The Race to Tokyo – July 2019 Update

Women’s qualification

Team
Qualification
2018 World
Championships (3)
United States
Russia
China
Team
Qualification
2019 World
Championships (9)
The top 9 teams in qualifying,
not including the three above
Individual
Qualification
2019 World
Championships (20)
The top 20 all-around
in qualifying (1 per country),
not including athletes on
the 12 qualified teams.
Individual
Qualification
2019 World
Championships (12)
The top 3 from event finals
on each piece, not including
those on qualified teams or
qualified through the AA
Individual
Qualification
2018-2020 Apparatus
World Cup Series (4)
The winners of the series on
each event at its conclusion
(Mar 28, 2020).

In-progress qualifiers:
Jade Carey
Lyu Jiaqi
Marine Boyer
Vanessa Ferrari **
Individual
Qualification
2020 All-Around
World Cup Series (3)
The top 3 countries at the
end of the series (Apr 7, 2020)

receive a spot they can award
to anyone they wish
Individual
Qualification
2020 Continental
Championships (9)
The top 2 in the AA final
at continental championships
(1 for Oceania) earn spots
for themselves, or for their
country if the country already

has a team
Individual
Qualification
Host country (1)Japan’s host-nation spot.
It will be given to an
alternate from the worlds
AA standings once
Japan officially doesn’t need it.
Individual
Qualification
Tripartite
commission (1)
1 spot is reserved for an
athlete from an under-
represented country, TBD
.

**Jade Carey leads the apparatus qualification standings on both vault and floor, but she takes the vault spot on the tiebreaker (better cumulative results), so the floor spot would go to the #2-ranked athlete.

Team Qualification – How They Match Up

An update of last month’s comparison, ranking the likely contending nations for the remaining 9 team qualification spots based on how each country’s best-scoring group of five senior gymnasts would do in a three-scores-count format using each gymnast’s top score on each apparatus recorded at a major international meet this year. Short version: don’t be remotely surprised if the same 12 teams that made Rio make it to Tokyo as well.

1. FRANCE – 167.032
Melanie DJDS 14.433 14.033 13.733 13.833
Lorette Charpy 13.600 14.100 13.700 13.100
Marine Boyer 0.000 11.966 14.100 13.300
Coline Devillard 15.000 0.000 12.300 12.833
Aline Friess 14.800 12.900 12.200 12.966

