health traumas ago. Similarly, Blanske had a 1.5 as a JO gymnast, as did Williams for a hot second when she tried elite, but we’re talking 2010-2011 here. So who knows? Part of the fun of vault at the beginning of this season will be watching for who suddenly has a secret 1.5 we weren’t expecting. Nebraska can certainly teach a vault. We know that.  

Expect Lambert and Blanske to be the top vault scorers regardless, with Laeng and Williams also returning for scores at least somewhere into the 9.8s. Among the freshmen, I like Schweihofer to get into the lineup since she has the biggest full of the group. Beyond her, Crouse also has an OK full, Shows had a full for a minute way back pre-Achilles tear, and then Orel and the sophomore Breen had 1/2s in JO, so people do exist. It’s just a matter of how existy they are. Because of the top-scoring vaulters, I still like this lineup for somewhere around a 49.300 average, but they’ll have to Nebraska a couple vaults from the newbies to remain at the level we expect.

Bars
Last season, bars was just OK, if a little too unremarkable. In too many meets, everyone got stuck in the 9.8s with no huge scores to shoot them up toward the 49.3s and 49.4s where the big teams live. In other words, needs more Emily Wong. Also a good title for the history of the world. The four likely returners to the lineup—Blanske, Williams, Laeng, and Breen—were all consistently 9.800-9.850 last season, sometimes 9.875 at home. It’s fine, but it’s not Super Six. They often relied too much on DeZiel to get that 9.9+ and save the score, and that’s not an option anymore. Jennie Laeng will be particularly important. She boasts a ton of pretty potential on bars with great toes and a winning gienger (and has actually exceeded expectations by being an AA contributor—I saw her more as a bars specialist coming in). Laeng scored as high as 9.950 last season, and in the search for a bars star, she’s the best nominee.

I also expect Sienna Crouse to come into the lineup. Talk about people with a bigly big gienger. She could also be the spark on this event. Other options will include Lambert, who can give the team a routine as necessary, but it’s probably going to be 9.750. Kami Shows has a solid tkatchev…Catelyn Orel has gienger/tkatchev composition…but I have some questions about how to fill out that lineup with six good bars workers. Weak early scores could render it a little 49.1, so Laeng and Crouse will be critical. (And hopefully Grace Williams can slam out a few stuck landings too. She is a JO bars champion after all.)

Beam

Beam, often the biggest struggle bus for Nebraska. It’s easy to forget (translation: I forgot) that Nebraska came just four tenths shy of catching Auburn for the last spot in Super Six last year, a deficit largely the result of a 48.875 on beam. With a 2014-nationals level beam score, the Huskers would have been in as the upset queens yet again. As on bars, they’ll be returning four slightly nerve-wracking but necessary 9.850s from Blanske, Williams, Laeng, and Breen, but on this event in particular, Grace Williams will need to emerge from the perfectly OK 9.840 RQS of last season and become the leader. Williams was a fantastically confident beamer in JO, dominant on her acro skills, and is fully capable of 9.9s. For the team overall, if beam is going to be stronger than last year it will be a matter not only of finding the consistency to keep them out of the 9.7s this time, but also minimizing dance and minor form deductions, to which they are susceptible. In the video above, Williams shows leg and foot form issues that can bring the score down. There can be a pretty wide variation in the scores for hit routines depending on how much form grumpies the judges have.

Among the freshmen, I like perhaps Schweihofer and Crouse here to join the lineup (if Lambert doesn’t), but once again, the main fight will be to find that big anchor score or two so that the team doesn’t stick on 9.850s.

Floor

Floor should be slightly worrying for the Huskers because they return just three routines from last season’s lineup, which is basically zero routines, but this year I’m more confident about floor than the other events because they do return more believable and reliable 9.9s here than anywhere else. Blanske and Lambert both have pretty big routines that should consistently bring in top scores, the type that can save a rotation even if the team is, say, struggling to fill out the lineup with a couple freshmen who wouldn’t normally be called upon to do floor. Just for instance. Floor was also Williams’ highest-scoring event last season, so that’s a pretty compelling trio that should do well.

The rest of the lineup won’t have to be great to keep the team on track, just clean and acceptable. We may see Laeng slot in. She doesn’t often compete floor but did twice last season and got 9.825s both times. They’ll take that as an early score. Of the freshmen, Crouse has a front double full in her repertoire, while the rest of the pack of likely competitors boasts your basic double pike/double tuck routines that could work if not necessarily stand out. 

As the season begins, count how many freshmen are actually contributing routines or exhibitions and, even more importantly, how many of those routines are 9.800+. That will be very telling. It needs to be eight 9.800+ routines at the very least for Nebraska to be successful. Since this isn’t a big team, the looming depth monster is always going to be the biggest nemesis, and the freshmen will have to be the shield. The more the newbies manage to get into the lineup, the less blood-pressure medication you’ll need.