167.032

44.233 41.033 41.533 40.233
The handspring rudi that Aline Friess debuted at European Games for 14.800 on both days is a potential game changer, but I still have to think France would prefer a bars routine from Bossu to two big vaults from Devillard and Friess.
2. CANADA – 166.013
Ellie Black 14.500 14.266 13.800 13.266
Ana Padurariu 13.533 14.666 14.333 13.600
Denelle Pedrick 14.250 11.700 12.000 12.300
Victoria Woo 13.666 13.433 12.600 12.833
Laurie Denommee 13.566 12.866 13.133 13.100
166.013 42.416 42.365 41.266 39.966
I know Denelle Pedrick is not typically in the elite mix and competed as a L10 at nationals this year is doing all her CMUing, but if Canada ultimately feels like Black, Padurariu, Moors, and Olsen have things covered as best as anyone can manage on the other pieces, it could be worth putting Pedrick in there just for her DTY.
3. ITALY – 165.731
Alice D’Amato 14.633 14.400 12.466 12.700
Asia D’Amato 14.633 14.033 11.967 12.900
Elisa Iorio 13.633 14.300 13.350 12.633
Giorgia Villa 14.300 13.533 13.766 12.666
Lara Mori 13.250 12.700 12.850 13.866
165.731 43.566 42.733 39.966 39.466
This year, expect an Italian team packed with those new seniors to deliver the kind of scores on bars Italy hasn’t enjoyed in quite some time. I’m still a little worried about this group’s scores and consistency on beam and floor (be honest, you wouldn’t be that surprised to see one of the old standbys like Ferrari or Ferlito to swoop to do those two events at worlds, would you?), but Italy is on track for its best team result in a while, and at just the right time.
4. GREAT BRITAIN – 165.297
Alice Kinsella 14.200 13.800 13.566 13.100
Ellie Downie 14.500 14.066 13.333 13.466
Amelie Morgan 14.100 13.900 13.033 12.666
Claudia Fragapane 0.000 0.000 0.000 13.600
Becky Downie 0.000 14.433 0.000 0.000
165.297 42.800 42.399 39.932 40.166
The return of the bars score from Becky Downie at European Games solidified things a little for GB (and Fenton and Morgan’s scores are essentially interchangeable right now, but Morgan delivers about .03 more), but we haven’t seen Frags do a lot of vaulting lately. GB is going to want her vaulting if she’s to be on the same worlds team as Becky Downie.
5. NETHERLANDS – 163.847
Sanna Veerman 14.100 14.133 12.166 11.833
Eythora Thorsdottir 13.600 13.866 13.550 13.666
Tisha Volleman 14.000 13.000 12.366 13.333
Naomi Visser 13.800 14.100 13.433 13.200
Sara van Disseldorp 13.366 12.200 12.666 12.733
163.847 41.900 42.099 39.649 40.199
Netherlands has put up some reassuring performances recently, and if van Gerner gets back and Lieke continues this trajectory in her return as well, this can be a very formidable group.
6. BELGIUM – 163.299
Maellyse Brassart 13.600 13.300 13.166 13.100
Jade Vansteenkiste 13.733 12.866 11.333 13.233
Fien Enghels 0.000 14.200 13.033 12.866
Nina Derwael 13.566 15.233 13.633 13.066
Senna Deriks 13.533 13.533 12.733 12.533
163.229 40.899 42.966 39.965 39.399
We have seen a change this year for Belgium, an introduction of depth. For the last quad+, Belgium has fielded a competitive team, but an exact specific five had to be healthy (and as Mys and Waem left, Kinkcaert and Brassart took their places in that five). If people like Hermans and Klinckaert were out (as we’ve seen recently), Belgium just wouldn’t have a team score. Now, new seniors like Enghels and Vansteenkiste have come in to give Belgium a little more buffer for someone critical being out.
7. JAPAN – 162.774
Asuka Teramoto* 14.600 13.800 13.333 13.600
Hitomi Hatakeda* 14.075 14.000 13.100 13.050
Aiko Sugihara* 14.100 12.866 13.000 13.250
Nagi Kajita* 13.033 11.766 11.366 12.833
Akari Matsumura* 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
162.774 42.775 40.666 39.433 39.900
The * indicates when athletes have officially been named to the 2019 worlds team. Japan showed us at the University Games (for the most part) that the team can still put up successful scores without Mai, especially if Hitomi Hatakeda continues hitting like that. The fifth member of the team has been named as Akari Matsumura by virtue of her having a DTY, but she does not have any international-meet scores to include here.
8. GERMANY – 162.514
Kim Bui 13.800 14.400 12.766 13.233
Elisabeth Seitz 14.500 14.233 12.466 13.200
Pauline Schäfer 13.450 13.266 13.666 0.000
Isabelle Stingl 13.600 11.333 12.566 13.050
Leah Grießer 13.133 13.150 12.800 12.800
162.514 41.900 41.899 39.232 39.483
Germany really should be one of the 9 qualifying teams at worlds this year and is too talented not to make the Olympics as a full squad—Seitz, Schäfer, Bui, Scheder, Voss is still such a formidable-seeming group—but what we’re seeing right now is a German team that’s exceptionally reliant on a select group of veterans all being healthy at the same time. You worry whether that next generation of backup routines/future stars is coming along or not.
9. UKRAINE – 161.630
Valeria Osipova 13.933 12.400 12.266 12.400
Anastasia Bachynska 14.000 13.566 13.533 13.200
Diana Varinska 13.800 13.966 13.100 13.266
Angelina Radivilova 13.900 12.367 13.333 13.033
Yana Fedorova 13.700 12.800 12.000 11.800
161.630 41.833 40.332 39.966 39.499
It was an up-and-down European Games for Ukraine, but one that featured enough good moments like the floor performances from Varinska and Bachynska to remind us that Ukraine must be considered a contender for an Olympic team spot.
10. AUSTRALIA – 160.633
Georgia-Rose Brown 13.700 13.633 12.266 12.400
Emily Whitehead 13.633 13.233 12.833 12.500
Emma Nedov 13.333 13.333 14.100 13.033
Elena Chipizubov 12.866 12.166 13.200 12.766
Georgia Godwin 13.733 13.500 13.266 12.766
160.663 41.066 40.466 40.566 38.565
11. HUNGARY – 159.715
Sara Peter 14.533 0.000 9.450 12.533
Nora Feher 12.966 13.550 12.800 12.466
Dorina Böczögo 13.750 12.650 0.000 13.000
Bianka Schermann 13.550 13.900 11.800 11.733
Zsofia Kovacs 13.933 14.000 13.450 11.333
159.715 42.216 41.450 38.050 37.999
12. BRAZIL – 159.445
Flavia Saraiva 14.600 13.266 13.033 13.666
Thais Fidelis 13.566 12.300 12.933 13.266
Carolyne Pedro 13.733 12.566 12.233 12.933
Jade Barbosa 0.000 13.650 0.000 0.000
X 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
159.445 41.899 39.482 38.166 39.865
Things are not quite as dire as all this, even without Andrade. Brazil went all-in on a very specific group of gymnasts in international meets early in the year, so there’s not a lot of backup scores to use right now. If you were to give the team the scores from Lorrane Oliveira and Jade Barbosa from nationals (high but still), they’re in the mid 162s, which is probably more reflective of where this team is without Andrade. In the 9, but not safely so.
13. ROMANIA – 158.730
Iulia Berar 13.266 12.533 12.950 0.000
Carmen Ghiciuc 13.466 11.933 13.100 10.933
Denisa Golgota 14.500 12.966 13.500 13.866
Ana Maria Puiu 13.600 12.100 13.233 12.900
Maria Holbura 13.233 11.300 12.533 12.966
158.730 41.566 37.599 39.833 39.732
Romania will not arrive at worlds with the expectation of Olympic qualification, but the way things have been going, the fact that it’s not completely out of the question feels like a win.
14. SPAIN – 158.446
Alba Petsico 13.600 12.566 12.033 12.766
Laura Bechdeju 13.400 13.100 12.033 13.250
Ana Perez 13.666 13.733 12.733 13.500
Nora Fernandez 13.766 13.266 11.500 11.600
Cintia Rodriguez 13.333 12.333 13.033 12.733
161.682 41.032 40.099 37.799 39.516
There’s some hearty talent in this generation of Spanish gymnasts, and a few newbies who are showing competitive scores on select pieces. There’s probably not enough depth to get up into the fancy places, but the scores haven’t been too, too far away so far this year.

Individual Qualification – Worlds

For gymnasts in the “but how does little old me make it to the Olympics when I don’t have a big GRRR team qualifying me there???” territory, the best route (and often only route) is going to be through all-around performance in qualification at 2019 worlds.

Olympic qualification for the women is very AA heavy (if you’re, say, a vault specialist at World Challenge Cup level, there’s basically no route for you to get to the Olympics, which succcccckkks). The good news for AAers is that there will be A TON of Olympic spots awarded this way. There’s a baseline of 20 spots and will end up being many more than that (see below).

Here’s a little experiment. I took the results of 2018 worlds, and imposed the assumption that the 12 teams that qualified to the Olympics in 2016 do so again this time. If that happens, here are the 20 athletes who would have advanced to the Olympics with nominative spots by virtue of their worlds AA performance if this were done in 2018:

Denisa Golgota (ROU)
Zsofia Kovacs (HUN)
Ana Perez (ESP)
Yeo Seojeong (KOR)
Frida Esparza (MEX)
Erin Modaro (AUS)
Martina Dominici (ARG)
Diana Varinska (UKR)
Filipa Martins (POR)
Aneta Holasova (CZE)
Kim Su Jong (PRK)
Gabriela Janik (POL)
Jessica Castles (SWE)
Simona Castro (CHI)
Rifda Irfanaluthfi (INA)
Ilaria Käslin (SUI)
Caitlin Rooskrantz (RSA)
Tutya Yilmaz (TUR)
Mandy Mohamed (EGY)
Ting Hua-Tien (TPE)

With one spot available per country, and all the gymnasts on the top-12 teams removed, that takes us all the way down to 66th place (and an all-around score of 48.865) to come up with 20 gymnasts.

Ultimately, we’re going to see many more than 20 gymnasts make it from the 2019 worlds AA standings because when other spots go unused, they are reallocated to the next in line in the worlds AA standings.

That becomes significant especially in terms of the 12 individual apparatus spots that are also available at 2019 worlds. Those 12 spots (3 per apparatus) can be earned only by athletes who advance to the event finals. This part of qualification was obviously written with MAG in mind because you don’t really have a lot of gymnasts outside the top 12 teams who even make event finals on the women’s side. There will probably be a few on vault, but it would be unsurprising if most of those 12 spots go unused and are reallocated to the AA standings.

Let’s continue that 2018 experiment: Alexa Moreno, Oksana Chusovitina, and Pyon Rye Yong would get spots for vault, and Jonna Adlerteg would get a spot for bars, but the remaining 8 positions would go unused and revert back to the AA field, adding these gymnasts to the Olympic qualifying list:

Hanna Traukova (BLR)
Marina Nekrasova (AZE)
Danusia Francis (JAM)
Julie Erichsen (NOR)
Elina Vihrova (LAT)
Jasmin Mader (AUT)
Dayana Ardila (COL)
Tienna Nguyen (VIE)

So that brings us down to 79th place in the all-around standings and an all-around score of 47.399. (And if you add in Japan’s unused host country spot, that would mean that Maija Leinonen (FIN) in 80th would qualify as well.)

Individual Qualification – World Cups

We have the best idea of how things will go in terms of the Apparatus World Cups because the series is halfway over. Four events down, four to go. The full standings and rules are here.

For now, Jade Carey is in solid position to qualify for vault, though Maria Paseka could give her a run with winning performances at next year’s events, so Carey probably needs to keep going to these meets to protect against that. Lyu Jiaqi and Fan Yilin are pretty close to each other on bars and that could go either way, but at this point expect someone from China to get that spot.

Beam is going to be a free-for-all, especially because current leader Marine Boyer should qualify with a team at worlds and therefore become ineligible for the spot. Carey, Ferrari, and Mori are well ahead of the pack on floor at this point, but Ferrari is looking pretty good if Carey qualifies by virtue of the vault spot instead and Mori ends up being part of Italy’s worlds team that should qualify a squad.

We won’t know anything about the all-around world cups until 2020, but invitations go out to those limited-field events based on the team results from 2019 worlds, so this is an area where the top countries will hope to earn extra individual spots in addition to their teams of four.

The US women will almost surely get a spot, and the remaining spots will essentially be a test of which country has the best pair of all-around gymnasts. Because these events are so tightly packed—four AA meets in the span of less than a month—countries aren’t going to want to send the same person to all of four them unless it’s Bart or a similarly putty-constructed lovable psychopath. That’s a lot to expect of one individual.

A more likely successful strategy will be to send two strong athletes to two events each, so the teams who have those two separate strong all-around athletes will be the most competitive.

Individual Qualification – Continental Championships

The top 2 athletes in the all-around at each continental championship (except for poor Oceania, which gets 1 spot) receive spots at the Olympics for themselves…unless they compete for an already-qualified country, in which case the spot goes to the country.

The twist here is that gymnasts who were part of the qualifying team at worlds in 2018 or 2019 are not eligible. So while you might think, “Oh, Russia can send Melnikova to Euros to get another spot for Russia,” they can’t because she qualified with the team in 2018. Many of those other top AA gymnasts in the world—like MDJDS, Ellie Downie, Nina Derwael—are expected to have qualified as part of teams in 2019, which will open up qualification a little bit more than expected in a continent like Europe. Expect that a number of top countries won’t send full-strength teams to Euros in 2020 because they want to send athletes who are eligible to earn them another Olympic spot.

That means in most cases, these meets are going to be a test of the strength of new 2020 seniors (who won’t have participated in those team-qualifying squads at worlds or already qualified through 2019 AA performance) or someone like the 6th-best gymnast a country has to offer to see who can get those remaining Olympic spots.

(Part of the plot twist of the Mai Murakami situation is that if she doesn’t end up going to worlds, and Japan nonetheless qualifies a team, she could earn Japan an extra non-nominative spot by winning the AA at the 2020 Asian Championships.)

Men’s qualification

Team
Qualification
2018 World
Championships (3)
China
Russia
Japan
Team
Qualification
2019 World
Championships (9)
The top 9 teams in qualifying,
not including the three above
Individual
Qualification
2019 World
Championships (13)
The top 13 all-around
in qualifying (1 per country),
not including those on
the 12 qualified teams
.
This was supposed to be
12 spots, but because Japan

has already qualified a team
and does not need its reserved
host spot, that spot was
reallocated to the worlds
AA standings.
Individual
Qualification
2019 World
Championships (18)
The top 3 from event finals
on each piece, not including
those on qualified teams or
qualified through the AA
Individual
Qualification
2018-2020 Apparatus
World Cup Series (6)
The winners of the series on
each event at its conclusion
(Mar 28, 2020).

In-progress qualifiers:
Carlos Yulo
Lee Chih-Kai
Liu Yang
Igor Radivilov
Ferhat Arican
Epke Zonderland
Individual
Qualification
2020 All-Around
World Cup Series (3)
The top 3 countries at the
end of the series (Apr 7, 2020)

receive a spot they can award
to anyone they wish
Individual
Qualification
2020 Continental
Championships (9)
The top 2 in the AA final
at continental championships
(1 for Oceania) earn spots
for themselves, or for their
country if the country already

has a team
Individual
Qualification
Tripartite
commission (1)
1 spot is reserved for an
athlete from an under-
represented country, TBD
.

Team Qualification

In addition to the teams that have already qualified—China, Russia, and Japan—the next 9 best teams at worlds last year were USA, Great Britain, Switzerland, Brazil, Netherlands, Ukraine, Germany, Spain, France. A very realistic group of Olympic qualifiers, but there will be serious challenges. Beyond the likes of the US and GB, which will have no problem qualifying teams to the Olympics, there’s less of a clear-cut qualification group, and you have legitimate contenders like Turkey, Italy, and South Korea waiting right there (and others, but to me those three are the most compelling). All three of those nations have glorious scores on various pieces, with their contention for an Olympic spot hinging on whether they have the full three scores on every event and the question of how they manage getting as many high scores as possible onto a single team of five. It will be close.

What I’m saying is, between the team race and the pressure for individual apparatus stars who don’t have strong national programs (of which there are many more in MAG) to advance to the event finals, you should already be excited about men’s qualification at worlds.

Individual Qualification

Men’s Olympic qualification for individuals is focused far more on the apparatuses than is women’s qualification, which is more directed toward the all-around.

There are fewer spots awarded based on all-around standings in MAG and more based on the apparatuses (by virtue of there being more apparatuses in men’s gymnastics), so doing the 2018 experiment for the men, your 13 AA qualifiers** would be:

Nestor Abad (ESP)
Carlos Yulo (PHI)
Ahmet Onder (TUR)
Andrei Muntean (ROU)
Rene Cournoyer (CAN)
Marios Georgiou (CYP)
Artur Davtyan (ARM)
Ludovico Edalli (ITA)
Andrey Likhovitskiy (BLR)
Jossimar Calvo (COL)
Jonathan Vrolix (BEL)
Ilyas Azizov (KAZ)
Stian Skjerahaug (NOR)

**12 qualifiers as per the rules, and then an extra one because of the reallocation of Japan’s host spot as noted in the chart above.

That takes us down to just 35th in the AA standings (and a score of 78.398), compared to 66th place for the women.

For the men, 10 of the 18 available event final spots would then be used (Dolgopyat, Lee CK, Kurbanov, Petrounias, Lodadio, Tovmasyan, Ri SG, Shek WH, Srbic, Tang CH). There are more event-final-ready specialists from smaller countries in MAG, but it still means 8 spots would go back into the mix for more all-arounders:

Oskar Kirmes (FIN)
Ivan Tikhonov (AZE)
Tomas Kuzmickas (LTU)
Ryan Sheppard (HUN)
Nikolaos Iliopoulos (GRE)
Ri Yong Min (PRK)
Adam Steele (IRL)
Shiao Yu Jan (TPE)

So that brings us down to 58th in the AA standings (and a score of 76.365) compared to 80th place in the women’s AA standings.

We also have the scenario that once all these athletes qualify via worlds performances, they’ll be removed from the Apparatus World Cup qualification standings with their points redistributed to the athletes they finished ahead of. Which is going to shake up those standings like crazy, much more so than on the women’s side.

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24 thoughts on “The Race to Tokyo – July 2019 Update”

  1. Re: “and Fenton and Morgan’s scores are essentially interchangeable right now, but Morgan delivers about .03 more)”- Amelie also has the consistency that’s lacking a bit in GB.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Japan is genius for leaving Mai at home for worlds. Their chances are still really good to qualify a full team and when they send her to Asian championships next year she’ll almost definitely win there, so hence Japan has 5 WAG representatives instead of just 4 at their home Olympics. It’s a brilliant strategy. Plus isn’t she slightly injured anyway?

    Liked by 2 people

    1. But Mai is a stable competitor who would contribute all 4 events in TF, and would also have a good chance at winning Japan two individual medals. Plus Japan with Mai would be in contention for a team medal, but I’m not so sure without. I also wouldn’t be surprised if the Japanese gymnastics federation had some stupid qualification rules about that too so Mai couldn’t go

      Liked by 1 person

    2. I really don’t think it is a strategy. It is Japan adhering very strictly to rules that they set themselves, which in some situations might be admirable but in this one just seems stupid.

      Liked by 2 people

  3. I’ll take a crack at some thoughts on the AA World Cup spots and the Continental Spots.

    I think the AA World Cup Spots will come down to three of Japan, Russia, and Canada. Canada and Japan based on historical results but you can never count out Russia.

    Continental Spots – Oceania very likely Australia (possibly a nominative spot, depending on team results). Africa probably nominative spots to Egypt and South Africa. Asia highly likely Japan and China unless by some chance one of them already has two extra spots (eg Japan has a shot at the apparatus WC on beam and could get an AA WC). North and South Korea would likely be competing for the spot in that case. Pan Am, assuming the US already has its two extra spots, it’s most likely Canada and Brazil. Europe is a bit of a crapshoot after Russia (assuming they haven’t already locked up two other spots). The contenders are probably whatever European teams are listed above who haven’t qualified a full team and will be sending their second best AAers who didn’t get the nominative spot in Stuttgart. So continuing with the thought experiment that it’s the same teams who qualified to Rio, the gymnasts fighting for the second continental Euro spot will probably be from Ukraine, Hungary, Spain, and Romania

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Although your predictions are reasonable, the US still has to take one spot from either the AA World Cups or the Continental Championships. I personally don’t see Canada bringing 6 gymnasts to Tokyo.

      There’s a few currently-injured gymnasts who could crash the Euros AA podium, if they are able to get healthy in time (Steingruber and Alt, and probably others I’m forgetting about).

      Liked by 2 people

      1. I’m assuming the US gets the first spot from the AA World Cups. And was predicting the remaining two were coming down two Canada, Japan, and Russia. Sorry if that was unclear. The US AA World Cup spot is a given to me.

        Liked by 1 person

  4. I’m really worried about Germany. Seitz, Schaefer, Bui, Scheder won’t be around forever. My guess is, most of them will retire after the Olympics.
    There were quite a few promising juniors but none of them made the transition to the seniors. They either burnt out and quit or had to deal with injuries.. Too bad 😦

    Liked by 2 people

    1. Ukraine has been looking stronger as a whole than Romania this year. Australia and Hungary at full strength may also be dark horses for that 12th spot. Are North and South Korea combining this year if they compete unified for 2020?

      Liked by 1 person

      1. It’ll be ultimately Belgium, Ukraine, Australia, Hungary, Romania and Spain vying for the final 12th place. Among them, Ukraine is theoretically the best in terms of difficulty, but also they are the least consistent among all and also have quite a few risky compositions. Belgium is still slightly better and more balanced, but it is all counting on Nina bringing a top AA score. Romania has to count on the return of a healthy Larisa, otherwise their bars scores are just too far behind for them to be competitive.

        Liked by 1 person

      2. No, the two Koreas are no longer planning to make a unified team. The North was expected to compete at Korea Cup last month but canceled last minute. The Korea Gymnastics Association said they hoped the North would come to the South to discuss the details of the unified team, but now the idea is off the table because they can’t make it happen without direct communication. Plus, political relations between the two Koreas have become strained this year.

        Liked by 1 person

  5. Thanks for your data. Would you consider redoing Canada’s WAG team score without Pedrick? She is not on the Canadian HP list, therefore not eligible, and also she is not on the official world team contenders short list anyway.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Also, not a huge difference in score. Replacing Pedrick with Denommee on VT adjusts the team score down to 165.329 which drops them below Italy into 3rd. However, removing Pedrick leaves a spot open on the team.
      Not that it matters, as in a few weeks Olsen and Moors will be added (Pan Am results) and replace Pedrick and Denommee completely. Will be curious if Canada can pass France.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Anyone know if Olsen (and Padurariu) are still planning to go to Pan Ams? A couple weeks ago, Ellie Black posted on instagram a pic billed as a training camp hosted at her gym in preparation for Pan Ams. Olsen and Padurariu were not in the pic – instead, Rose Woo and Isabela Onyshko were, which makes me wonder if there have been some replacement athletes for injury or other reasons. Gymnastics Canada hasn’t released any changes to the team to date.

        Liked by 1 person

    2. Since Canada’s only international meet since the last time Spencer did this was Universiade, you could just look back at the previous version from a few weeks ago? Pedrick’s score gets replaced with Rose Woo on vault and Canada drops below Italy.

      Regardless of whether Pedrick is currently on any shortlist or eligible, these numbers are showing that she probably should be in consideration. Perhaps Gymnastics Canada should find a way to be open minded on this. Although that said, V Woo looks like she could be useful on bars if she hits so that’s also an option. Since Canada really needs to boost bars and vault and Brittany Rogers doesn’t appear to be coming out of the semi-retired state, it’s going to be bars or vault so maybe they will go with bars.

      Anyone know what’s happening with Marois?

      Liked by 1 person

  6. Juliette Bossu won’t make the world team. That’s a decision that the French head coach explained to her at French Nationals. She’s on holidays now as the rest of the team is preparing for Worlds…

    Like

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